Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

000 
FXUS63 KABR 132339 AAA
AFDABR

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
539 PM CST Wed Nov 13 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 539 PM CST Wed Nov 13 2019

00z aviation discussion updated below. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 219 PM CST Wed Nov 13 2019

A weak upper level trough and surface front will continue pushing 
southeast of the CWA through this evening. A surface high pressure 
will build into the area tonight, with skies becoming mostly clear. 
With light winds, temperatures should drop into the single digits 
and low teens over the eastern half of the CWA. Cloudier skies, 
along with light westerly winds should keep the far western CWA a 
little more mild tonight with lows around 20. 

A weak surface low pressure system passing well north and east of 
the region on Thursday will bring slightly warmer temperatures and 
partly cloudy skies. Highs on Thursday should reach the mid 30s, in 
west central MN, to the mid to upper 40s, along and west of the 
Missouri River. Partly to mostly cloudy skis Thursday night should 
keep temps on the warmer side with lows in the 20s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 219 PM CST Wed Nov 13 2019

The extended will be very active, but fairly warm with highs near or 
above average. For the most part, the edges of upper ridging will 
dominate with quick-moving disturbances moving through the flow. A 
few periods of rain or mixed precipitation will occur on Saturday, 
Sunday night/Monday morning, and Tuesday/Wednesday. Snow or a mix 
will be more likely overnight and in the early morning hours. By mid 
morning temps will be sufficiently warm enough to support all rain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 539 PM CST Wed Nov 13 2019

VFR conditions are expected at all airports through Thursday. 

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations