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fxus63 klbf 211015 

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
515 am CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

Short term...(today through sunday)
issued at 356 am CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms will continue to move east
across northern Nebraska over the next couple hours. Rain will be
completely east of our area by 8am CDT with dry weather returning
for Saturday. Cooler air filtering in behind the cold front that
moved through the region overnight will keep temperatures on the
cooler side. High temperatures will range from the upper 60s across
the Pine Ridge region to the upper 70s south of I-80.

Another round of rain and isolated thunderstorms are possible again
Saturday evening and into Sunday morning. While the greatest
instability will remain south across Kansas keeping the majority of
severe weather out of our area, an isolated stronger storm will
still be possible across the southern tier of counties (generally
south of I-80). Showers will spread eastward over the late evening
and into the wee hours of Sunday morning. As the night progresses,
the chance of stronger storms will diminish leading to just rain
showers across the area. Precipitation moves out of the region
completely by 7am CDT Sunday morning.

Dry weather returns on Sunday as high pressure builds into the
Central Plains. Cooler temperatures will also continue into Sunday
with highs only in the low to mid 70s across the entire forecast

Long term...(sunday night through friday)
issued at 356 am CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

Quiet weather will continue into early next week. There is a low
chance that locations south of I-80 may get clipped by some rain
showers on Monday night as a weak shortwave moves across central
Nebraska. Confidence remains low in development of rain showers and
therefore have only put slight chance (20%) pops in the forecast for
Monday night at this time. Will continue to closely monitor this
system over the next day or so.

Otherwise a dry forecast remains on track through the end of the
week when another disturbance could bring some rain or thunderstorms
on Friday afternoon. Will hold off on putting anything much more
than a mention here until we can get a better handle on this system.

Temperatures for the extended period start off warm in the 80s
through Tuesday. Beyond Tuesday, temperatures will drop back into
the low to mid 70s through the end of the week. Overnight low
temperatures will be in the 50s for most locations through Thursday
night. The exception will be across the Pine Ridge region where
nighttime temperatures could drop into the mid to upper 40s.


Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Sunday morning)
issued at 445 am CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

Latest satellite imagery and surface obs show MVFR and low-end VFR
ceilings (6 kft or less) across north central Nebraska and the eastern
sandhills, elsewhere clear skies prevail. A cold front roughly
bisects western and north central Nebraska and will advance east out of
the area in the next 2-4 hrs. Skies will clear across north
central Nebraska gradually through early morning with mostly sunny
skies prevailing rest of today. Otherwise, breezy westerly winds
will prevail today with gusts as high as 20-30 mph, highest across
northwestern Nebraska. Winds will then lessen and become light tonight
out of the north. Otherwise, low-end chances for showers and
storms across the southern sandhills and south tonight.
Confidence is low in occurrence at the klbf terminal at this time
thus no mention.


Lbf watches/warnings/advisories...


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