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FXUS62 KMFL 222035

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
335 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2019

.Short Term (Today though Saturday Night)... 
High pressure offshore the southeast US coast continues to 
dominate the South Florida weather pattern. Easterly winds have 
continued to allow temperatures to gradual warm into the 80s today
with moisture and dewpoint values continuing to slowly rise with 
the breeze of the Atlantic. A few isolated light showers over the 
Atlantic continue to develop sporadically and some of this may 
brush the east coast areas.

Winds will become a little more southeasterly to even more southerly 
to start the weekend with high temps continuing to warm into the 
low to mid 80s across the region. A few showers over the Atlantic 
will once again be possible with the continued slight moisture 
increase as the next front approaches the area later this weekend. 
Overnight lows will also continue to slightly increase through the 
short term with overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s and 
approaching 70 along the Atlantic coast.

.Long Term (Sunday through Thursday)...
The next cold front is forecast to push through the area Sunday
afternoon into Monday, with some showers expected along it.
Highest coverage should be over the waters, with a thunderstorm or
two possible over the Atlantic. Monday will be cooler with cool
and dry air filtering over the area in the wake of the front.
Winds become easterly again on Tuesday as the surface high
pressure centered over the Southeast CONUS slides eastward and out
over the Atlantic. Low level easterly winds will continue to
prevail through the rest of the forecast period with generally
northwesterly mid to upper level winds winds as high pressure
nudges northward from the south and settles over the Gulf. A
slight warming trend is expected Tuesday into Wednesday before
holding steady in the 80s for the remainder of the week.


High pressure offshore the southeast US coast in the 
western Atlantic will allow winds to become more southeasterly and 
southerly this weekend. Seas will 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic and 2 
feet or less in the Gulf. A front will approach the region towards 
the end of the weekend bringing increased rain chances to local 
South Florida waters.


Generally VFR through the period with east to southeasterly flow
across the east coast terminals. A Gulf sea breeze is expected to
develop a little later this afternoon and move through KAPF. 
Winds will diminish and become light overnight. Tomorrow winds
will be out of the southeast around 8-10 knots.


.Beach Forecast...
An easterly wind flow regime persists, allowing for an 
elevated rip current risk into the weekend along the Atlantic 
beaches. There is also concern for Red Tide along the Northern 
Collier County coast this weekend into next week.


.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
West Palm Beach  66  80  67  81 /  10  10  10  30 
Fort Lauderdale  69  80  70  82 /  10  10  10  20 
Miami            67  80  69  82 /  10  10  10  20 
Naples           62  80  67  77 /   0  10  10  30 


FL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM EST this evening for FLZ168.

     Beach Hazards Statement until 10 PM EST this evening for FLZ069.



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