Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

fxus62 kmlb 160200 
afdmlb

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne Florida
900 PM EST sun Dec 15 2019

Discussion...

Evening analysis shows a strong high pres ridge extending from
Bermuda into the Gomex generating a 10-15kt easterly breeze thru the
h100-850 mb lyr. Very dry air overhead with h100-h70 mean relative humidity blo 40pct,
850 mb-h50 avg dewpoint depressions arnd 25c, and pwat values btwn
0.50"-0.75". Evng raobs show the airmass over central Florida almost
completely subsident thru the h100-h70 lyr.

Clear skies overnight...onshore flow will keep temps up a few degs
from sun mrng lows. Min temps by daybreak Mon will range from the
M/u50s along the I-4 corridor to the l/m60s along the space and
Treasure coasts. No updates necessary this evng.

&&

Aviation...thru 17/00z.
Sfc winds: thru 16/04z...E/NE 5-8kts bcmg east 3-5kts. Btwn 16/12z-
16/15z...bcmg east/southeast 6-9kts. Btwn 16/15z-16/18z...bcmg S/southeast 8-12kts.

Vsbys/wx/cigs: VFR all sites.

&&

Marine...
favorable boating conditions this evng bcmg marginal overnight as
high pressure centered between Florida and Bermuda generates a
steady east/southeast breeze over the LCL Atlc waters: light to gentle thru
midnight, bcmg gentle to moderate thru daybreak Mon. Seas 2-3ft
nearshore and 3-4ft offshore this evening, mainly in a 3ft/10sec
swell. Seas building aft midnight with the increasing winds, bcmg 3-
4ft nearshore and 4-5ft offshore by daybreak.

&&

Mlb watches/warnings/advisories...
Florida...none.
Am...none.

&&

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations