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000 
FXUS62 KMLB 210330
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1030 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures have fallen quickly since sunset reaching the low to  
mid 50s in many areas. But low level flow is veering onshore along 
the immediate coast keeping temps much milder in the mid and 
upper 60s along the barrier islands. Expect this marine modified 
airmass to spread a little farther inland overnight across more of 
the coastal counties, resulting in temps rising some overnight esp 
at MLB, VRB, FPR. 


Thursday...High pressure ridge slides southeast from the central 
Appalachians towards the Carolina coastline. This will result in a 
more E/NE to E flow with scattered marine stratocu pushing onshore. 
The cu will be flat, pancaking beneath the strong subsidence 
inversion around 4k ft. So no rain is expected.  Max temps will be a 
little warmer, reaching the mid to upper 70s. 

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. 

&&

.MARINE...
North winds 10-15 knots this evening will veer northeast overnight. 
This will produce choppy conditions especially over the Gulf Stream 
with seas 5-6 ft where small craft should exercise caution.  

On Thu, Caution conditions may persist thru the morning then 
pressure gradient will relax allowing E/NE winds to decrease around 
10 knots in the afternoon.  


&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for the Saint Johns River
at Astor. The river level on the Saint Johns River at Astor is 
forecast to stay in Minor Flood Stage for the foreseeable future
due largely to wind and/or tidal influences down stream.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  52  74  55  77 /   0   0   0   0 
MCO  52  77  56  79 /   0   0   0   0 
MLB  54  76  58  77 /   0   0   0   0 
VRB  53  77  57  77 /   0   0   0   0 
LEE  52  76  56  78 /   0   0   0   0 
SFB  52  76  56  79 /   0   0   0   0 
ORL  54  76  58  79 /   0   0   0   0 
FPR  53  76  57  77 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

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