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Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1028 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2019

Discussion...



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Aviation...
for the 06z tafs:

VFR conditions will prevail. Light southerly winds will become
gusty during the warmest part of the day in western Oklahoma and
then decrease. Cirrus may thicken late in the day.



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Previous discussion... /issued 232 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2019/

Discussion...
mild and dry weather will continue through early next week, dotted
with occasional wind shifts. With a fairly steady weather
pattern, stuck close to a model blend for the forecast.

Winds will shift back around to the south tonight and become
breezy on Saturday. A front moving through early Sunday will
temper our warmup somewhat. Removed pops for this time period as
model continue to trend drier (the latest European model (ecmwf) and MOS guidance
have both dropped their rain chances).

Southwest winds Sunday night will result in a quick warmup. Another
dry front on Monday will do little to temper this rise in
temperatures.

By midweek, a shortwave is expected to come through with a chance
for rain, though timing is still uncertain given model spread at
this time.

Day

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Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 50 28 57 35 / 0 0 0 0
Hobart OK 52 29 58 35 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls Texas 53 29 58 35 / 0 0 0 0
gage OK 53 31 62 36 / 0 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 50 28 58 34 / 0 0 0 0
Durant OK 53 30 57 33 / 0 0 0 0

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Oun watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Texas...none.
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