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fxus65 ktfx 142002 

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls Montana
202 PM MDT Mon Oct 14 2019

an upper level ridge of high pressure will build over the region
for Tuesday and Wednesday, allowing for dry days and mild
temperatures to reside over the region. It turns windy and a bit
cooler for Thursday and Friday, along with a small chance for a
passing shower. There is a better chance for colder temperatures
and widespread snow this weekend, especially over southwest Montana.


tonight through upper level disturbance is exiting
central Montana this afternoon, thus expect the light rain showers
currently over central Montana to gradually end by early evening. Some
patchy fog could develop after midnight, but kept the fog out of
the bigger cities for now. For Tuesday and looks
dry and mild, with the warmest day expected on Wednesday. It turns
a bit cooler each day for Friday and Thursday, along with a chance
for a passing rain/snow shower.

Saturday through Monday...the forecast storm for this weekend
looks a bit stronger on the 12z runs today...allowing for the
potential of heavy snow along The Divide and over portions of
southwest Montana. Thus expect adjustments over the next few days to
temperatures/snowfall amounts for Sat/sun, especially over
southwest Montana and the Rocky Mountain front. Generally cooler and
unsettled conditions continue into Monday, as an upper level trof
resides over the region. Brusda


updated 1155 am MDT Mon Oct 14 2019 (18z taf period)

Main concern is this afternoon and low ceilings. Showers will move
through north central Montana through late afternoon along with low
ceilings and IFR conditions. Conditions will improve this evening in
the Havre/Lewistown areas. Otherwise VFR conditions can be expected
across the remainder of the region...other than some passing
mid/high level clouds. Kept fog out of the tafs for now, as breezy
winds should help dry things out a bit. Brusda


Preliminary point temps/pops...
gtf 26 55 42 68 / 10 0 0 0
ctb 22 48 37 61 / 0 0 0 0
hln 28 58 38 69 / 0 0 0 0
bzn 24 59 35 69 / 0 0 0 0
wey 18 51 24 57 / 0 0 0 0
dln 26 58 35 64 / 0 0 0 0
hvr 25 50 35 68 / 0 0 0 0
lwt 23 49 36 66 / 10 0 0 0


Tfx watches/warnings/advisories...


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