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fxus64 ktsa 200540 
afdtsa

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1140 PM CST Tue Nov 19 2019

Aviation...
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm/krog.
Clouds will continue to increase in coverage and lower as a storm
system approaches from the west. Low clouds may try to spread into
southeast Oklahoma by early morning, possibly affecting kmlc or
kfsm. Gusty south winds will develop by mid to late morning at all
sites. Otherwise, rain is expected to spread across the area by
late afternoon into evening, with MVFR ceilings possible as well
as some embedded thunderstorms.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 920 PM CST Tue Nov 19 2019/

Discussion...
temperatures have once again dropped off quickly this evening
across portions of southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas with
light winds and dry air-mass in place. Lowered temperatures
several degrees across aforementioned area. Temperatures further
west will likely not fall too much further as strong level jet
develops and spreads east into the region with increasing south
winds. Remainder of short term forecast on track with no other
changes anticipated. Update has been sent.

Latest model guidance still suggests precipitation will likely
move into portions of eastern Oklahoma by late Wednesday afternoon
in response to approaching upper jet streak.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 51 69 59 64 / 0 50 80 50
fsm 46 70 58 68 / 0 0 80 80
mlc 52 69 62 67 / 0 20 70 80
bvo 41 68 53 65 / 0 50 80 30
fyv 37 65 57 64 / 0 0 80 80
byv 46 66 56 65 / 0 0 80 80
mko 47 69 59 65 / 0 20 80 70
Mio 44 67 57 65 / 0 20 90 50
f10 52 69 60 65 / 0 30 80 70
hhw 50 70 62 68 / 0 10 60 80

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

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