AllyBama's WunderBlog

WU Annual HALLOWEEN PARTY!

By: AllyBama, 8:03 PM GMT on October 28, 2009

Don't forget that the 4th Annual WU Halloween Party will be held here on Saturday, October 31st..time is open since it is the weekend AND there are so many time zones represented. Feel free to post away - have fun but play nice!..lol

Update on Lydia

By: AllyBama, 11:42 PM GMT on October 21, 2009

UPDATE! Lydia had a check up today and her post birth weight is now back up to 7 lbs. 6 ozs. and she is over 20 inches in length! I will not be able to send any new pictures until I get home Sunday. Thanks for all of the thoughts, prayers, beautiful graphics and love shown.


Baby Lydia Lynn arrived at 10:48 a.m.ET and checked in at a healthy 8.0 lbs., 19.25". Mother and baby are doing fine.
Thanks to all of you who posted messages, graphics and offered prayers for Kelly and Lydia. They were truly appreciated.






HALLOWEEN PARTY!...don't forget - Saturday, October 31st!

The STORK comes today!

By: AllyBama, 1:38 AM GMT on October 18, 2009

Sorry, but the Halloween info is taking second fiddle today!
My daughter Kelly is scheduled for her c-section Wednesday at 9:45 a.m. We are all so excited - I just hope that we all get some sleep tonight! Please pray for Kelly and baby girl Lydia to have a safe delivery tomorrow. Thank you all so much!. Not sure when I will have pictures to share but will post them as soon as possible!..love you all..




It's PARTY time! Come join in the fun on Saturday, October 31st as I host the Fourth Annual WU Halloween Party. Everyone is invited to join in the festivities - with or without costume!..time is open since we have a wide range of time zones to cover and we know that all of you can't be here at the sametime.
Happy Halloween MySpace Comments and Graphics
MySpace Comments - Halloween Layouts - Photobucket








Countdown Clocks







AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
620 PM CDT TUE OCT 20 2009



.SHORT TERM [TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY]...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC LOOKS TO HOLD STRONG ENOUGH FOR ANOTHER
DAY...TO MAINTAIN RAINFREE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH WED. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER WITH THE HIGH...NOW TO THE EAST. LOWS
RANGING FROM THE MID 40S INTERIOR TO MID/UPPER 50S COAST. HIGHS ON
WEDNESDAY NEAR 80. /10

.LONG TERM [WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY]...SYNOPTIC SCALE SURFACE
RIDGE MOVES OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD ON THU. AT THE SAME TIME...A
COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...GULF MOISTURE DEEPENS AND OVERSPREADS THE GULF
COAST WITH CHANCES OF SHWRS/TSTMS ON THE INCREASE THU. WITH
INCREASED DEEP LAYER LIFT SPREADING EASTWARD OVER THE GULF COAST THU
THRU FRI AM...THERE APPEARS TO BE ENOUGH WIND SHEAR TO SUPPORT SOME
ENHANCED STRONGER CONVECTIVE UPDRAFTS. ALTHOUGH...A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...THE PRESENCE OF WEAK
LAPSE RATES=>EQUATING TO A LACK OF SUBSTANTIAL INSTABILITY PRECLUDES
A WIDESPREAD OCCURRENCE OF SEVERE STORMS LATE IN THE WEEK AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. LATEST GRIDDED QPF SHOWS THE POTENTIAL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL DURING THIS UPCOMING EVENT.

FOLLOWING A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER LATE IN THE WEEK...THE
WEEKEND LOOKS RAINFREE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN STATES. AS WE HEAD INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK...THERE IS
MORE DIVERGENCE IN SOLUTIONS. THE 20.12 GFS PHYSICAL SOLUTION SHOWS
UPPER TROF AXIS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST WITH DEEPEST MOISTURE
OVER THE SOUTHERN REACHES OF THE GULF. INTO THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN...THE GFS SHOWS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MEANDERING
ABOUT EARLY NEXT WEEK. MEANWHILE...THE ECMWF HAS BEEN MORE ROBUST
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL RUNS IN BRINGING ITS WESTERN CARIBBEAN LOW
NORTHWARD INTO THE SE GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK. TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
LOW...THE EURO SOLUTION HAS A SHARPER UPPER TROF AXIS OVER THE
WESTERN GULF WITH A DEEPER MOISTURE SIGNAL OVER THE E GULF AND SE
US...AS ITS LOW EASES NORTHWARD. WE HAVE A LOW END SLGT CHC OF SHWRS
OVER THE COAST AND GULF WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK OUT OF RESPECT FOR THE
RELIABLE ECMWF...BUT NOT GOING AS WET GIVEN THE OPPOSITE SOLUTION
ADVERTISED BY THE GFS. QUITE A BIT OF TIME TO FINE TUNE. THERE IS
CREDENCE OF A SYSTEM FORMING OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN GIVEN THE
PRESENCE OF A STALLED SURFACE TROF...ALONG WITH QUITE A BIT OF
CLOUDS/SHWRS/TSTMS OUT THERE. WHATEVER HAPPENS...THE FLOW OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF SHOULD KEEP ANY SYSTEM WELL TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST. NO
CHANGES TO TEMPERATURES. /10

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54 TO 59. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH
BECOMING 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS 63 TO 68. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
20 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND
80. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LOWS 59 TO 64. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 40 PERCENT.





AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
948 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEMS WILL TRAVERSE THE REGION THIS WEEK.
A STORM SYSTEM IMPACTS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY INTO THE FIRST HALF OF
THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN FOR THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK.

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
-- Changed Discussion --MADE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO THE SKY GRIDS BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE
TRENDS. LOOKS LIKE CLOUDS MAY THIN OUT A BIT DURING THE LATE NIGHT
HOURS...BUT MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL THEN. ALSO ADJUSTED LOW TEMPS
DOWNWARD A LITTLE ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND AS PER LATEST TRENDS.
FORECAST OTHERWISE PRETTY MUCH ON TRACK.

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ON WEDNESDAY...RIDGE PREVAILS AS SFC FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE BACK TO
THE NORTH. MORE MOISTURE SPILLS OVER THE RIDGE...AND WAA CLOUDS
ANTICIPATED WED AND WED NIGHT. TEMPS WILL WARM ABOVE NORMAL AS AREA
REMAINS WARM SECTORED.

THURSDAY COULD EVEN BE WARMER WITH FEWER CLOUDS EXPECTED. AS AREA
REMAINS WARM SECTORED...PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL RESULT IN TEMPS
WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

AS FOR MODELS...SOME DISPARITY THU AND THU NIGHT AS GFS APPEARS TO
BE AN OUTLIER WITH STRENGTH OF NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE...AND THUS
SFC LOW TO THE NORTH. WILL LEAN TOWARD NAM HERE AS IT COMPARES WELL
TO ENSEMBLES/GGEM/EC. FRONT MOVES THROUGH THU NIGHT.

MID WEST TROUGH FINALLY MAKES SOME PROGRESS EAST THU NIGHT AND
FRIDAY...AND DEEP SW FLOW WILL RESULT IN INCREASING CLOUDS. AT THE
SFC...FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH LOW THAT TRAVERSES WELL TO THE NORTH AND
EAST THU REMAINS WELL TO THE SOUTH EARLY FRIDAY. WINDS TURN TO THE
EAST/NORTHEAST FRIDAY...SO COOLER TEMPS ARE IN STORE FOR THE CWA.

COULD SEE SOME RAIN WESTERN AREAS LATE IN THE DAY AS FRONT RETURNS
AS A WARM FRONT OUT AHEAD OF MAIN SYSTEM.

Overnight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 63. North wind between 3 and 5 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Light south wind.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. South wind between 3 and 11 mph.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. West wind between 10 and 13 mph.

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 55.

Friday Night: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

TGIF! 10/16/09

By: AllyBama, 4:28 AM GMT on October 10, 2009

thanks so much to those of you who contacted me with information on some of these MIA's. At least I know that they are alive and well and hopefully one day they will return for a visit or to stay..

FlaNative
Babygurl
Damon
MandyFSU
miawolf
Pensacola21
redagainpatti

Madrid







Countdown Clocks







AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
508 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2009


.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)DEW POINT ANALYSIS HAS THE
COLD FRONT WAS JUST ENTERING THE NORTHWEST ZONES AROUND 3 AM.
INITIAL NORTHERLY WINDS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH THE PRE-FRONTAL
THUNDERSTORMS. WILL BE A LAST MINUTE DECISION ON POPS ALONG THE
COAST FOR ALABAMA COASTAL COUNTIES. WILL MAINTAIN SOME POPS FOR THE
PANHANDLE AND THE ADJACENT ALABAMA ZONES THIS MORNING. BIGGER
PROBLEM WILL BE CLOUD COVER TODAY AND HOW IT OR THE LACK OF IT WILL
AFFECT THE TEMPERATURES. SATELLITE SHOWS LOW CLOUDS NORTH TO THE
GREAT LAKES AND WEST TO TEXAS. THINK THERE WILL BE SOME BREAKS TODAY
AS DRIER AIR MIXES DOWN BUT CLOUDS MAY NOT GO COMPLETELY AWAY UNTIL
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND CLOSER TO THE
UPPER TROUGH AND COLDER TEMPERATURES ALOFT. SHOULD BE CLEAR AND COOL
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO AROUND 40 ACROSS THE
AREA...MAYBE SOME UPPER 30S TO THE NORTH. SUNDAY NIGHT ABOUT THE
SAME WITH DIMINISHING WINDS. A POSSIBILITY OF SOME FROST IN THE LOW
PLACES SUNDAY NIGHT BUT NOT WIDESPREAD.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES EAST
ACROSS THE MID SOUTH TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY TUESDAY NIGHT.
SKIES WILL REMAIN GENERALLY FAIR WITH COOL NIGHTS AND MILD DAYS.
WILL SEE SOME CLOUDS START SLIPPING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST BY MID
WEEK AS THE FLOW TURNS SOUTHEAST AROUND THE DEPARTING SURFACE HIGH.
WILL HAVE SOME RAIN CHANCES CREEPING BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS
TUESDAY NIGHT...GRADUALLY SPREADING NORTH AS ANOTHER FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY WARMING UP TO
THE UPPER 70S BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. /11


.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN CLEARING. SCATTERED
SPRINKLES AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN
20 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...BREEZY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...BREEZY...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING
THEN CLEARING. LOWS 40 TO 45. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH
BECOMING 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 41 TO 46.








AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
743 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009


.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC WATERS CONTINUES TO TRACK
EAST THIS MORNING...THEN HIGH PRESSURE SAGS SOUTHWARD THIS
AFTERNOON. ANOTHER LOW WILL DEVELOP EAST OF THE DELMARVA AREA THIS
EVENING...AND WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE NORTH AND EAST LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE DEPARTING SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE THEN
GRADUALLY BUILDS INTO THE NORTHEAST FOR THE START OF THE NEW WEEK.

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LOW PRES APPROX 225 MILES SE OF MONTAUK POINT WILL CONTINUE TO
DRIFT NORTHEAST THIS MORNING...AND RAIN OVER THE AREA WILL
GRADUALLY TAPER OFF AS THE LOW DEPARTS. ANY SNOW NORTH AND WEST OF
THE CITY WILL MIX WITH RAIN BEFORE TAPERING OFF. ALTHOUGH THE AREA
WILL FIND ITSELF IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS...THERE MAY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE
IN THE ATMOSPHERE TO WRING OUT SOME LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE ACROSS
THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.

ALTHOUGH THE FIRST LOW WILL BE WELL NORTH AND EAST OF THE REGION
BY LATER TODAY...A TIGHT NORTHEAST GRADIENT WILL REMAIN ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AS HIGH PRES PASSES
THROUGH EASTERN CANADA. WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. THE TWIN FORKS OF SUFFOLK COUNTY COULD HAVE
WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH AS WELL.

HIGHS TODAY WILL TOP OFF IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 40S ACROSS MUCH OF
THE REGION...WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ACROSS THE
LOWER HUDSON VALLEY.

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS LOW PRES
DEVELOPS EAST OF THE DELMARVA AREA AND THEN REMAINS SOUTH OF LONG
ISLAND. THE LOW WILL FINALLY DEPART TO THE NORTH AND EAST SUNDAY
NIGHT.

AS ONE AREA OF LOW PRES OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. SLOWLY MOVES OVER
THE OPEN ATLANTIC WATERS TONIGHT...A SECONDARY LOW WILL DEVELOP
BEHIND IT EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS...AND THEN WILL SLOWLY TRACK NORTH
TO THE DELMARVA AREA ON SAT...THEN SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND ON SUN.
SOME DISCREPANCY BETWEEN THE NAM AND THE GFS...WITH THE NAM BEING
SLOWER AND NOT QUITE AS PROGRESSIVE AS THE GFS...AND THEN THE NAM
CREATES YET ANOTHER LOW NEAR THE DELMARVA LATE SUN...KEEPING
PRECIP IN THE REGION THROUGH MON. THE MAIN REASON FOR THIS IS THAT
H5 TROUGH WITH A CLOSED 500 MB LOW MOVES THROUGH THE REGION ON
SUN...BUT THE GFS BRINGS THE UPPER LOW INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
BY SUN NIGHT...WHEREAS THE NAM KEEPS THE LOW OVER THE EASTERN
VA/NC BORDER. THIS IS WHERE THAT NEW LOW DEVELOPS SUN NIGHT. PER
THE GFS...A SECONDARY UPPER LOW DEVELOPS AT THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. SUN NIGHT...BUT ANY PRECIP IS WELL SOUTH
AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH ONLY EASTERN PORTIONS GETTING
CLIPPED SUN NIGHT/MON MORNING.

WILL GO AHEAD AND FOLLOW THE GFS DUE TO TIMING AND PLACEMENT
CONCERNS...AND WILL GENERALLY CARRY CAT POPS THROUGH SUN. ALTHOUGH
CAT POPS ARE IN THE FCST...DO NOT THINK IT WILL BE CONTINUOUS
RAINFALL RIGHT ON THROUGH...AND THERE MAY EVEN BE DRY PERIODS AS
WELL.

THERMAL PROFILES GENERALLY FAVOR RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA...WITH RAIN AND SNOW...POSSIBLY EVEN A PERIOD OF ALL SNOW...
ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY AND INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON
VALLEY AND NORTHERN CT AT NIGHT. DO NOT THINK THERE WILL BE A
SHALLOW LAYER OF COLD AIR AT THE SFC AND WARM AIR ALOFT THAT WOULD
FAVOR FREEZING RAIN. ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINIMAL.

HEAVIEST RAIN OVER THE REGION EXPECTED SAT THROUGH SAT NIGHT AS
THE LOW MOVES CLOSEST TO THE REGION AS IT TRACKS SOUTH OF LONG
ISLAND.

HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S ON SAT...BUT IN THE UPPER
30S ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY. HIGHS A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER ON SUN.

Today: Rain, mainly before noon. High near 46. Breezy, with a northeast wind between 20 and 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Tonight: A chance of rain, mainly before midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 39. North wind between 13 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday: Rain likely, mainly after 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 53. Northeast wind around 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Saturday Night: Rain, mainly after midnight. Low around 43. Breezy, with a north wind between 17 and 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Sunday: Rain. High near 54. Breezy, with a north wind around 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Sunday Night: Rain likely, mainly before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 42. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

AllyBama's WunderBlog

About AllyBama

I am an old lady who lives in a shoe, white hair, blue eyes and all of five foot two.