CybrTeddy's tropical weather blog

Were will Beta go?

By: CybrTeddy, 10:49 PM GMT on October 27, 2005

Ive been reading the historical map of hurricane that formed were or nere by beta is, and all but two Have hit Flordia.This made me wonder if beta will hit florida.Thus do you all rembere when wilma was a five and they were having troble were it would have gone and it was doing a 30 mile wobile 3.Beta is also slow moving so the forcast could very well hed it north in the gulf of mexico not saying its likley to go there but its possible.It gives me a spook thouht if it hit florida the day before hollowen.So in short they have no idea were it will go.

TD 26

By: CybrTeddy, 12:45 PM GMT on October 27, 2005

At 11 last night td 26 formed.Winds are at 35 mph almost t storm streght.This system is likely to become Beta first t storm and deppendig how long it stays ofer water it may become a hurricane.

Wilma no more

By: CybrTeddy, 2:20 AM GMT on October 27, 2005

After being a 5,hitting cozmel as a 4,and lanfall in sw florida wilma is dead.no before it became a nor ester in the north east.The hurricane cased 10 billion dollers in damge and killed 6 people I think.Though a qick hurricane dosent mean it wasnt a bad one.compere charly with wilma and they are close to each other.bottom line is wilma is gone and flordia can clean up like they do always.Now the storm is just a swirl or clouds.as you all know at max mph was 175 and presser at 882 the loset presser ever recored.So thats wilma all we can say to the storm is good luck and good ritance.

In the storm

By: CybrTeddy, 1:30 AM GMT on October 27, 2005

Durring hurricane Isabel I whent out side in 80 mph winds I gotta say it was the most insane and stupidist thing ive ever done.The guys on the news said not to go outside I did not care.Durring Hurricane wilma the winds were at 50 mph with gust even higher.Not as bad as Isabel.I did have some fun in the worst we got.We may live in Orlando,FL but still we got a punch.My idvise is to not go out in 110 mph+.Or when you go through a hurricane in your car you will propley get hit by a tree.If you will can you tell me what was your hurricane exprence if you have been through one.

Hurricane beta and Gamma

By: CybrTeddy, 1:13 AM GMT on October 27, 2005

I belive that in 120 hours these lowes in the atlantic could become Hurricanes Beta,and Gamma.They could be at Cat 1 or 2 statis but the storms havent developed but they could at any time.They keep on getting organized every hour thats why in concernd that they could be hurricanes by sunday.

The extreme hurricane Season

By: CybrTeddy, 12:45 AM GMT on October 27, 2005

As you all know this years hurricane season has been record braking.This year there has been 22 name storms Arlene-Alpha with Katrina the deadlist,and 12 of them to hit land.Now we are delling with new possible systems.One or the other could become Beta,or mabe both would becomed named.If these systems form they could hit the .U.S.adding to more devstation to alreadey devistaed areas.I think that both of them would form and beta to hit somewere in FL and the other in GA but thats just my gess the storms could go anywere.

Don't Drive during Wilma!!

By: CybrTeddy, 2:57 PM GMT on October 24, 2005

I had to post something about the idiots who think
they can DRIVE NOW during Wilma!!!
YOU ARE STUPID to do so right now!!!

Give rescue and police a chance to go out first.
I have seen several cars leave my subdivision and
the winds are gusting over 40mph. MORONS!!

I hope they flip somewhere on HWY50 and learn the lesson
of NOT following the rules.
The media is begging people to stay off the roads.
I hate living in Florida and being surrounded by idiots.
JenD
::Orlando,FL

Glancing Blow here!!! -Wilma

By: CybrTeddy, 10:16 PM GMT on October 23, 2005

The GFS is now inline with the other models predicting
another SOUTH Florida strike.

Honestly, I don't know how Orlando/Cape Canaveral/Tampa remains so lucky? It must be real magic surrounding us
here put out by The Magic Kingdom and Disney?
I always pictured Disney's Fantasia and perhaps spells
to protect the all mighty tourist dollars that they get
this time of year.

I feel like we will get 30-50 mph gusts perhaps but
I really don't expect anything more than that.
JenD
::Watch what Alpha does!!

WATCH THE GFS!!!::: FT MYERS:::

By: CybrTeddy, 12:14 PM GMT on October 22, 2005

I am really concerened that people in Central Florida are not expecting Wilma to hit further north.

THE GFS has been consistant the last 7 RUNS with the same landfall of FT. MYERS!!!







I really hope TOM TERRY notices this today and tells us exactly what to be expected. Now IMO we just don't know intensity...

JenniferD
::deploy the CANTORE!!
::all EYES on the GFS!!

::Model Diversity!!!

By: CybrTeddy, 1:42 PM GMT on October 21, 2005

Well, the best models NHC has to figure out storms flip flopped again. Seems very typical for Wilma they cannot figure out exactly where between Tampa and the Keys Wilma is heading for. They all seems to take turn picking either NORTH or SOUTH each day.

This morning the GFS and GFDL have the storm on the NHC current track GFS has it a little NORTH of the GFDL.

The UKMET and NOGAPS are out to lunch IMO. Having Wilma
stalling again or moving into the Keys.

Be interesting to me when they all start lining up again for more than 12 hours.
JenD
Orlando
::deploy the Canotore!!!

WILMA -the waiting game!!

By: CybrTeddy, 2:24 PM GMT on October 20, 2005

Good to see the BAM's and GFDL got inline with the NOGAPS which impressed me it didn't change like the others did.

If Wilma speeds up I am worried the Florida landfall perhaps may be more NORTH of the NHC projected landfall.
I know Friday will be an important decision day for local officals here in Florida.

ALL EYES to the SKY!!~
::Deploy the Cantore..
JenniferD
Orlando

Steve best guess tonight!!

By: CybrTeddy, 10:46 PM GMT on October 18, 2005

"I'll have a full update later this evening, along with my first best guess at where I think landfall might actually
take place."

Steve

Steve Gregory's Weather Blog



Will be interesting where he thinks landfall will be.
We will have a better idea tommorow morning after the NOAA jet observations what part of Florida is at greatest risk. Dr. Jeff thinks the models will converge on the keys in the morning a more southerly route.
No Floridian can relax untill Wilma plows through completely this weekend.
JenD

::::Central Florida impact????:::

By: CybrTeddy, 12:55 PM GMT on October 18, 2005




The GFDL is predicting a ::CENTRAL FLORIDA:: impact!! We will have to wait and see if the GFDL shifts again more south. Looks like the NOGAPS (Navy's model) is inline almost with the GFDL.

We will have to wait till the 2pm advisory for the model updates and see if things remain the same.

Get ready!!!

JenD

Central Florida!!! and Wilma**

By: CybrTeddy, 12:28 AM GMT on October 18, 2005





The above models speak volumes. They are all coming into agreement. Tom Terry said it was heading right for us.
I added a new weather station we can keep an eye on during Wilma if and when she arrives.
JenD

:::----> Wilma a Historic Season!!!~

By: CybrTeddy, 5:24 PM GMT on October 17, 2005

Well, it's offical the 2nd busiest season since 1933 and many of us were not around in the 30's to witness that busy year. They say we have 10 more years to go of very active hurricane weather before things start to low again.

Central Florida has been ::extremely:: lucky this hurricane season Katrina passing to our south and Dennis and others going north.

Will Central Florida continue this luck?
The BAMMS and GFDL don't think so.
The 2pm advisory today will be key.
JenD

::Possible Wilma??::::

By: CybrTeddy, 12:40 AM GMT on October 17, 2005

All eyes on the disturbance they may call "Wilma!!"
Typically this time of year storms that develop down towards the Caribbean head directly for Florida!! Central Florida has been very lucky this hurricane season just watching storms pass to our south and north and west and east lol No direct impact yet this year.

Some are calling for her to do a "Charley" -a monster perhaps..

Tampa strike link
<---GFS very good model.

We shall see by mid week.

JenD

90 degrees in October!!

By: CybrTeddy, 12:47 PM GMT on October 11, 2005

We reached 90 yesterday in October!!! I could hardly believe it. My seasonal clothing sense tells me we all should be getting our winter wardrobe out but not here in Florida!! No rain in sight which is such a drastic change from last week's 7 day rain event.


Have a good Tuesday!!
JenniferD

Rain finally GONE!~!!

By: CybrTeddy, 12:43 PM GMT on October 08, 2005

Today is going to be sunny with blue skies finally!!
::horray:: After a week of solid rain and dark skies.
I think today will be an excellent day to purchase pumpkin's!!!

I just hope this cold front that came on through doesn't stall out down in S.FL and stir up more tropical trouble.
As for today? I am loving it!!
JenniferD

Tropics are a MESS!!

By: CybrTeddy, 8:04 PM GMT on October 06, 2005

Wow!!! has anyone seen the tropics so wet as they are right now? My Mother told me today that October is the month typically Florida gets hit with more tropical activity.
Central Florida has been spared most of the 2005 hurricane season so far (glancing blows) but our coast line really did take a beating from Ophelia and (others) so, it looks like another long round of beach rebuilding.

In the meantime I will try to stay dry and figure out when to mow the ever growing lawn between squalls!!

All eyes on what Tammy may loop around and do and what the spilt of Stan might do. It all looks to be sucked up into this vigorous cold front into one frontal tropical MESS!!

Personally, I love the rain it relaxes me.
JenniferD


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