Tropical Storm Nadine forms; Newfoundland cleans up after Leslie

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:03 PM GMT on September 12, 2012

Tropical Storm Nadine formed last night, midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles Islands, and continues to grow more organized today as it heads west-northwest at 17 mph. The models unanimously predict that Nadine will recurve to the north well east of the Lesser Antilles Islands later this week, on a track that would likely keep this storm far out at sea away from any land areas. Nadine is in a low-shear environment favorable for strengthening, and will likely become Hurricane Nadine by Thursday. A NASA remotely-piloted Global Hawk research aircraft is currently flying a 26-hour mission in Nadine, as part of the HS3 Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel Program. The data collected will help scientists decipher the relative roles of the large-scale environment and internal storm processes that affect hurricanes.

With fourteen named storms already this season, 2012 is now one of just 19 hurricane seasons over the past 162 years to have fourteen or more tropical storms. Nadine's formation date of September 10 puts 2012 in 5th place for earliest formation date of the season's 14th tropical storm. Only 2005, 2011, 1936, and 1933 had earlier formation dates of the season's 14th storm.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Tropical Storm Nadine.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic
Most of the models predict that a trough of low pressure about 600 miles off the U.S. East Coast will serve as the focus for development of a non-tropical low pressure system on Sunday or Monday. This low may spend enough time over water to acquire tropical characteristics and become a named storm by the middle of next week.

Newfoundland cleans up after Tropical Storm Leslie
Tropical Storm Leslie made landfall in Southern Newfoundland at 8 am EDT September 11 as a tropical storm with 70 mph winds and a central pressure of 969 mb. Leslie brought sustained winds to Newfoundland's capital, St. Johns, of 58 mph, gusting to 82 mph, at 10:30 am local time. Cape Pine record the highest gust from Leslie, 85 mph. The storm tore off roofs, downed trees, and toppled power lines, and 45,000 households were without power Tuesday afternoon in Newfoundland, including much of the capital of St. Johns. Leslie's tropical moisture collided with the cold front drawing the storm to the north, resulting in heavy rains over eastern Nova Scotia and western Newfoundland in excess of 4 inches, which caused considerable flooding of homes and streets. However, the rains were far less than those experienced during Hurricane Igor, which hit Newfoundland as a Category 1 hurricane in 2010, causing $200 million in damage. I expect damage from Leslie will be less than $20 million. Leslie is now a powerful extratropical storm bringing rain and strong winds to Iceland.

Jeff Masters


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

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Interesting little feature around 10.5N/37W. Looks like it is slowly gaining a little bit of convection. I wonder if since this is at such a low latitude, it could avoid being scooped up by the troughiness along the east coast and sneak its way into the Caribbean Sea? Would be interesting if this became cute little Oscar :)
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Here we go!  the Caribbean need to watch out.

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Well 10N, 37W is getting a few more clouds. Might be interesting in a day or two. I'm feeling the return of the Kmankid.
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573. Skyepony (Mod)
Salton Sea was confirmed as the source for the stench that traveled all the way to LA on Monday. Someone posted it here, radar & everything, spot on as to the cause for stench travel.. It was that storm.
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572. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #20
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
12:00 PM JST September 13 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 3:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (945 hPa) located at 15.3N 129.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.0

Storm Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
240 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 17.9N 129.1E - 90 (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Sea East Of The Philippines
45 HRS: 20.8N 128.2E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) South Of Okinawa
69 HRS: 25.0N 126.8E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) South Of Okinawa
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571. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #5
TYPHOON KAREN (SANBA)
11:00 AM PhST September 13 2012
==============================

"KAREN" has intensified into a typhoon while still over the East Philippine Sea

At 10:00 AM PhST, Typhoon Karen (Sanba) located at 15.1°N 129.6°E or 760 km east of Infanta, Quezon has 10 minute sustained winds of 65 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 7 knots.

Additional Information
===========================

Estimated rainfall amount is from 10-20 mm per hour (heavy) within the 550 km diameter of the typhoon.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern seaboard of central and southern Luzon, eastern seabord of Visayas and Mindanao due to strong winds generated by Typhoon "Karen".

"Karen" is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon that will bring rains over the western section of Visayas and of Mindanao.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 p.m. today.
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Quoting wxchaser97:

I really think an improved system needs to be out in place as Isaac is just 1 example. Ike 4 years ago was another similar storm. The surge threat was never really known and people assumed since Isaac was "only a category 1 hurricane" everything would be fine.


Evacuation orders won't go up if the storm surge threat is not properly conveyed. Water kills, not wind (unless you're Andrew).

I know someone at Walmart who had four feet of water in her home two weeks ago. I haven't talked to her since then (haven't seen her) so I don't know the state of things now. She was really sad though.
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Quoting wxchaser97:

For me and my area it is easy to say get rid of drought as that affects us way more than hurricanes. I have to think of the people though and it is a lose-lose situation if you look at it that way.


Is there ever a silver lining to weather?
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I have to go to sleep so I can get up for school and write a blog, see you in the morning.
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567. Skyepony (Mod)
Fresh Cloudsat of 11E
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Quoting KoritheMan:


Get rid of the drought, open up the avenue for hurricanes. Keep the drought, lose the hurricanes, but also lose valuable agriculture.

Take your pick guys.

For me and my area it is easy to say get rid of drought as that affects us way more than hurricanes. I have to think of the people though and it is a lose-lose situation if you look at it that way.
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Quoting KoritheMan:


I would blame it on the public, but in this case I honestly think it's more that we lack adequate means to communicate the storm surge/size threat.

I really think an improved system needs to be out in place as Isaac is just 1 example. Ike 4 years ago was another similar storm. The surge threat was never really known and people assumed since Isaac was "only a category 1 hurricane" everything would be fine.
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


Isaac's biggest effects
were cause by
its slow forward speed
and lack of direction
which caused a prolonged
somewhat stalled event
the result of which
significant impacts were felt



Get rid of the drought, open up the avenue for hurricanes. Keep the drought, lose the hurricanes, but also lose valuable agriculture.

Take your pick guys.
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Quoting wxchaser97:

Isaac's impacts are still being felt and he will never soon be forgotten. The "only cat1" thing bugs me though, something needs to be done about that.


Isaac's biggest effects
were cause by
its slow forward speed
and lack of direction
which caused a prolonged
somewhat stalled event
the result of which
significant impacts were felt

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Quoting wxchaser97:

Isaac's impacts are still being felt and he will never soon be forgotten. The "only cat1" thing bugs me though, something needs to be done about that.


I would blame it on the public, but in this case I honestly think it's more that we lack adequate means to communicate the storm surge/size threat.
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oh the molals just keep gettin' better and better for Florida Fall weather!!!
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Quoting flsky:
Back from La Place, LA. Quite a bit of damage, but not horrid in that area. The problem there was the lake on one side and the river on the other, plus being in a low-lying area. They had no evac orders and were mostly taken by surprise with fast-rising waters. Most were gotten out by small boats and early on, some dump trucks. Most people in my contact had 1-4 ft of water inside their homes.

Isaac's impacts are still being felt and he will never soon be forgotten. The "only cat1" thing bugs me though, something needs to be done about that.
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558. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
** WTPQ20 BABJ 130300 ***
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
STY SANBA 1216 (1216) INITIAL TIME 130300 UTC
00HR 15.3N 129.7E 950HPA 45M/S (90 knots)

30KTS 300KM
50KTS 110KM
P12HR NNW 15KM/H
P+24HR 18.2N 128.7E 935HPA 52M/S
P+48HR 21.5N 127.7E 930HPA 55M/S (110 knots)
P+72HR 25.3N 126.0E 935HPA 52M/S
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557. flsky
Back from La Place, LA. Quite a bit of damage, but not horrid in that area. The problem there was the lake on one side and the river on the other, plus being in a low-lying area. They had no evac orders and were mostly taken by surprise with fast-rising waters. Most were gotten out by small boats and early on, some dump trucks. Most people in my contact had 1-4 ft of water inside their homes.
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Quoting Slamguitar:


100 mph seems a lot more reasonable than topping out at 85.

I actually agree with the NHC 100% through 24hrs, then I strengthen her more and then weaken her instead of faster weakening.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


I like your forecast intensities...just like mine taking it over 100 mph..
I don't understand why the NHC keeps the storm not going past 85 mph???

Right now looking at past organization/strengthening trends 85mph in 24 hrs seems likely and getting up to 100mph before shear begins to affect Nadine. It could go higher and I have everything broken down in my blog tomorrow morning at between 7-8am.
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Quoting wxchaser97:


My Forecast, the track and intensity remains the same for me even though this is 6 hours old:


100 mph seems a lot more reasonable than topping out at 85.
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Quoting etxwx:
Link
Thursday, September 13th, 2012 - MANILA, Philippines
Tropical storm Karen (aka Sanba) strenghtened anew as it moved towards the Philippine Sea, the state weather bureau said Thursday.
Karen was spotted 540 kilometers east of Virac, Catanduanes packing maximum sustained winds of 105 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 135 kph. It was forecast to move northwest at 15 kph, the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration said.
Occasional light to moderate rains will be experienced over CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol region and Visayas while the rest of the country will have partly cloudy skies with brief rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Meanwhile, Metro Manila will be partly cloudy to cloudy with light to moderate rains and thunderstorms. Moderate to strong winds blowing from the southwest to south and Manila Bay will be moderate to rough.
Small fishing boats and vessels were warned not to venture into the sea and large vessels were alerted against big waves as strong to gale force wind is expected to affect the eastern seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao.

I knew it was still alive and out there somewhere. I can't wait for next year when the name Karen is on the list again.
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Quoting wxchaser97:


My Forecast, the track and intensity remains the same for me even though this is 6 hours old:


I like your forecast intensities...just like mine taking it over 100 mph..
I don't understand why the NHC keeps the storm not going past 85 mph???
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551. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST September 13 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of Japan

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 36.5N 144.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving north northwest at 7 knots.
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Now almost tracking over Okinawa.


Two majors in less than a month!
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549. 7544
bahamma blob getting blobish again new conv moving west fl goona get wet
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Quoting weatherh98:


Soon enough

This storm has definitely Taken its sweet time

Wait what, it has been intensifying quickly?
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Quoting weatherh98:


Soon enough

This storm has definitely Taken its sweet time
NADINE HAS BEEN STRENGTHENING OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AT JUST BELOW
THE RATE OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION
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My Forecast, the track and intensity remains the same for me even though this is 6 hours old:

I'll be working on a blog with all of my thoughts in the morning.
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112012
800 PM PDT WED SEP 12 2012

...TROPICAL STORM KRISTY A LITTLE STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 107.4W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 375 MI...605 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

TROPICAL STORM KRISTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112012
800 PM PDT WED SEP 12 2012

THE LAST FEW VISIBLE IMAGES AND THE BD-CURVE INFRARED ENHANCEMENT
INDICATE THAT KRISTY HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED DURING
THE PAST FEW HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED
NEAR THE CENTER AND BANDING IS IMPROVING...PARTICULARLY OVER THE
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SYSTEM. SUBSEQUENTLY...THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED TO 45 KT...AND THIS AGREES WITH A BLEND
OF THE SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES.
SATELLITE-DERIVED WINDS FROM UW-CIMSS REVEAL A QUITE IMPRESSIVE
OUTFLOW PATTERN OVER THE TROPICAL STORM. THIS WIND ANALYSIS
CONTRADICTS THE GFS-BASED SHIPS MODEL SOLUTION...WHICH INDICATES
15-20 KT OF NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR THAT IS LIKELY JUST THE STRONG
OUTFLOW OF THE CYCLONE IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. KRISTY SHOULD
STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS BEFORE ENCOUNTERING MUCH
COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE FORECAST INDICATES A PEAK
INTENSITY OF 60 KT AT THE 36 HOUR PERIOD. HOWEVER...FURTHER
STRENGTHENING TO A LOW-END HURRICANE IS POSSIBLE...AS INDICATED BY
THE SHIPS AND THE HWRF MODELS. SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR AFTER THAT...AND KRISTY SHOULD DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW
AROUND DAY 4...IF NOT SOONER. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST IS
ADJUSTED A BIT HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...AND IS BASED
PRIMARLY ON THE IVCN MODEL CONSENSUS.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/8. THE GLOBAL MODELS AND THE HWRF
MODEL ALL SHOW THAT A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING WESTWARD FROM THE
GULF OF MEXICO TO THE EASTERN PACIFIC SHOULD STEER KRISTY GENERALLY
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ONLY THE
GFDL MODEL INDICATES A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IN 48-72 HOURS. IN PREVIOUS YEARS...THIS
PARTICULAR MODEL HAS EXHIBITED A NORTH OR RIGHT-OF-TRACK BIAS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES LOCATED SOUTH OF MEXICO. THE OFFICIAL TRACK
FORECAST IS ADJUSTED TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS CLOSE
TO THE TVCE CONSENSUS...WHICH LIES BETWEEN THE GFS AND THE ECMWF.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 13/0300Z 18.0N 107.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 13/1200Z 18.5N 108.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 14/0000Z 19.2N 110.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 14/1200Z 20.0N 111.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 15/0000Z 21.1N 113.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 16/0000Z 23.5N 116.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 17/0000Z 25.0N 120.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 18/0000Z 25.5N 121.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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LOOK AT HER LOVELY UP-SIDE-DOWN HEART She's in love
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543. SLU
...NADINE JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH...
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TROPICAL STORM NADINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
1100 PM AST WED SEP 12 2012

THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE PATTERN HAS IMPROVED SINCE THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY AND CONVECTIVE BANDING NOW WRAPS ALMOST COMPLETELY AROUND
THE CENTER. THE CDO HAS ALSO INCREASED IN SIZE AND TOPS HAVE COOLED
BELOW -80C NEAR THE CENTER...AND IN MOST OF THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT.
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES WERE A CONSENSUS T3.5/55 KT AT 00Z...
BUT THE BANDING HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE SINCE THEN. THE LATEST
UW-CIMSS ADT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS T3.9/63 KT. HOWEVER...WITH NO
RECENT MICROWAVE DATA THAT WOULD BE USEFUL IN DETERMINING IF NADINE
HAS AN EYE UNDERNEATH THE COLD CLOUD CANOPY...THE INITIAL INTENSITY
IS BEING HELD JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH AT 60 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS STILL NORTHWESTWARD...OR 305/14 KT. OTHER THAN
MINOR WOBBLES OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...NADINE HAS BASICALLY BEEN
ON TRACK. FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS OR SO...NADINE SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THAT IS ORIENTED EAST-WEST ALONG
32-33N LATITUDE. AFTER THAT...THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO COME UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF WESTERLY MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE
OF AN EASTWARD-MOVING DEEP-LAYER TROUGH THAT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED
OFF THE EAST COAST OF NORTH AMERICA. OTHER THAN A SLIGHT SOUTHWARD
SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK AT DAYS 4 AND 5...THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY
TRACK HAS REMAINED UNCHANGED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS CLOSE
TO THE CONSENSUS MODELS TVCN AND TV15 THROUGH 72 HOURS...AND THEN
LIES WELL TO THE RIGHT OF THOSE MODELS DUE TO THE GFDL MODEL BEING
A SIGNIFICANT OUTLIER WITH ITS FAST NORTHWARD TRACK AT DAYS 4/5.

NADINE HAS BEEN STRENGTHENING OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AT JUST BELOW
THE RATE OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION. THE CYCLONE POSSESSES AN
IMPRESSIVE OUTFLOW REGIME THAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXPAND AS NADINE
MOVES BETWEEN A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO ITS NORTHEAST AND A
SMALLER LOW TO ITS WEST. THE COMBINATION OF A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW
PATTERN AND RELATIVELY LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD ALLOW FOR
SOME ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION TO OCCUR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR
SO. AFTER THAT...HOWEVER...A SHARP INCREASE IN WESTERLY SHEAR IS
EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED DEEP-LAYER TROUGH APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A CAPPING OF THE INTENSITY BY
36 HOURS...AND POSSIBLY INDUCE SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING AT 48 HOURS
AND BEYOND. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY...AND LIES CLOSE TO THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS MODEL IVCN.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 13/0300Z 20.7N 50.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 13/1200Z 22.1N 51.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 14/0000Z 24.2N 53.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 14/1200Z 26.4N 54.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 15/0000Z 28.6N 53.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 16/0000Z 30.9N 50.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 17/0000Z 31.8N 44.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 18/0000Z 32.9N 38.0W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
...NADINE JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH...
11:00 PM AST Wed Sep 12
Location: 20.7°N 50.1°W
Moving: NW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 990 mb
Max sustained: 70 mph
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:


i see some pink showing up on radar hmmmm wet snow
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Quoting Grothar:


Heavy rain in Fort Lauderdale, moving your way.


Trof of low pressure moving through sfl toinght. Gusts to 35-40mph with any of these fast moving showers.
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Quoting Thing342:
Feels very fall-like here in SE VA. Hoping that we finally see snow this year.


Same here in Richmond. Last year was a dud. Hopefully the jet stream will be in our favor this time :).
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Quoting weatherh98:


Soon enough

This storm has definitely Taken its sweet time

?

It was just declared a tropical cyclone yesterday.
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Now almost tracking over Okinawa.


didnt they just get hit by a 4 a couple of weeks ago?
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Nadine
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Where is the trough storm supposed to go?
Guess I'll have to find out in the morning.
adios and goodnight
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Now almost tracking over Okinawa.

dang...as a Cat4
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Quoting Chicklit:
Sandba track is slightly east from last night.



Now almost tracking over Okinawa.
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Sandba track is slightly east from last night.

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Most of the models predict that a trough of low pressure about 600 miles off the U.S. East Coast will serve as the focus for development of a non-tropical low pressure system on Sunday or Monday. This low may spend enough time over water to acquire tropical characteristics and become a named storm by the middle of next week. --JM



LinkWVLoopEASTUS
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528. etxwx
Link
Thursday, September 13th, 2012 - MANILA, Philippines
Tropical storm Karen (aka Sanba) strenghtened anew as it moved towards the Philippine Sea, the state weather bureau said Thursday.
Karen was spotted 540 kilometers east of Virac, Catanduanes packing maximum sustained winds of 105 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 135 kph. It was forecast to move northwest at 15 kph, the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration said.
Occasional light to moderate rains will be experienced over CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol region and Visayas while the rest of the country will have partly cloudy skies with brief rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Meanwhile, Metro Manila will be partly cloudy to cloudy with light to moderate rains and thunderstorms. Moderate to strong winds blowing from the southwest to south and Manila Bay will be moderate to rough.
Small fishing boats and vessels were warned not to venture into the sea and large vessels were alerted against big waves as strong to gale force wind is expected to affect the eastern seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao.
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Quoting TheHurricaneDundee:
Dang it i always miss the entertaining troll comments. :(


didn't miss anything important
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Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather