Jelawat hits Okinawa; TS Norman feeds heavy rains in Texas

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:55 PM GMT on September 29, 2012

Typhoon Jelawat slammed into Okinawa Saturday morning as a Category 3 storm with 115 mph winds. The small 7-mile diameter eye tracked just west of the island from southwest to northeast, bringing the strongest winds of the right-front quadrant eyewall to much of Okinawa. Kadena Air Base recorded sustained 10-minute average winds of 85 mph at the peak of the storm, with a top wind gust of 115 mph. The Kadena Facebook page has some impressive videos and photos of the damage, which included flipped cars, downed trees, and damage to signs and buildings. Satellite loops and radar loops show that Jelawat has weakened considerably. Wind shear is up to a very high 40 knots, and the storm is over much cooler waters. Jelawat is likely to be a tropical storm at landfall Sunday on the main island of Honshu in Japan.


Figure 1. Radar image of Typhoon Jelawat over Okinawa at 12:30 am local time on September 29, 2012. Image credit: Japan Meteorological Agency.


Video 1. Typhoon Jelawat in Okinawa as filmed by storm chaser James Reynolds.

Nadine still a hurricane
Tenacious Hurricane Nadine has entered its 17th day of life, and continues to mill about a few hundred miles southwest of the Azores Islands. Nadine is not expected to be a threat to any land areas for the next five days. The latest model runs show Nadine becoming tangled up with an upper level low pressure system on Wednesday and Thursday as the storm comes close to the Azores Islands. This should cause Nadine to become an extratropical cyclone again. Nadine is already in fourth place for longest-lived named tropical storm since 1950:

1) Ginger, 1971: 21.25 named storm days
2) Carrie, 1957: 19.5 named storm days
3) Alberto, 2000: 19.25 named storm days
4) Nadine, 2012: 17.0 named storm days

The all-time record is held by the San Ciriaco Hurricane of 1899, which had 28 named storm days.


Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of Hurricane Nadine taken at 9:12 am EDT Saturday, September 29, 2012. At the time, Nadine had top winds of 75 mph. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

Tropical Depression Norman dying; heavy rains continue over Texas
Tropical Depression Norman has been moving slowly up the Gulf of California near the tip of Baja, Mexico since it formed Friday afternoon, but has been torn apart by high wind shear of 20 - 30 knots. The storm will likely be declared dead later today. Moisture from Norman fed an extratropical storm over Texas, and contributed to heavy rains in West Texas that caused flooding and water rescues on Friday. Midland-Odessa, Texas, picked up 4.66” of rain on Friday, making it the wettest September day on record and 3rd wettest day in city history (wettest day in city history: August 24th, 1934, when 5.32” fell.)


Figure 3. Tropical Storm Norman in the Gulf of California at 4:30 pm EDT Friday, September 29, 2012. At the time, Norman had top winds of 40 mph, and was spreading a large stream of moisture northeastward into Mexico and Texas. The remains of Hurricane Miriam are at the left of the image, along with a curious little vortex just north of Miriam's remains. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.


Figure 4. Radar-estimated rainfall in West Texas due to the moisture associated with Tropical Storm Norman. Heavy rains in excess of 4" fell near Midland/Odessa, Big Spring, and San Angelo.


Figure 5. Predicted rainfall totals for the 5-day period ending at 8 am EDT Thursday, October 4, 2012. Moisture from the Eastern Pacific's Tropical Storm Norman will bring heavy rains to much of the South. Image credit: NOAA/Hydrometeorological Prediction Center.

I'll have a new post on Monday.

Jeff Masters


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

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Quoting 7544:


hi everyone is this dico due from grother blob alert or somthing else tia


Please don't confuse my blobs with Geoffrey's. :) Yes, they expect a heavy flow of moisture coming up from the South. I don't think they were aware the blob was going to get that strong looking, but it may not last. Just very impressive amount of convection to flare up so suddenly.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
304. 7544
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Miami NWS Disco

THE BIG WEATHER STORY WILL BE EARLY NEXT WEEK. BY MONDAY, THE DEEPENING TROUGH WILL REALLY GET CRANKING AS A MASSIVE RIDGE DEVELOPS OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. IN ADDITION, AS THE TROUGH TRANSITIONS A STRONG SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. THIS WILL SET UP A DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW OF AIR WITH PWAT`S
INCREASING TO WELL OVER TWO INCHES BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY WHICH IS RUNNING CLOSE TO TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE NORMAL VALUE FOR EARLY OCTOBER RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION. THE MODELS HAVE BEEN IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN THIS SCENARIO FOR THE PAST SEVERAL RUNS WITH THE DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW IN PLACE. AS ALWAYS IS THE CASE WITH THESE PATTERNS, THE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS 48 HOURS IN ADVANCE ARE DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT BUT ALL INTERESTS SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS FOR POTENTIAL IMPACTS ON SOUTH FLORIDA.


hi everyone is this dico due from grother blob alert or somthing else tia
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Quoting JLPR2:
That's one good looking blob, why isn't it over my area? :\



Haiti doesn't need that rain.. lots of people remain homeless...

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Quoting sunlinepr:
Extreme weather wreaks havoc from Spain to Morocco
Posted on September 29, 2012






Residents walk on a muddy street after heavy rain caused flash floods in the town of Villanueva del Rosario, Malaga, southern Spain, Friday, Sept. 28, 2012. Homes were destroyed and at least one woman was killed. Rescue workers are searching to determine if there are more victims.


September 29, 2012 – Villanueva Del Trabuco, Spain – Six people, including a young girl and an elderly woman, died Friday in floods that overturned cars and forced hundreds from their homes in southern Spain, officials said. At least 600 people had to be evacuated from their homes in the Andalusia province, regional officials said. Early Friday, an octogenarian woman died when a river broke its banks and floodwater swept past her home in Alora, north of Malaga, a regional government spokesman told AFP. According to provincial officials, two others died later in the same Andalusia region, while another three perished in the neighboring region of Murcia, including a 10-year-old girl. In the village of Villanueva del Trabuco, roads were covered in brown floodwater and teams were working to unearth cars while locals swept the muddy pavements. “In Malaga province, there are 800 staff working to return things to normal as quickly as possible. The rains are decreasing and seem to be shifting towards Granada and Almeria” further east, Limon said. The state weather agency AEMET said up to 245 liters (65 gallons) of water per square meter (11 square feet) had fallen in the area in the morning alone. Airports authority AENA said a flight was diverted to Seville as it headed to Malaga, which lies east of the resort city of Marbella on the Costa del Sol, a popular tourist haven. At least two major highways were closed, authorities said. In the neighboring southeastern region of Murcia, a highway bridge collapsed in the heavy rains, national television TVE reported. –TD
Flooding kills 3 in Morocco: Two women and a teenage boy have died in flooding that has plagued Morocco over the past two days, authorities said on Saturday. A 50-year-old woman, her daughter-in-law and the 14-year-old boy were swept away by flash flooding on Friday in the western region of Safi. The younger woman was rescued, but later died in hospital in the Atlantic coastal city of Safi, southwest of Rabat. The North African kingdom has been inundated by unseasonal rains and hit by heavy winds since Thursday. In Agadir, south of Safi, authorities said more than 50 millimeters (about two inches) of rain have fallen since then, a fifth of normal annual precipitation. And the highway linking Safi with Essaouira, further south, was closed to traffic because of the storms. -TD


Wow, didn't realize it was that bad. Anyone hear from PlazaRed. He is not far from that region.
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Quoting JLPR2:
That's one good looking blob, why isn't it over my area? :\



I saw it first.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Extreme weather wreaks havoc from Spain to Morocco
Posted on September 29, 2012






Residents walk on a muddy street after heavy rain caused flash floods in the town of Villanueva del Rosario, Malaga, southern Spain, Friday, Sept. 28, 2012. Homes were destroyed and at least one woman was killed. Rescue workers are searching to determine if there are more victims.


September 29, 2012 – Villanueva Del Trabuco, Spain – Six people, including a young girl and an elderly woman, died Friday in floods that overturned cars and forced hundreds from their homes in southern Spain, officials said. At least 600 people had to be evacuated from their homes in the Andalusia province, regional officials said. Early Friday, an octogenarian woman died when a river broke its banks and floodwater swept past her home in Alora, north of Malaga, a regional government spokesman told AFP. According to provincial officials, two others died later in the same Andalusia region, while another three perished in the neighboring region of Murcia, including a 10-year-old girl. In the village of Villanueva del Trabuco, roads were covered in brown floodwater and teams were working to unearth cars while locals swept the muddy pavements. “In Malaga province, there are 800 staff working to return things to normal as quickly as possible. The rains are decreasing and seem to be shifting towards Granada and Almeria” further east, Limon said. The state weather agency AEMET said up to 245 liters (65 gallons) of water per square meter (11 square feet) had fallen in the area in the morning alone. Airports authority AENA said a flight was diverted to Seville as it headed to Malaga, which lies east of the resort city of Marbella on the Costa del Sol, a popular tourist haven. At least two major highways were closed, authorities said. In the neighboring southeastern region of Murcia, a highway bridge collapsed in the heavy rains, national television TVE reported. –TD
Flooding kills 3 in Morocco: Two women and a teenage boy have died in flooding that has plagued Morocco over the past two days, authorities said on Saturday. A 50-year-old woman, her daughter-in-law and the 14-year-old boy were swept away by flash flooding on Friday in the western region of Safi. The younger woman was rescued, but later died in hospital in the Atlantic coastal city of Safi, southwest of Rabat. The North African kingdom has been inundated by unseasonal rains and hit by heavy winds since Thursday. In Agadir, south of Safi, authorities said more than 50 millimeters (about two inches) of rain have fallen since then, a fifth of normal annual precipitation. And the highway linking Safi with Essaouira, further south, was closed to traffic because of the storms. -TD
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298. Skyepony (Mod)
Overall the Convergence aloft has lightened over the basin..but still present.



Quoting JLPR2:
That's one good looking blob, why isn't it over my area? :\



Haiti is probability the only spot in the whole Caribbean that wouldn't happily host it.


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Quoting Grothar:


It had to be in the mid 1950's when I saw it. We were in Norway then, but I think it was dubbed in German, which would have made it even worse.


Well, it could have been worse. Hard to believe, I know, but it could have been dubbed in Latin.
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296. JLPR2
That's one good looking blob, why isn't it over my area? :\

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Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Geeeeze! That movie is a lot older than I thought it was!


It had to be in the mid 1950's when I saw it. We were in Norway then, but I think it was dubbed in German, which would have made it even worse.
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Quoting Grothar:


Yes, I saw it when it first came out. I must have been about 10 years old and even I knew it was terrible.


Geeeeze! That movie is a lot older than I thought it was!
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291. Skyepony (Mod)
Blob on ASCAT
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Quoting Slamguitar:


Don't worry, the secret world government in charge of the program to both seed and dissipate blobs has developed a contrail cloaking device so they don't have to doctor each and every new satellite image.

You can't prove they didn't.

Science: I'm doing it right. :D



Bash klgeth doch kalmuk dalesh.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting Slamguitar:


Don't worry, the secret world government in charge of the program to both seed and dissipate blobs has developed a contrail cloaking device so they don't have to doctor each and every new satellite image.

You can't prove they didn't.

Science: I'm doing it right. :D


Oooo, conspiracy.

Anyways, NHC says Nadine is hurricane for 48 more hours.

Whew.
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Quoting Grothar:
Blob Alert #2A (Intermediate blobwatch)
P.S. No contrails have been observed around this system as of yet.



Don't worry, the secret world government in charge of the program to both seed and dissipate blobs has developed a contrail cloaking device so they don't have to doctor each and every new satellite image.

You can't prove they didn't.

Science: I'm doing it right. :D
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Blob Alert #2A (Intermediate blobwatch)
P.S. No contrails have been observed around this system as of yet.

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting washingtonian115:
Some1has2BtheRookie?.

Gro did you watch it?.


Yes, I saw it when it first came out. I must have been about 10 years old and even I knew it was terrible.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:

I just noticed Nadine made a big loop.
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Now I'm off for the night.But I gotta ask.Is that the real baltimorebirds?.I didn't join until August of 2010 but wasn't you the one causing all the shanaganns on the blog?.And why would a blogger wait 2 years to circumvent their ban..mmmmm..
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting wxchaser97:

Storms get 4 advisories per day, at 5am, 11am, 5pm, and 11pm. So Nadine would get 90 advisories instead of 110.


That's true but with Nadine nothing is certain. It would be cool to see triple digits but I don't think that will happen.

I am done for the night, good night everyone.

Good night!
Here in South Korea, I'm enjoying a three-day holiday since yesterday, followed by another holiday two days after (Oct. 3).
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Well, they do when there are tropical cyclone watches and warnings in effect. But even then, they just add an "a" or "b" after the full advisory number.
Thanks.Had a bit of confusion going on.
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


who is max?
He's a boy my daughter likes from a T.V show on Nickolodean.I don't know the name of it.I thought the black and white were mysterious and cool.
Quoting baltimorebirdsisback:
Don't worry Im not a math expert as well.But I would love to see Nadine reach a record.
I've never been.It's always been reading that's my strongest.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting washingtonian115:
Okay so if you count all the advisories that a storm gets per day(from 2a:m to 11p.m) that's 8 advisories..Nadine is on 70 and she is suppose to be around five more days...Now forgive me because I'm really bad in math so if that's the case you add 70+40(I did 8 advisories per day times number of days left she has) and that gives you 110.Be funny If Nadine had that many(or not).

Storms get 4 advisories per day, at 5am, 11am, 5pm, and 11pm. So Nadine would get 90 advisories instead of 110.

Quoting Bobbyweather:

Well, that's if Nadine doesn't become extratropical in 5 days. Personally, I want to see some three-digit advisories. ^^

That's true but with Nadine nothing is certain. It would be cool to see triple digits but I don't think that will happen.

I am done for the night, good night everyone.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Now if you saw in the post I said you have to forgive me because I'm really bad in math.I thought they come out every three hours?.


who is max?
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Now if you saw in the post I said you have to forgive me because I'm really bad in math.I thought they come out every three hours?.

Well, they do when there are tropical cyclone watches and warnings in effect. But even then, they just add an "a" or "b" after the full advisory number.
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Now if you saw in the post I said you have to forgive me because I'm really bad in math.I thought they come out every three hours?.
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275. JLPR2
So am I the only one impressed that Nadine topped her previous peak of 80mph? XD

11:00 PM AST Sat Sep 29
Location: 35.6°N 37.5°W
Moving: NNW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 984 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph

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Quoting washingtonian115:
Okay so if you count all the advisories that a storm gets per day(from 2a:m to 11p.m) that's 8 advisories..Nadine is on 70 and she is suppose to be around five more days...Now forgive me because I'm really bad in math so if that's the case you add 70+40(I did 8 advisories per day times number of days left she has) and that gives you 110.Be funny If Nadine had that many(or not).

Tropical cyclones only get 4 complete advisories a day (5am/pm, 11am/pm).
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
.
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Quoting wxchaser97:
Nadine has 70 advisories and Kyle had 89, so not a record. Nadine could contend to reach 90 advisories but that's for later.

Well, that's if Nadine doesn't become extratropical in 5 days. Personally, I want to see some three-digit advisories. ^^
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
.
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Quoting HurrikanEB:
With 70 public advisories, Nadine is now tied with Bertha ('08). Next stop... Ivan's 73.


thank you!!!!!! that's what I was tying to say...Nadine set such record of tying Bertha's!
IDK why everyone goes nuts about it...they have to calm down!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Nadine has 70 advisories and Kyle had 89, so not a record. Nadine could contend to reach 90 advisories but that's for later.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
guys...I DID NOT say BROKEN RECORD...I just said RECORD...understand my wording?????
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Quoting guygee:
I lived in DC for awhile, I was visiting for some research and I rented a bedroom on 4th St. SE on the block between Pennsylvania and Constitution.

The big city effect must have made everything a lot worse I imagine. When it gets up to 104 anywhere east of the Mississippi usually the air has to be pretty dry. It took all that heat and the humidity to fuel that huge derecho. I don't envy you having to go through all of that.
You couldn't find almost no one walking on the streets that day and if they were they were foolish..People flocked to the tidle basin or stayed in air condition.That concrete is a killer when heat hits it.The pavement didn't have time to cool off the night(s) before with lows in the upper to low 80's.
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With 70 public advisories, Nadine is now tied with Bertha ('08). Next stop... Ivan's 73.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Not by a long shot.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 89
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2002

...KYLE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL...LAST ADVISORY...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 37.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST OR ABOUT 320 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KYLE IS RAPIDLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP TIDES COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST FROM THE DELMARVA PENINSULA TO CAPE COD
MASSACHUSETTS. CONSULT YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
FOR MORE SPECIFIC DETAILS ON THESE DEVELOPING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...37.3 N... 73.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECASTER AVILA


I know Kyle has the record!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
RECORD!!!! 70 ADVISORIES

000
WTNT34 KNHC 300236
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NADINE ADVISORY NUMBER 70
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 29 2012

...STUBBORN NADINE NOT ONLY SURVIVES BUT STRENGTHENS...



SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.6N 37.5W
ABOUT 605 MI...970 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

___________

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 70
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 AM AST SUN JUL 20 2008

...BERTHA BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC...

Not by a long shot.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 89
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2002

...KYLE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL...LAST ADVISORY...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 37.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST OR ABOUT 320 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KYLE IS RAPIDLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP TIDES COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
UNITED STATES EAST COAST FROM THE DELMARVA PENINSULA TO CAPE COD
MASSACHUSETTS. CONSULT YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
FOR MORE SPECIFIC DETAILS ON THESE DEVELOPING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...37.3 N... 73.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECASTER AVILA
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
No records yet, Kyle lasted 89 advisories.

If the NHC is correct, Nadine has 20 advisories left on her, so Nadine will be pushing 90 advisories by the time of death.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
RECORD!!!! 70 ADVISORIES

000
WTNT34 KNHC 300236
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NADINE ADVISORY NUMBER 70
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 29 2012

...STUBBORN NADINE NOT ONLY SURVIVES BUT STRENGTHENS...



SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.6N 37.5W
ABOUT 605 MI...970 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

___________

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 70
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 AM AST SUN JUL 20 2008

...BERTHA BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC...

Nope, Kyle 02:

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 89
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2002

...KYLE BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL...LAST ADVISORY...
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Quoting washingtonian115:
I remember the weather that was in place that day.It felt like if you went outside you were suffocated with a blanket.The high that day was 104 officially at Reagan National airport.Humidity didn't help much either with due points in the 70's.Very nasty day you couldn't even enjoy outside if you wanted.So when that storm came it had abundant energy to tap into and boy did it put on a show.We not only had strong winds but frequent lightning as well.I remember seeing the radar pics people posted as the line was getting closer.That night is stuck with me like glue on paper.A 74mph wind was recorder at RNA some places had winds as high as 80 mph plus .
I lived in DC for awhile, I was visiting for some research and I rented a bedroom on 4th St. SE on the block between Pennsylvania and Constitution(XXXmaybe that was Independence?).

The big city effect must have made everything a lot worse I imagine. When it gets up to 104 anywhere east of the Mississippi usually the air has to be pretty dry. It took all that heat and the humidity to fuel that huge derecho. I don't envy you having to go through all of that.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
RECORD!!!! 70 ADVISORIES

000
WTNT34 KNHC 300236
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NADINE ADVISORY NUMBER 70
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 29 2012

...STUBBORN NADINE NOT ONLY SURVIVES BUT STRENGTHENS...



SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.6N 37.5W
ABOUT 605 MI...970 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

___________

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 70
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 AM AST SUN JUL 20 2008

...BERTHA BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC...
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Could it be possible that the NHC will issue 100 advisories on Nadine? I calculated their current forecasts and it seems like Nadine will reach 93 or 94 advisories. However, if Nadine mess around a little while, like it has been for the last several days, the NHC may be looking at 3 digit advisory numbers.
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Lol at the NHC wording of Nadine.They to are waiting for her death and I bet when it happens I'm willing to bet they will write something interesting that you usually don't find in discussion writing.I'm waiting for it.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
TCFA for 94W.

WTPN21 PGTW 300200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
170 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.2N 150.7E TO 19.3N 147.3E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 300130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 14.6N 150.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 111.7E, IS
NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 150.7E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF
GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A NEW VORTEX HAS
EMERGED AND BECOME THE DOMINANT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
THE SAME ANIMATION SHOWS FORMATIVE BANDS HAVE CONSIDERABLY DEEPENED
AND WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO THE LLCC OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS
PROGRESSION IS ALSO EVIDENT ON A SERIES OF MICROWAVE IMAGERY
INCLUDING A 302314Z AMSU-B PASS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE
SYSTEM IS JUST SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF LIGHT (05-10
KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
MARGINAL EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW BUT WITH IMPROVED POLEWARD OUTFLOW
ENHANCED BY A TUTT CELL NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. IN VIEW OF THE IMPROVED
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
HIGH.
Looks like the western pacific is coming like what is was before.this basin is really trying to redeem itself.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TCFA for 94W.

WTPN21 PGTW 300200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
170 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.2N 150.7E TO 19.3N 147.3E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 300130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 14.6N 150.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 111.7E, IS
NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 150.7E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF
GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A NEW VORTEX HAS
EMERGED AND BECOME THE DOMINANT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
THE SAME ANIMATION SHOWS FORMATIVE BANDS HAVE CONSIDERABLY DEEPENED
AND WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO THE LLCC OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS
PROGRESSION IS ALSO EVIDENT ON A SERIES OF MICROWAVE IMAGERY
INCLUDING A 302314Z AMSU-B PASS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE
SYSTEM IS JUST SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF LIGHT (05-10
KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
MARGINAL EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW BUT WITH IMPROVED POLEWARD OUTFLOW
ENHANCED BY A TUTT CELL NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. IN VIEW OF THE IMPROVED
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
HIGH.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:

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Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather