Jelawat hits Okinawa; TS Norman feeds heavy rains in Texas

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:55 PM GMT on September 29, 2012

Typhoon Jelawat slammed into Okinawa Saturday morning as a Category 3 storm with 115 mph winds. The small 7-mile diameter eye tracked just west of the island from southwest to northeast, bringing the strongest winds of the right-front quadrant eyewall to much of Okinawa. Kadena Air Base recorded sustained 10-minute average winds of 85 mph at the peak of the storm, with a top wind gust of 115 mph. The Kadena Facebook page has some impressive videos and photos of the damage, which included flipped cars, downed trees, and damage to signs and buildings. Satellite loops and radar loops show that Jelawat has weakened considerably. Wind shear is up to a very high 40 knots, and the storm is over much cooler waters. Jelawat is likely to be a tropical storm at landfall Sunday on the main island of Honshu in Japan.


Figure 1. Radar image of Typhoon Jelawat over Okinawa at 12:30 am local time on September 29, 2012. Image credit: Japan Meteorological Agency.


Video 1. Typhoon Jelawat in Okinawa as filmed by storm chaser James Reynolds.

Nadine still a hurricane
Tenacious Hurricane Nadine has entered its 17th day of life, and continues to mill about a few hundred miles southwest of the Azores Islands. Nadine is not expected to be a threat to any land areas for the next five days. The latest model runs show Nadine becoming tangled up with an upper level low pressure system on Wednesday and Thursday as the storm comes close to the Azores Islands. This should cause Nadine to become an extratropical cyclone again. Nadine is already in fourth place for longest-lived named tropical storm since 1950:

1) Ginger, 1971: 21.25 named storm days
2) Carrie, 1957: 19.5 named storm days
3) Alberto, 2000: 19.25 named storm days
4) Nadine, 2012: 17.0 named storm days

The all-time record is held by the San Ciriaco Hurricane of 1899, which had 28 named storm days.


Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of Hurricane Nadine taken at 9:12 am EDT Saturday, September 29, 2012. At the time, Nadine had top winds of 75 mph. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

Tropical Depression Norman dying; heavy rains continue over Texas
Tropical Depression Norman has been moving slowly up the Gulf of California near the tip of Baja, Mexico since it formed Friday afternoon, but has been torn apart by high wind shear of 20 - 30 knots. The storm will likely be declared dead later today. Moisture from Norman fed an extratropical storm over Texas, and contributed to heavy rains in West Texas that caused flooding and water rescues on Friday. Midland-Odessa, Texas, picked up 4.66” of rain on Friday, making it the wettest September day on record and 3rd wettest day in city history (wettest day in city history: August 24th, 1934, when 5.32” fell.)


Figure 3. Tropical Storm Norman in the Gulf of California at 4:30 pm EDT Friday, September 29, 2012. At the time, Norman had top winds of 40 mph, and was spreading a large stream of moisture northeastward into Mexico and Texas. The remains of Hurricane Miriam are at the left of the image, along with a curious little vortex just north of Miriam's remains. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.


Figure 4. Radar-estimated rainfall in West Texas due to the moisture associated with Tropical Storm Norman. Heavy rains in excess of 4" fell near Midland/Odessa, Big Spring, and San Angelo.


Figure 5. Predicted rainfall totals for the 5-day period ending at 8 am EDT Thursday, October 4, 2012. Moisture from the Eastern Pacific's Tropical Storm Norman will bring heavy rains to much of the South. Image credit: NOAA/Hydrometeorological Prediction Center.

I'll have a new post on Monday.

Jeff Masters


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

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Quoting NCHurricane2009:


Here are my best guesses for now:

Oscar 80% chance
Patty 10% chance

But then again...this naming list has been cursed in the past. We've never made it to Oscar every time we use this list.


Superstition.
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Quoting SherwoodSpirit:


Whyeverfor?

I, for one, have been amused by the inability of models to forecast Nadine's movements, and entertained by her wanderings (not counting her deadly offshoot, Karin). I'm pulling for her to continue to beat longevity records. Her recent ascent back into hurricanehood has made her all the more interesting.

Some have called her unmemorable in past days. I'm thinking we won't soon forget Nadine now. :)
Shes just been there harassing the Azores.Shes the Atlantic's lost child that can't seem to find her way back home(Africa).Shes always close but turns in the wrong direction.
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Tornado warned storm in TX, with another suspicious one south of it:



Tornado warned storm in northern SC:

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We've got some severe weather out there this evening.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
406 PM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 404 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR
GREEN LAKE...OR 11 MILES WEST OF PORT LAVACA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KAMAY...
PORT LAVACA...
ALAMO BEACH...
POINT COMFORT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 2856 9650 2852 9651 2848 9681 2860 9688
2870 9665 2865 9660 2860 9660 2860 9658
2870 9658 2871 9644 2873 9641 2871 9639
2867 9640 2866 9637 2865 9641 2862 9636
TIME...MOT...LOC 2106Z 247DEG 13KT 2858 9678

$$

TMT
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Nadine diiiiie!.


Whyeverfor?

I, for one, have been amused by the inability of models to forecast Nadine's movements, and entertained by her wanderings (not counting her deadly offshoot, Karin). I'm pulling for her to continue to beat longevity records. Her recent ascent back into hurricanehood has made her all the more interesting.

Some have called her unmemorable in past days. I'm thinking we won't soon forget Nadine now. :)
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Today is John/Jack Beven's birthday FWIW. He wrote the 21z advisory package for Hurricane Nadine.

He's written a bunch of her advisories lately, and I've really been enjoying his discussions, they're usually three nice detailed paragraphs, kind of like Stewart.
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Actually Nadine may even be stronger than 80mph right now.
BASED ON THIS...THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 70 KT...AND THIS COULD BE A
LITTLE CONSERVATIVE.
I say if current trends continue with Nadine her winds will go up again at 11pm EDT.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Today is John/Jack Beven's birthday FWIW. He wrote the 21z advisory package for Hurricane Nadine.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Nadine diiiiie!.
It looks like she will turn extra-tropical in about 5 days, I even made a category in my blog called why won't Nadine die already.
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Nadine diiiiie!.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Nadine is trying to go higher than she has ever been before.

I now think Nadine will peak at around 85mph to maybe 90mph if she is lucky. Every time I forecast her wind speeds she seems to want to go above them.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Nadine is trying to go higher than she has ever been before.

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Quoting pottery:
"Hundreds killed in Pakistan floods"

"Up to 65 gallons per square meter of rain falls in parts of Spain on Friday"

etc etc etc....


hmmm, 7.5 gallons per cubic foot = 8.66666666666 cubic feet

10.76 square feet per square yard -8.66 square feet, the footprint of 8.66 cubic foot, that leaves 2.1 square feet empty. Borrow about 2.5 inches from the full square feets and fill dem empty ones annnnd, hey Spain got about 9.5 inches of rain!

Rube ain't got nuthin' on me.
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Nadine is looking stronger, I think she could do a little more strengthening and so does the NHC.
..NADINE GETS A LITTLE STRONGER...
5:00 PM AST Sat Sep 29
Location: 34.4°N 36.7°W
Moving: NNW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 987 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/2100Z 34.4N 36.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 30/0600Z 35.8N 37.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 30/1800Z 36.7N 38.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 01/0600Z 36.5N 38.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 01/1800Z 35.9N 39.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 02/1800Z 35.0N 39.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 03/1800Z 35.0N 37.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 04/1800Z 38.5N 32.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:

000
WTNT44 KNHC 292037
TCDAT4

HURRICANE NADINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 69
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
500 PM AST SAT SEP 29 2012

ALTHOUGH ANALYSES FROM UW-CIMSS AND THE SHIPS MODEL CONTINUE TO SHOW
20 KT OF SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...NADINE HAS CONTINUED
TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE EYE HAS BECOME MORE APPARENT IN
VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY...AND THERE HAS BEEN AN INCREASE IN
BANDING AROUND THE EYE. A RECENT SSM/IS OVERPASS SHOWS THAT THE
EYE IS TILTED TOWARD THE NORTH...BUT THE TILT IS LESS THAN THIS
TIME YESTERDAY. WHILE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 65 KT FROM
TAFB AND SAB...THE CIMSS ADT ESTIMATE IS NEAR 80 KT...THE LATEST
AMSU ESTIMATES FROM CIMSS AND CIRA ARE IN THE 70-80 KT RANGE...AND
THE LATEST CIMSS SATCON ESTIMATE IS 78 KT. BASED ON THIS...THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 70 KT...AND THIS COULD BE A
LITTLE CONSERVATIVE.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 345/13. NADINE IS BETWEEN A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE
TO THE EAST AND A MID-/UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE WEST. THE GLOBAL
MODELS FORECAST THE CYCLONE TO MERGE WITH THE LOW BETWEEN 24-72
HR...WITH THE SYSTEM THEN CAUGHT IN AN AREA OF LIGHT STEERING
CURRENTS. THE DYNAMICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT NADINE
WILL SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A CYCLONIC LOOP DURING THE NEXT 96 HR.
THE CANADIAN MODEL FORECASTS THE LARGEST LOOP...WITH THE CENTER OF
NADINE MOVING SOUTHWARD TO 30N BEFORE TURNING EASTWARD. THE NEW
FORECAST TRACK SHOWS MORE SOUTHWARD MOTION DURING THE LOOP THAN THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT STILL NOT AS MUCH AS FORECAST BY THE
DYNAMICAL MODELS. AFTER 96 HR...THE GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST A LARGE
BAROCLINIC CYCLONE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC WITH
THE ASSOCIATED WESTERLY WINDS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO AT LEAST 30N.
THIS SYSTEM SHOULD STEER NADINE TO THE EAST OR NORTHEAST NEAR THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

NADINE DOES NOT APPEAR AS SHEARED AS THE CIMSS/SHIPS-ANALYZED SHEAR
SUGGESTS...AND IT MAY BE THAT A MID-/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHORTWAVE
TROUGH JUST SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM IS PARTIALLY SHELTERING IT. THIS
TROUGH COULD ALSO PROVIDE SOME FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE...
AND THE INTENSITY FORECAST THUS CALLS FOR A LITTLE MORE
STRENGTHENING DURING THE FIRST 12 HR. FROM 24-72 HR...NADINE
COULD ENCOUNTER DECREASING SHEAR AS IT MERGES WITH THE
MID-/UPPER-LEVEL LOW. HOWEVER...THIS MERGER IS LIKELY TO AT LEAST
SOMEWHAT DISRUPT THE STRUCTURE...AND THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST
FOLLOWS THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IN CALLING FOR WEAKENING DURING THIS
TIME. LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...INTERACTION BETWEEN NADINE AND
THE BAROCLINIC CYCLONE SHOULD LEAD TO EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.
THE FORECAST CALLS FOR THIS AT 120 HR...ALTHOUGH IT COULD BE
DELAYED IF NADINE IS SOUTH OF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/2100Z 34.4N 36.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 30/0600Z 35.8N 37.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 30/1800Z 36.7N 38.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 01/0600Z 36.5N 38.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 01/1800Z 35.9N 39.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 02/1800Z 35.0N 39.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 03/1800Z 35.0N 37.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 04/1800Z 38.5N 32.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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Quoting Civicane49:

Looking better and better...probably 80 mph & 986 mb by 5 PM.
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HURRICANE NADINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 69
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
500 PM AST SAT SEP 29 2012

ALTHOUGH ANALYSES FROM UW-CIMSS AND THE SHIPS MODEL CONTINUE TO SHOW
20 KT OF SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...NADINE HAS CONTINUED
TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE EYE HAS BECOME MORE APPARENT IN
VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY...AND THERE HAS BEEN AN INCREASE IN
BANDING AROUND THE EYE. A RECENT SSM/IS OVERPASS SHOWS THAT THE
EYE IS TILTED TOWARD THE NORTH...BUT THE TILT IS LESS THAN THIS
TIME YESTERDAY. WHILE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 65 KT FROM
TAFB AND SAB...THE CIMSS ADT ESTIMATE IS NEAR 80 KT...THE LATEST
AMSU ESTIMATES FROM CIMSS AND CIRA ARE IN THE 70-80 KT RANGE...AND
THE LATEST CIMSS SATCON ESTIMATE IS 78 KT. BASED ON THIS...THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 70 KT...AND THIS COULD BE A
LITTLE CONSERVATIVE.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 345/13. NADINE IS BETWEEN A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE
TO THE EAST AND A MID-/UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE WEST. THE GLOBAL
MODELS FORECAST THE CYCLONE TO MERGE WITH THE LOW BETWEEN 24-72
HR...WITH THE SYSTEM THEN CAUGHT IN AN AREA OF LIGHT STEERING
CURRENTS. THE DYNAMICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT NADINE
WILL SLOW DOWN AND MAKE A CYCLONIC LOOP DURING THE NEXT 96 HR.
THE CANADIAN MODEL FORECASTS THE LARGEST LOOP...WITH THE CENTER OF
NADINE MOVING SOUTHWARD TO 30N BEFORE TURNING EASTWARD. THE NEW
FORECAST TRACK SHOWS MORE SOUTHWARD MOTION DURING THE LOOP THAN THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT STILL NOT AS MUCH AS FORECAST BY THE
DYNAMICAL MODELS. AFTER 96 HR...THE GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST A LARGE
BAROCLINIC CYCLONE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC WITH
THE ASSOCIATED WESTERLY WINDS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TO AT LEAST 30N.
THIS SYSTEM SHOULD STEER NADINE TO THE EAST OR NORTHEAST NEAR THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

NADINE DOES NOT APPEAR AS SHEARED AS THE CIMSS/SHIPS-ANALYZED SHEAR
SUGGESTS...AND IT MAY BE THAT A MID-/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHORTWAVE
TROUGH JUST SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM IS PARTIALLY SHELTERING IT. THIS
TROUGH COULD ALSO PROVIDE SOME FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE...
AND THE INTENSITY FORECAST THUS CALLS FOR A LITTLE MORE
STRENGTHENING DURING THE FIRST 12 HR. FROM 24-72 HR...NADINE
COULD ENCOUNTER DECREASING SHEAR AS IT MERGES WITH THE
MID-/UPPER-LEVEL LOW. HOWEVER...THIS MERGER IS LIKELY TO AT LEAST
SOMEWHAT DISRUPT THE STRUCTURE...AND THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST
FOLLOWS THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IN CALLING FOR WEAKENING DURING THIS
TIME. LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...INTERACTION BETWEEN NADINE AND
THE BAROCLINIC CYCLONE SHOULD LEAD TO EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.
THE FORECAST CALLS FOR THIS AT 120 HR...ALTHOUGH IT COULD BE
DELAYED IF NADINE IS SOUTH OF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/2100Z 34.4N 36.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 30/0600Z 35.8N 37.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 30/1800Z 36.7N 38.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 01/0600Z 36.5N 38.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 01/1800Z 35.9N 39.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 02/1800Z 35.0N 39.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 03/1800Z 35.0N 37.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 04/1800Z 38.5N 32.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
BULLETIN
HURRICANE NADINE ADVISORY NUMBER 69
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
500 PM AST SAT SEP 29 2012

...NADINE GETS A LITTLE STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.4N 36.7W
ABOUT 595 MI...955 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
HURRICANE NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 69
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
2100 UTC SAT SEP 29 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 36.7W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 36.7W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 36.5W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 35.8N 37.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 36.7N 38.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 36.5N 38.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 35.9N 39.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 35.0N 39.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 35.0N 37.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 38.5N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 36.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
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BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NORMAN ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142012
200 PM PDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...NORMAN NOW A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.9N 111.1W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM W OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
I think it was a remnant low at 11am EDT but it doesn't matter.
...NORMAN NOW A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
2:00 PM PDT Sat Sep 29
Location: 25.9°N 111.1°W
Moving: W at 7 mph
Min pressure: 1007 mb
Max sustained: 30 mph
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Quoting indianrivguy:
Thanks Largo.. I was okay until you posted the food.. now I have to make something. [grumbles as he slides away from the keyboard.]


Ha, I just sneaked a few forksfull myself. It should be a blog rule not to post images of food. I get hungry easily.
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LONG LIVE NADINE!
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Thanks Largo.. I was okay until you posted the food.. now I have to make something. [grumbles as he slides away from the keyboard.]
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Quoting LargoFl:
yes that was a pic from a tampa place

You mean a restaurant? Pottery...that's means I am NOT cheating...
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Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Went out this morning, 3 keeper muttons, 1 jack, 2 undersized yellowtails, 1 Bonita (dammit) and one small strawberry grouper. Had a great day, but oh so hot.


It has been hot here the past couple of days, well over 90.
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Later>>>>>>>>>
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Quoting pottery:
Post 118.
Nice !
Now, I have to go and raid the fridge....

Ours are more yellow.
Made from corn flour (promasa).
yes that was a pic from a tampa place
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting NCHurricane2009:

Mine is from Taco Bell....

That's cheating, LOL !
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Quoting NCHurricane2009:


Here are my best guesses for now:

Oscar 80% chance
Patty 10% chance

But then again...this naming list has been cursed in the past. We've never made it to Oscar every time we use this list.

OK, thanks.

All I'm hoping for right now is adequate rainfall in Oct/Nov/Dec.
August was 50%
I have not totalled Sept yet. But it's low.
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Quoting pottery:
Post 118.
Nice !
Now, I have to go and raid the fridge....

Ours are more yellow.
Made from corn flour (promasa).

Mine is from Taco Bell....
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Post 118.
Nice !
Now, I have to go and raid the fridge....

Ours are more yellow.
Made from corn flour (promasa).
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Quoting pottery:

LOLOL
Maybe she lost some weight, running all over the Atlantic for so long.

You think we'll see another named storm?


Here are my best guesses for now:

Oscar 80% chance
Patty 10% chance

But then again...this naming list has been cursed in the past. We've never made it to Oscar every time we use this list.
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......................GFS at 96 hours
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting NCHurricane2009:

She doesn't look large enough to be...you know..the fat lady...

LOLOL
Maybe she lost some weight, running all over the Atlantic for so long.

You think we'll see another named storm?
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Quoting LargoFl:
yeah I love'em also..wife is doing it all alone..sure is alot of work whew..I get to smell all the good smells in the house LOL..hmm im hungry now LOL

Lucky you !

:):))
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Quoting pottery:

Looks like it will.
She has been a real Grand Lady !
I would not be surprised to see that she is the Closing Curtain for this season....
...she sure keeps the record keepers busy huh
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting pottery:

Looks like it will.
She has been a real Grand Lady !
I would not be surprised to see that she is the Closing Curtain for this season....

She doesn't look large enough to be...you know..the fat lady...
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......guess that High will keep the rains away from me
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting LargoFl:
....spain is lucky Nadine decided to be a fish storm, was supposed to go into spain earlier..hope it dies out at sea

Looks like it will.
She has been a real Grand Lady !
I would not be surprised to see that she is the Closing Curtain for this season....
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Quoting pottery:

OK then. And I agree about the eating-time thing.
Eat when your'e hungry.

One of the radio stations here has introduced "100 days of Christmas" as their programming headline.
I have had to stop listening to that station entirely. I cannot deal with 100 days of Christmas. A week is really pushing it.....

And re: Pastelles.
Fantastic food. Love them.
Introduced here through the Venezuela connection, they have become a Christmas "must have".
We used to make them. A lot of work. Now, we order from people that make. Excellent. Reminds me, I must order some !
yeah I love'em also..wife is doing it all alone..sure is alot of work whew..I get to smell all the good smells in the house LOL..hmm im hungry now LOL
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
I see a hand in this infrared satellite image of Nadine, anyway the eye is looking better.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting allancalderini:
I say last time that Nadine could reach cat 2 status might be a close call or maybe she will do it.

I wanted to say cat 2 on my newest blog post...but she is below 26 deg C waters. Gordon hit cat 2 when he was around 27 deg C waters...
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Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting pottery:
"Hundreds killed in Pakistan floods"

"Up to 65 gallons per square meter of rain falls in parts of Spain on Friday"

etc etc etc....
....spain is lucky Nadine decided to be a fish storm, was supposed to go into spain earlier..hope it dies out at sea
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:

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Category 6™

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Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather