Jelawat hits Okinawa; TS Norman feeds heavy rains in Texas

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:55 PM GMT on September 29, 2012

Typhoon Jelawat slammed into Okinawa Saturday morning as a Category 3 storm with 115 mph winds. The small 7-mile diameter eye tracked just west of the island from southwest to northeast, bringing the strongest winds of the right-front quadrant eyewall to much of Okinawa. Kadena Air Base recorded sustained 10-minute average winds of 85 mph at the peak of the storm, with a top wind gust of 115 mph. The Kadena Facebook page has some impressive videos and photos of the damage, which included flipped cars, downed trees, and damage to signs and buildings. Satellite loops and radar loops show that Jelawat has weakened considerably. Wind shear is up to a very high 40 knots, and the storm is over much cooler waters. Jelawat is likely to be a tropical storm at landfall Sunday on the main island of Honshu in Japan.


Figure 1. Radar image of Typhoon Jelawat over Okinawa at 12:30 am local time on September 29, 2012. Image credit: Japan Meteorological Agency.


Video 1. Typhoon Jelawat in Okinawa as filmed by storm chaser James Reynolds.

Nadine still a hurricane
Tenacious Hurricane Nadine has entered its 17th day of life, and continues to mill about a few hundred miles southwest of the Azores Islands. Nadine is not expected to be a threat to any land areas for the next five days. The latest model runs show Nadine becoming tangled up with an upper level low pressure system on Wednesday and Thursday as the storm comes close to the Azores Islands. This should cause Nadine to become an extratropical cyclone again. Nadine is already in fourth place for longest-lived named tropical storm since 1950:

1) Ginger, 1971: 21.25 named storm days
2) Carrie, 1957: 19.5 named storm days
3) Alberto, 2000: 19.25 named storm days
4) Nadine, 2012: 17.0 named storm days

The all-time record is held by the San Ciriaco Hurricane of 1899, which had 28 named storm days.


Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of Hurricane Nadine taken at 9:12 am EDT Saturday, September 29, 2012. At the time, Nadine had top winds of 75 mph. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

Tropical Depression Norman dying; heavy rains continue over Texas
Tropical Depression Norman has been moving slowly up the Gulf of California near the tip of Baja, Mexico since it formed Friday afternoon, but has been torn apart by high wind shear of 20 - 30 knots. The storm will likely be declared dead later today. Moisture from Norman fed an extratropical storm over Texas, and contributed to heavy rains in West Texas that caused flooding and water rescues on Friday. Midland-Odessa, Texas, picked up 4.66” of rain on Friday, making it the wettest September day on record and 3rd wettest day in city history (wettest day in city history: August 24th, 1934, when 5.32” fell.)


Figure 3. Tropical Storm Norman in the Gulf of California at 4:30 pm EDT Friday, September 29, 2012. At the time, Norman had top winds of 40 mph, and was spreading a large stream of moisture northeastward into Mexico and Texas. The remains of Hurricane Miriam are at the left of the image, along with a curious little vortex just north of Miriam's remains. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.


Figure 4. Radar-estimated rainfall in West Texas due to the moisture associated with Tropical Storm Norman. Heavy rains in excess of 4" fell near Midland/Odessa, Big Spring, and San Angelo.


Figure 5. Predicted rainfall totals for the 5-day period ending at 8 am EDT Thursday, October 4, 2012. Moisture from the Eastern Pacific's Tropical Storm Norman will bring heavy rains to much of the South. Image credit: NOAA/Hydrometeorological Prediction Center.

I'll have a new post on Monday.

Jeff Masters


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

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I'm not gonna even bother quoting.Really uncalled for.Stop trolling and trying to take the place of a old blogger and playing with peoples mind.People like you make me sick
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Somebody just earned a permanent wu-cation seems.

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Nadine down to 75kts.

AL, 14, 2012100100, , BEST, 0, 371N, 393W, 75, 981, HU
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I can't wait to see the hype start when SHIPS makes it a 90kt hurricane in 4 days, lol.

I personally don't see development with this system, but slow, gradual organization possibly to weak TS strength isn't out of the question.


no bomb hurricane... sad year!
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13,000 Homes damaged seems a tad major to many in Se. Louisiana Im sure.

If one is using the Saffir Simpson Scale to determine Impacts....,

..it was designed for wind loading on structures and is the poorest indicator of surge potential.


That's like so 1960's and isn't the determining factor save for some er, non impacted minds.

But dats jus my take on it.




Published on Sep 5, 2012 by AssociatedPress

An emergency official says Hurricane Isaac damaged at least 13,000 homes in Louisiana. The storm also uprooted coffins in a cemetery in Braithwaite, Louisiana. (Sept. 5)


Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting baltimorebirdsisback:
My team won against Tampa!.Yeah! now where are the Tampians?.Anyway I see we have 96L and I have low confidence it'll develop.
Are you trying to mock me?.Because don't you have a team of your own the ravens?.Guys this is NOT THE REAL BALTIMOREBIRDS.They sent me a nasty e-mail yesterday night.
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Nadine isn't looking as good as earlier on IR either, she may finally be weakening or she could bounce right back or even not weaken at all.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Invest 96L:

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Quoting wxchaser97:

Something tells me that maybe, just maybe, this will become a hurricane and we will use Oscar this year.

I hope we get to use Oscar this year. It would be ashamed if this year's list of names kept remaining the only one of the six year cycle that failed to make it past the N storm. And on another interesting note, this list of names is the only one that has failed to bring a landfalling major hurricane to the United States or had a US-landfalling tropical cyclone retired. The last time this list of names had a tropical cyclone retired was Hurricane Joan back in 1988. This list of names also seems to coincide with El Nino episodes. It is a jinxed list, lol.
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Quoting LargoFl:
yes sure would alright

We'll be hoping...
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Good night folks..push some rain this way ok,thanks...
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96l - a (re)curving storm.... Just the way I like them.
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Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
736 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL DUVAL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA

* UNTIL 815 PM EDT

* AT 736 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NORMANDY...MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
ORTEGA...RIVERSIDE...SAN MARCO...DOWNTOWN JACKSONVILLE...
OCEANWAY...ARLINGTON...UNF AND FORT CAROLINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
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Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


I'm testing how strong my wireless signal is.


And apparently the tequila too.
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Quoting KoritheMan:
At this point I wouldn't be surprised if the season ended after Nadine. The only reason I'm even saying otherwise is because of the possibility of the MJO swinging back in, which could help to generate a Caribbean storm, but as we've seen before, MJO forecasts can be rather lacking. There's also the potential for a couple high-latitude spinups, but those are difficult to predict anyways.

I'd be a little disappointed if Nadine was our last hurrah, but it is what it is I suppose.

If the formation of the last storm this season was mid September as was the case with Nadine, would that be a new record for the earliest that a hurricane season ended?
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Quoting Maineweatherguy20023:

that would be good for those in the plowing buisness... (not me but many near me)
yes sure would alright
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:
I think Nadine has finally had enough.



Who knows though. The way she's been she'll bounce right back by morning.
She sure hung around long enough to take all the heat out of the ocean in that area huh
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Quoting Grothar:


Glad you are OK. Saw this on the BBC last night and some bloggers posted images. Looked pretty bad.

Thanks for the thoughts.
I saw the Spanish national news a while ago, the scenes of absolute devastation in southern Andalucia are staggering. Worst flooding in over 30 years. There were videos of cars being washed through houses with the force of the flood waters, many properties flooded up to the roofs.
At least 10 people killed and quite a few missing, massive livestock losses, over 70,000 acres totally covered in water in just one area. Freeways closed for replacement of washed away bridges.
Normal rainfall in this area for the whole of September is about 1-2 inches, some areas got up to 13 inches in a day.
In some towns nobody knows how to start and rebuild things and in some areas there are also massive amounts of up to 50% unemployment, so very little money and almost nobody insured.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting LargoFl:
thank your stars this isnt january, would be feet of snow on the ground huh

that would be good for those in the plowing buisness... (not me but many near me)
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The environment for 96L is actually really favorable.

SHEAR (KT) 2 7 8 6 8 8 9 11 16 14 13 15 23
SST (C) 28.5 28.5 28.4 28.3 28.2 28.2 28.3 28.2 27.8 27.6 27.6 27.7 27.4
700-500 MB RH 69 71 73 70 72 76 76 75 71 71 65 60 61
HEAT CONTENT 21 24 25 22 21 16 17 23 34 36 41 38 20

Something tells me that maybe, just maybe, this will become a hurricane and we will use Oscar this year.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
I think Nadine has finally had enough.



Who knows though. The way she's been she'll bounce right back by morning.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
That one tornadic storm is still going and still has a tornado warning on it. Rotation is evident and it is still a dangerous storm so stay safe anyone in it's path.

TORNADO WARNING
ALC097-129-MSC041-010015-
/O.NEW.KMOB.TO.W.0069.120930T2308Z-121001T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
608 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWESTERN MOBILE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 608 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LEAKESVILLE...OR 12 MILES
WEST OF GULFCREST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VINEGAR BEND... TIBBIE... DEER PARK...
CHATOM...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL (800) 284-9059.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3153 8828 3138 8804 3099 8834 3105 8852
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 210DEG 27KT 3108 8842

$$
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
WHXX01 KWBC 302327
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2327 UTC SUN SEP 30 2012

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL962012) 20120930 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
120930 1800 121001 0600 121001 1800 121002 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 9.9N 29.0W 10.1N 30.4W 10.9N 32.0W 12.0N 33.9W
BAMD 9.9N 29.0W 10.4N 30.6W 11.3N 32.1W 12.5N 33.6W
BAMM 9.9N 29.0W 10.3N 30.7W 11.1N 32.4W 12.1N 34.1W
LBAR 9.9N 29.0W 10.3N 31.1W 11.3N 33.5W 12.4N 35.9W
SHIP 20KTS 22KTS 27KTS 33KTS
DSHP 20KTS 22KTS 27KTS 33KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
121002 1800 121003 1800 121004 1800 121005 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 13.2N 36.0W 16.5N 40.5W 19.7N 42.8W 22.6N 38.6W
BAMD 14.0N 35.0W 17.1N 37.7W 20.4N 37.1W 25.6N 28.6W
BAMM 13.3N 35.8W 15.9N 39.2W 18.9N 40.8W 23.1N 35.6W
LBAR 13.7N 38.3W 15.6N 42.5W 17.0N 45.0W 19.2N 44.0W
SHIP 38KTS 47KTS 50KTS 48KTS
DSHP 38KTS 47KTS 50KTS 48KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 9.9N LONCUR = 29.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 9.7N LONM12 = 27.0W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 9.5N LONM24 = 25.0W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 90NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 250NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I can't wait to see the hype start when SHIPS makes it a 90kt hurricane in 4 days, lol.

I personally don't see development with this system, but slow, gradual organization possibly to weak TS strength isn't out of the question.

Not that bullish at all. That means 96L will become a powerful hurricane. XD

V (KT) NO LAND 20 21 22 24 27 33 38 44 47 49 50 49 48
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The environment for 96L is actually really favorable.

SHEAR (KT) 2 7 8 6 8 8 9 11 16 14 13 15 23
SST (C) 28.5 28.5 28.4 28.3 28.2 28.2 28.3 28.2 27.8 27.6 27.6 27.7 27.4
700-500 MB RH 69 71 73 70 72 76 76 75 71 71 65 60 61
HEAT CONTENT 21 24 25 22 21 16 17 23 34 36 41 38 20
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Remains at 10% and still calling for gradual development.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED
A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED...ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Invest 96L!!

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al962012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201209302321
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 96, 2012, DB, O, 2012093018, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL962012
AL, 96, 2012093018, , BEST, 0, 99N, 290W, 20, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,

I can't wait to see the hype start when SHIPS makes it a 90kt hurricane in 4 days, lol.

I personally don't see development with this system, but slow, gradual organization possibly to weak TS strength isn't out of the question.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
NADINE...LOCATED ABOUT 640 MILES WEST OF THE AZORES.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED
A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED...ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Slamguitar:

OK, we got a burning question going on in chat.
When did the most tropical cyclones occur at the same time around the globe and how many?


Anyone want to take a stab at this???

I'm very curious.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
The Miami Dolphins are going to make me climb back on the roof. Head first or belly flop?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Hope everyone is having a great sunday, unfortunately its back to the grind tomorrow...

I saw the NOGAPS for several past runs trying to develop something off the SE coast and move it to NC..looks the HPC got a lotta rain off the SE coast with the new outlook



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The Miami Dolphins are going to make me climb back on the roof.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
We got a new invest, 96L, in the Eastern Atlantic. Waiting on the TWO and this could become Oscar.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Only the Ushanka Cafe down the street.


lol
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Invest 96L!!

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al962012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201209302321
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 96, 2012, DB, O, 2012093018, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL962012
AL, 96, 2012093018, , BEST, 0, 99N, 290W, 20, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN SEP 30 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


Can you see Russia from there?


Only the Ushanka Cafe down the street.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


I'm testing how strong my wireless signal is.


Can you see Russia from there?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
*If* something can develop in the NW Caribbean in a few weeks, there is quite the potential it could develop into a major system if the MJO can swing around.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 657
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
545 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2012

TORNADO WATCH 657 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ALC003-023-025-035-053-091-097-099-119-129-131-010 700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0657.120930T2245Z-121001T0700Z/

AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALDWIN CHOCTAW CLARKE
CONECUH ESCAMBIA MARENGO
MOBILE MONROE SUMTER
WASHINGTON WILCOX


FLC033-091-113-010700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0657.120930T2245Z-121001T0700Z/

FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA


LAC029-065-071-075-087-103-105-107-117-010700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0657.120930T2245Z-121001T0700Z/

LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

CONCORDIA MADISON ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD ST. TAMMANY
TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON


MSC001-005-021-023-029-031-035-037-039-041-045-047 -049-059-061-
063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-089-091-099-10 1-109-111-113-
121-123-127-129-131-147-149-153-157-163-010700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0657.120930T2245Z-121001T0700Z/

MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
CLARKE COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GEORGE
GREENE HANCOCK HARRISON
HINDS JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
MADISON MARION NESHOBA
NEWTON PEARL RIVER PERRY
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SIMPSON SMITH STONE
WALTHALL WARREN WAYNE
WILKINSON YAZOO


GMZ530-532-534-536-538-552-555-557-630-650-655-010 700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0657.120930T2245Z-121001T0700Z/

CW

. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS

MISSISSIPPI SOUND

LAKE BORGNE

CHANDELEUR SOUND

BRETON SOUND

COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM

MOBILE BAY

COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM

ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...JAN...BMX...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CaribBoy:


I'm bored to see the rain ALWAYS RECURVING FAR AWAY FROM US!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Did you have the honor of making Grothar's latest blog?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
May be the next TS



I'm bored to see the rain ALWAYS RECURVING FAR AWAY FROM US!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
248 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012

FLC011-021-043-051-086-099-011000-
BROWARD-COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-MIAMI-DADE-PALM BEACH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT LAUDERDALE...NAPLES...IMMOKALEE...
MOORE HAVEN...LA BELLE...CLEWISTON...
BIG CYPRESS SEMINOLE RESERVATION...MIAMI...WEST PALM BEACH
248 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2012

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGHTEN OVER THE SOUTH
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES RESULTING IN A DEEP SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT
OF TROPICAL AIR ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA FROM THE CARIBBEAN SEA. AS
THIS OCCURS, LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OVER
THIS PERIOD COULD BE ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS UP TO AROUND 5 INCHES. THE GROUND IS EXTREMELY SATURATED,
ESPECIALLY OVER THE EASTERN METROPOLITAN AREA, DUE TO MUCH ABOVE
NORMAL RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS. LOCALIZED FLOODING
MAY BE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN TWO THIRDS OF
SOUTH FLORIDA WHERE THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.
INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND A
FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED AS EARLY AS MONDAY IF THESE TRENDS CONTINUE.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


Geoff, get off that roof right now. Your too old to be up there.


I'm testing how strong my wireless signal is.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
idk why you are all writing off the season so fast the past few Octobers have all seen a few hurricanes in the Caribbean, and we've already seen a hurricane in the Caribbean I would expect at least one more storm there plus another extropical origin storm or two
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

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Category 6™

About

Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather