Heavy Damage in India From Phailin, but a Low Death Toll

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:49 PM GMT on October 14, 2013

Tropical Cyclone Phailin has left behind a shattered coast in northeast India's Odisha region, but a remarkably low death toll, after making landfall on Saturday near the town of Gopalpur. According to media reports, the death toll from the cyclone is the 22 - 36 range, which is extremely low, considering this is a region where 10,000 died in a similar-strength cyclone in 1999. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) provided excellent early warning information for Phailin, predicting on October 9 that the cyclone would strike on October 12 with at least Category 2-strength winds. Civil defense in India took the warnings seriously, and operated the largest evacuation effort in the nation's history--nearly 1 million people--one that undoubtedly saved hundreds of lives. There were far more shelters available to put the evacuees in, compared to in 1999, thanks to a major effort to build more shelters after the terrible 1999 Odisha cyclone. The high death toll in the 1999 cyclone was blamed, in part, due to lack of shelters.


Figure 1. Evacuated Indian villagers get down from a truck at a relief camp as it rains near Berhampur, India, Saturday, Oct. 12, 2013. (AP Photo/Bikas Das)


Figure 2. Villagers take refuge in a cyclone shelter at Gokhorkuda village in, Ganjam district about 200 kilometers (125 miles) from the eastern Indian city Bhubaneswar, India, Saturday, Oct. 12, 2013. (AP Photo/Biswaranjan Rout)

According to media reports, Phailin brought a storm surge of up to 3.5 meters (11 feet) to portions of the coast. I estimate the cyclone's winds were 125 - 140 mph at landfall--Category 3 to 4. The pressure bottomed out at 938 mb in Gopalpur as the eye passed over. At its peak strength 12 hours before landfall, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) rated Phailin as a Category 5 storm with 160 mph winds. JTWC has rated only three other Bay of Bengal cyclones that strong: the 1999 Odisha Cyclone (10,000 killed in India), Cyclone Sidr of 2007 (4,200 killed in Bangladesh), and the 1991 02B cyclone that hit Bangladesh (138,000 killed.) All had top winds of 160 mph. There has only been one Category 5 cyclone on record in the Arabian Sea, Cyclone Gonu of 2007 (165 mph winds.) Accurate satellite records of North Indian Ocean tropical cyclones go back no earlier than 1980.


Figure 3. Indian fishermen look at boats destroyed by Cyclone Phailin at the Gopalpur Port on October 14, 2013. (MANAN VATSYAYANA/AFP/Getty Images)

Typhoon Wipha a heavy rainfall threat for Japan
Huge and powerful Category 2 Typhoon Wipha is now weakening as it heads north towards Japan. The storm peaked as a Category 4 storm with 135 mph winds on Sunday, but has weakened to 110 mph winds, despite warm ocean temperatures of 28 - 29°C and moderate wind shear of 10 - 15 knots, because of an eyewall replacement cycle and ingestion of dry air. On Tuesday, Wipha will encounter cooler waters and higher wind shear, which should substantially weaken the storm as it recurves to the northeast and passes just offshore from Tokyo. The coast of Japan should experience winds below hurricane force, if the core of Wipha passes offshore as expected, but heavy rains of 4 - 8" capable of causing damaging flooding will likely affect portions of the coast, including Tokyo. Heavy rains from Wipha may be a concern for the Fukushima nuclear site, where rainfall from Typhoon Man-Yi on September 16 complicated clean-up efforts of the reactors damaged by the March 2011 earthquake and tsunami.


Figure 4. MODIS satellite image of Typhoon Wipha, taken at approximately 02:30 UTC on October 14, 2013. At the time, Wipha was a Category 3 storm with winds of 125 mph. Image credit: NASA.

Typhoon Nari nearing landfall in Vietnam
Torrential rains are falling in Vietnam due to Category 1 Typhoon Nari, which is nearing landfall in the central part of the country. More than 180,000 people have been evacuated in advance of the storm. Nari battered the Philippines on Friday, killing thirteen people and leaving 2.1 million people without power on the main Philippine island of Luzon.

98L in the Eastern Atlantic disorganized
A tropical wave (Invest 98L) about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles Islands is headed west-northwest at 10 mph. Satellite loops show that 98L has lost most of its organization and heavy thunderstorms. The disturbance is under a high 20 - 30 knots of wind shear, and the shear is expected to remain high for the next two days. In their 8 am EDT Monday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave the disturbance 2-day development odds of 0%, and 5-day odds of 10%. 98L's projected west-northwest track is expected take it close to the Northern Lesser Antilles Islands by Thursday, according to the 00Z Monday run of the European model.

Moisture associated with Tropical Storm Octave in the Eastern Pacific bringing needed rain to Texas
In the Eastern Pacific, we have two tropical cyclones: newly-developed Tropical Storm Priscilla, and Tropical Storm Octave. Octave is the only one that is a threat to land, and the 60-mph tropical storm is headed NNW towards Mexico's Baja Peninsula, where 3 - 6" of rain is expected over the next few days. Octave is expected to dissipate before making it to Baja, due to increasing dry air and wind shear. Octave and Priscilla are embedded in a large plume of tropical moisture that is riding up to the northeast over Mexico and Texas. Flood watches and warnings are posted over many areas of Texas, where widespread rains of 2 - 6" have fallen over the past day. While the heavy rains have caused some moderate flooding, the precipitation is mostly welcome, as it will make a substantial dent in the multi-year drought that has gripped much of Texas. Wunderblogger Lee Grenci makes the point in his latest post that much of the moisture generating the heavy rains in Texas is actually coming from the Gulf of Mexico, due to the clockwise flow of low-level air around a high pressure system over the Upper Midwest.

Jeff Masters


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

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704. washingtonian115
3:48 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 702. indianrivguy:


Yes, we were the only game in town.. and that's where the camera's were.. so they trickled in to get face time and appear to be bi-partisan.. mostly, they patted each other on their backs so long, we were left with very little comment time.. It was however, worth it.
I don't understand why they didn't give you a lot of time to talk about what you were doing.But it's good your getting the word out about the water problems going on in lake O and the environment disaster.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
703. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
3:45 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
702. indianrivguy
3:41 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 700. washingtonian115:
I was in a candy red range rover riverguy!.Are you sure you didn't see me?.Yeah it was probably best for you guys to leave after when the lady got herself shot.They have bulked up security even more since that incident.Did you guys at least get people to pay attention to what you were doing?.I told some of my neighbors.Did a guy name Matt show up? he said he went downtown.


Yes, we were the only game in town.. and that's where the camera's were.. so they trickled in to get face time and appear to be bi-partisan.. mostly, they patted each other on their backs so long, we were left with very little comment time.. It was however, worth it.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
701. Naga5000
3:38 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 657. ncstorm:


I'm POSITIVE the other side of the argument has robots working for them as well..its very evident on this blog and rood's blog..all you have to do is say GW is a hoax and like a swarm of locusts, here come the avengers..I agree lets do that but for both sides of argument..oh wait..we only want one side of the debate heard though..

(goes back to lurking)


You got me. You have to admit, I am an excellent demonstration of improvement in Artificial Intelligence programming. :)

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
700. washingtonian115
3:37 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 698. indianrivguy:


well, I was up there.. looked EVERYWHERE for you, but no joy... *cries*

we had just left when the crazy lady got herself shot. I will NEVER spend 36 of 48 hours on a bus again.. ever..
I was in a candy red range rover riverguy!.Are you sure you didn't see me?.Yeah it was probably best for you guys to leave after when the lady got herself shot.They have bulked up security even more since that incident.Did you guys at least get people to pay attention to what you were doing?.I told some of my neighbors.Did a guy name Matt show up? he said he went downtown.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
698. indianrivguy
3:30 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 692. washingtonian115:
For the past three years some bad has happened between the 28 or the 29th of October.Nature is stuck on replay..Snow is so close but yet so far away..


well, I was up there.. looked EVERYWHERE for you, but no joy... *cries*

we had just left when the crazy lady got herself shot. I will NEVER spend 36 of 48 hours on a bus again.. ever..
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
697. weatherbro
3:30 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 671. FunnelVortex:


An earthquake isnt weather.


mmm...

Earthquakes have been known to trigger what is called Earthquake Weather. A phenomena which causes the night sky to go in flames(metaphorically speaking) before the event(kinda like an aura if you will).

Also they have been known to slightly off-tick the rotation of the Earth(which is one thing that drives the weather).
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
696. washingtonian115
3:24 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 643. SFLWeatherman:
6Z GFS wow look at all the snow
All lies!.It'll perhaps be only cold rain we'll be getting.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
695. GTstormChaserCaleb
3:21 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 692. washingtonian115:
For the past three years some bad has happened between the 28 or the 29th of October.Nature is stuck on replay..Snow is so close but yet so far away..
Yeah, I think it is our turn to witness some violent weather, nature has a way of balancing things out, and while this hurricane season has been a dud, that's not to say this tranquil weather will continue into the winter season. If we stay at ENSO Neutral conditions, something like the '93 storm is not out of the question.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
694. pie314271
3:20 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 641. Torito:
Super typhoon hope, 1979.



Typhoon Gay, 1989.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Gay_(1989)

Someone teach me how to put images up.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
693. Torito
3:18 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 684. FunnelVortex:


There is a second swirl south of that minicane.


I know. Both of them are rather interesting to watch. :)
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
692. washingtonian115
3:15 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 656. hydrus:
For the past three years some bad has happened between the 28 or the 29th of October.Nature is stuck on replay..Snow is so close but yet so far away..
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
691. indianrivguy
3:15 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 682. Patrap:
I was at Boot Camp on the 3rd Floor Barracks pulling firewatch in a Open dormlike structure as the Platoon was at Chow.

As I walked between the Racks and the windows along the Airport side, suddenly the window panes went to moving like in slow motion.

Being from NOLA I was like, WTH?

Then the temblor hit the building in a uplifting motion.

Earthquake! the Brain screamed.

I'm purty sure I then set a New record for dashing down the 3 flights o stairs to the Street.




Earned a couple hours of intimate exercise with my rifle over a challenge. Had the watch and someone approached.. "halt, who goes there?" "Superman!" "Okay, then fly your azz over here and be identified!" Absolutely the wrong thing to say to a CPO..when you are a boot.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
690. GTstormChaserCaleb
3:15 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 688. hydrus:
Remember that one well..It was bad.
Storm of the Century.

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
689. biff4ugo
3:13 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
People on here keep talking about the Earth being round or even spherical. It is totally one sided. Flat earthers don't get their side or actually 2 sides mentioned at all.
Why aren't the scientists or peer reviewed articles giving the flat truth of the issue?

AGW uses aliens and zombies, not robots.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
688. hydrus
3:09 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 680. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Or this. :D

Remember that one well..It was bad.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
687. 1900hurricane
3:07 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 683. Torito:

Cool little mesoscale spins up on top of that inverted surface trough.



Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
686. liquidsquid
3:07 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 665. SFLWeatherman:
18Z GFS


6Z GFS


Um, yuck. Been an "Indian Summer" here the past few weeks, and loving every minute of it. This means I may have to finally re-arrange the shed and get the plow out.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
685. GTstormChaserCaleb
3:07 PM GMT on October 15, 2013






Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
684. FunnelVortex
3:02 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 683. Torito:


There is a second swirl south of that minicane.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
683. Torito
2:56 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
682. Patrap
2:53 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
I was at Boot Camp on the 3rd Floor Barracks pulling firewatch in a Open dormlike structure as the Platoon was at Chow.

As I walked between the Racks and the windows along the Airport side, suddenly the window panes went to moving like in slow motion.

Being from NOLA I was like, WTH?

Then the temblor hit the building in a uplifting motion.

Earthquake! the Brain screamed.

I'm purty sure I then set a New record for dashing down the 3 flights o stairs to the Street.


Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
681. Torito
2:50 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Anyone remember the Nor'easter that formed from the remnants of hurricane ida in 2009? (Nor'ida LOL)?

Link
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
680. GTstormChaserCaleb
2:49 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 676. Torito:
Will we see something this impressive this winter??... I hope not, but I got that weary feeling right now....

Or this. :D

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
679. FunnelVortex
2:49 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 676. Torito:
Will we see something this impressive this winter??... I hope not, but I got that weary feeling right now....



But I loved that storm. Me wanna see it again :)
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
678. hydrus
2:48 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 670. FunnelVortex:


What does this mean for us in Wisconsin? Any snow?
Too far out for consideration, but this would indicate an early start for winter.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
677. Neapolitan
2:48 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 657. ncstorm:


I'm POSITIVE the other side of the argument has robots working for them as well..its very evident on this blog and rood's blog..all you have to do is say GW is a hoax and like a swarm of locusts, here come the avengers..I agree lets do that but for both sides of argument..oh wait..we only want one side of the debate heard though..

(goes back to lurking)
No robots; just people dedicated to keeping the fora focused on scientific fact, not uninformed opinion and ideological nonsense.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
676. Torito
2:47 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Will we see something this impressive this winter??... I hope not, but I got that weary feeling right now....

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
675. GTstormChaserCaleb
2:47 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 668. Patrap:
I concur, but a Earthquake is a geological event, not weather.

; )
hmm??? While I would agree with you, there is an exception where weather and a geologic event is involved, and that would be called a mudslide/landslide or even an avalanche.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
674. indianrivguy
2:46 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 668. Patrap:
I concur, but a Earthquake is a geological event, not weather.

; )


my reaction would be biological... :)
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
673. Tazmanian
2:46 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
oh cares about the MJO any more it fail big time this season evere time we said a big pulse was comeing it did not happen



the MJO pulse has been in the W PAC and E PAC all season why you think the E PAC has 18 name storms ??? other big fail they where forcast too have a be low norml season well that was a ooops
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
672. GTstormChaserCaleb
2:45 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Accuweather has a high of 59 and a low of 41 on October 26th. It would be amazing if it actually snowed that far south this early in the season. What would be even more weird is if we get a tropical system trying to come up from the Western Caribbean during that time frame.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
671. FunnelVortex
2:45 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 667. LargoFl:
out of all the severe weather events except maybe tornado's..earthquakes scare me the most...as a young teenager i was in a 5.0 earthquake..i cannot describe it cause i never felt one before that..really scared me and to this day i dont want to experience a strong one ever again...something is very very wrong with the ground beneath you swaying almost violently huh.


An earthquake isnt weather.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
670. FunnelVortex
2:44 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 656. hydrus:


What does this mean for us in Wisconsin? Any snow?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
669. Torito
2:44 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 667. LargoFl:
out of all the severe weather events except maybe tornado's..earthquakes scare me the most...as a young teenager i was in a 5.0 earthquake..i cannot describe it cause i never felt one before that..really scared me and to this day i dont want to experience a strong one ever again...something is very very wrong with the ground beneath you swaying almost violently huh.


The strongest I have felt was a 3.3, 2 years or so ago when we had that quake in Maryland...
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668. Patrap
2:43 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
I concur, but a Earthquake is a geological event, not weather.

; )
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
667. LargoFl
2:42 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
out of all the severe weather events except maybe tornado's..earthquakes scare me the most...as a young teenager i was in a 5.0 earthquake..i cannot describe it cause i never felt one before that..really scared me and to this day i dont want to experience a strong one ever again...something is very very wrong with the ground beneath you swaying almost violently huh.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
666. FunnelVortex
2:42 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 664. Torito:


Those things can be deadly, too... an MCV caused this...

Link


Oh yes, the MCV that looked like an inland TC. I wish I was on the blog in 2009...
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
665. SFLWeatherman
2:41 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
18Z GFS


6Z GFS
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
664. Torito
2:40 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 653. FunnelVortex:


Looks like a little TD. It's probably an MCV though.


Those things can be deadly, too... an MCV caused this...

Link
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663. GTstormChaserCaleb
2:39 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Interesting I didn't know at one time the HURDAT used X, Y, Z names. They stopped using it in 1960. Wonder why they got rid of them? By the way the name Florence has been used since the 1953 Atlantic Hurricane Season and still to this day exists in the list of names. That is 60 years and counting. She will be back for another go at retirement in 2018. Dolly has also been around since 1953, she will be making a return next year, so cue that one since 65 years is usually the retirement age for humans.



Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
662. LargoFl
2:39 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 656. hydrus:
looks like this coming front will be stronger than the last one was..hope no damaging winds etc and the remnants of Octave will get added to it looks like.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
661. Patrap
2:38 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
www.nytimes.com Asia Pacific

Major Earthquake Strikes Central Philippines



Patients and family members outside a hospital following an aftershock on Tuesday in Cebu City, Philippines.


By FLOYD WHALEY
Published: October 14, 2013


MANILA — A powerful earthquake violently shook the central Philippines on Tuesday morning, killing at least 67 people, injuring hundreds and smashing one of the country’s oldest churches, officials said.

The earthquake was centered about 32 miles underground near the small town of Carmen, on the island of Bohol, and struck at 8:12 a.m., said Renato Solidum, the director of the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology.

“A magnitude seven earthquake has an energy equivalent to around 32 Hiroshima atomic bombs,” Mr. Solidum said. “This one had a magnitude of 7.2.”

The tremors reverberated across adjacent islands of the central Philippines, toppling structures and sending panicked people into the streets.

“I was asleep and my bed started shaking very hard,” said Jessa Ariola, a 23-year-old resident of Tagbilaran, a city near the earthquake’s center. She said that after the tremors stopped she went to the restaurant where she works as a cashier and found it in ruins — with broken glass, toppled appliances and raw meat scattered on the floor.

Local television showed obliterated buildings, cracked roads, downed bridges and chaotic evacuations on Bohol. The quake also damaged major buildings in Cebu City, a heavily populated commercial center on a nearby island. Among those hit were a sprawling shopping mall, a prominent hospital and a busy public market.

The main airport on Bohol was temporarily closed, as were several ports in the central Philippines, while officials inspected them for safety.

The damaged structures in Cebu included the Santo Niño de Cebu Basilica, which was founded in 1565. On Bohol, the roof of the Church of San Pedro in Loboc, which dates to 1602, collapsed. Officials said as many as 10 other historic churches appeared to have been damaged.

The earthquake killed at least 67 people. Dozens died on the island of Bohol, 15 in nearby Cebu and 1 on the neighboring island of Siquijor, according to the National Disaster Risk Reduction Management Council. The island of Cebu, which is adjacent to Bohol, where the earthquake was centered, experienced extensive damage and injuries because it is more heavily populated, officials said.

People killed included a 4-year-old girl who was trampled in the town of Toledo, on Cebu island, when the earthquake shook a building where people were receiving cash grants from a government program to help the poor. In addition to the child who died, 19 people were injured there during a stampede out of the wobbling structure.

Officials on Tuesday afternoon were warning local residents to keep out of major buildings until their structural integrity could be verified. They also warned of landslides amid reports of aftershocks on the two most affected islands.

Electric power was disrupted in many of the affected areas. No tsunami warning was issued because the earthquake was land-based, an official of the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology said during a morning news briefing.

President Benigno S. Aquino III will visit the affected areas on Wednesday, a spokesman said. The islands of Cebu and Bohol have been declared in a state of calamity by the government, which authorizes additional national government assistance to the areas.

A 6.8-magnitude earthquake struck the same island on Feb. 8, 1990, and damaged more than 3,000 houses. Last year, a 6.9-magnitude quake hit near the island of Negros, also in the central Philippines, and killed nearly 100 people.

A version of this article appears in print on October 15, 2013, on page A11 of the New York edition with the headline: Major Earthquake Strikes Central Philippines.

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
660. ncstorm
2:38 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 643. SFLWeatherman:
6Z GFS wow look at all the snow


will be an interesting pattern for the upcoming winter if it holds..
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659. hydrus
2:37 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
658. LargoFl
2:37 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
657. ncstorm
2:36 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 648. Pipejazz:
Awesome Brian. I bet if we could IP trace a lot of these deniers, they would trace to the same basement office on Energy Row in Houston. LOL, Speculation, Just sayin'. Also I think that they must get paid by the line, even counting the lines of the posts of those who respond to them. If you must respond, just cite the post number, making it harder for the bots to catch word count for the paycheck.


I'm POSITIVE the other side of the argument has robots working for them as well..its very evident on this blog and rood's blog..all you have to do is say GW is a hoax and like a swarm of locusts, here come the avengers..I agree lets do that but for both sides of argument..oh wait..we only want one side of the debate heard though..

(goes back to lurking)
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
656. hydrus
2:36 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
655. LargoFl
2:35 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
654. Torito
2:35 PM GMT on October 15, 2013
Quoting 653. FunnelVortex:


Looks like a little TD. It's probably an MCV though.


Its really tiny, like tropical storm marco of 2008. :P

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Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather