Average 20 year old weather nerd. Plymouth State University Meteorology, Class of 2018. NOAA Hollings scholar. Summer 2016 intern at NWS Boston.
By: MAweatherboy1, 10:38 PM GMT on October 17, 2014
Hello all. It's been about two months since I've posted a blog, as I have been busily working through my first semester of college here at Plymouth State University in Plymouth, New Hampshire. The tropics are active this evening, with Gonzalo lashing Bermuda, Ana strengthening near Hawaii and a new tropical depression in the East Pacific. This activity is all due in large part to a strong MJO pulse that has moved from the central Pacific and into the Atlantic, spawning multiple storms. It's been an exciting way to wind down a generally quiet season. With nearly a month and a half of the climatological season remaining, residents in areas prone to tropical cyclones should not let their guards down just yet. However, with the MJO pulse set to leave our basin in the next week or so, it is likely that activity is going to decline significantly, and it is possible that Gonzalo could be the last tropical cyclone of the year for the Atlantic. With that in mind, I am going to be shifting my focus from tropical activity to the exciting world of late fall and winter weather in the Northeast, my lifelong home. As time allows (college schedules and workloads can be pretty hectic, especially when you're a meteorology major), I hope to keep my blog updated throughout the next several months with information about potential storms that could impact the region. This blog will serve as the thread of my posts for now, but new entries may be added as necessary for high impact storms.
Keep in mind when reading any information I post that it is not official and does not represent any professional forecasters opinion, only that of a first year college student. However, from living in the Northeast my whole life and tracking our wild winter weather in detail for the past several years, I hope to provide information as accurately and up to date as I can.
That's all for the blog entry itself! See the comments below for my thoughts on specific weather events, and feel free to chime in with your thoughts or storm reports, especially if you're in the Northeast or have an interest in our weather. Over the weekend I will talk a little about my expectations for the winter, as well as the potential for a significant coastal storm during the middle to latter part of next week. Thank you for reading, and have a great weekend!
Figure 1: NOAA's official forecast for temperatures for the Dec-Feb period, which comprises the entirety of meteorological winter. They predict a heightened chance of a warmer than average winter in the West and Northeast, with cooler than normal temperatures expected along the Gulf Coast and much of the South.
The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.