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By: PRweathercenter, 1:42 AM GMT on October 31, 2010
The big story tonight is rapidly intensifying Hurricane Tomas.
Tomas is currently in the south eastern Caribbean sea moving towards the west north west at about 9 mph. Winds are currently 90 mph and rapidly intensifying. It would not surprise me if Tomas becomes a Category 3 tomorrow and i would not be surprised if it reached category 4 status. Wind shear is low, and sea surface temps are warm. The Official Forecast track calls for this Hurricane to pass anywhere from 200-250 miles from Puerto Rico.If you live in southern Puerto Rico we can expect some strong thunderstorms and gust winds by late Sunday night, but more likely Monday.
Here's the latest Computer models
Tomas should make a turn towards the north just south of the Dominican Republic, that's dangerously close to Puerto Rico.
The turn to the north that models are predicting is expected to a cure because of strong tough of low pressure coming down from the States.
One thing that worries me personally is the fact that Tomas has intensify faster than what the models are expecting it to, and also to the fact that it appears to be slowing down dramatically. Keep in mind that as a Hurricane keeps stronger it tends to look for a more northerly component, and since Tomas is currently growing into a monster Hurricane, it could slow down or take a slight northerly component. If Tomas keeps slowing down, the trough could cause Tomas to turn north faster north than what the models are expecting and in a worse cause scenario come directly over the local area. Although this may not happen, it's worth keeping an eye on.
So, make it a movie night tomorrow night, because it will be raining really hard in some areas.
Have Great Weekend!!! and please stay tuned here or local weather Statements.
By: PRweathercenter, 4:44 PM GMT on October 29, 2010
Local Radar View of San Juan, and Metropolitan Puerto Rico
Well, it looks like our 2010 Hurricane season just woke up again. Invest 91/Tomas seems like could be a disaster in the making. If this system keeps it's current track, it would be impacting Hispaniola by Wednesday of next week. This has never happened before in recorded history that a tropical cyclone has formed this far south and east in late October.
This system is taking a very similar track to Hurricane David in 1979, however David has in the month of August and also a Category 5 hurricane, Tomas is nowhere near that strength, never the less, it is a rain maker, and that's where he could most of damage.
If Tomas feels the weakness in the ridge to the north of us sooner than the models predict, it would bring it right over us, however, it appears that it will not impact us directly, however, as we just saw with Hurricane Otto, close proximity to the center is not always an issue with effects. Please stay tuned to your emergency manage officials.
Here's the latest view of Tomas
Please stay safe!!
By: PRweathercenter, 6:36 PM GMT on October 26, 2010
All seems pretty quite on the horizon!! We've had some beautiful weather across the island these past few days
This Atlantic Hurricane season is coming to a close, although we still have the month of November to look to as a possible threat.
The past few days global computer models have been on and off about a possible tropical cyclone developing in the Caribbean sea. While that has yet to be seen, I am monitoring a strong tropical wave moving across the central Atlantic.
This wave is at a very low latitude and should move across the extreme lower windward islands. Conditions are only marginal for development, never the less, we will observe this area in case something were to develop.
Here's the forecast for the rest of the week.
Wednesday: Scattered showers, mainly after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Northeast wind between 7 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night: Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. North northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday: Scattered showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Northeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night: Scattered showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. East northeast wind between 5 and 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Friday: Scattered showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Southeast wind between 3 and 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night: Scattered showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. East northeast wind between 3 and 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night: Scattered showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecast above is from the National Weather Service in San Juan, PR.
Thanks and have a great week!!
By: PRweathercenter, 11:12 PM GMT on October 23, 2010
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