Skyepony's WunderBlog

New Fukushima Data Released, FL Had Highest Radiation Outside Japan

By: Skyepony, 6:32 AM GMT on September 28, 2014


Radiation measured higher in Florida than anywhere outside of Japan..
Newly released data shows Florida, specifically Melbourne, was hit with the highest level of radioactive material from Fukushima measured anywhere in world outside of Japan. #1 out of more than 1,500 test results, in the weeks following the Fukushima nuclear meltdown caused by a tsunami. Total radioactive iodine may have been up to 500% of amount reported due to the type of testing.

Information on that disaster & radiation in general hasn't been the easiest thing to come across. It is certainly interesting to see them now that the UN released CTBTO MONITORING DATA OF PARTICULATES IN AIR. Radiation was very first detected in Richland, WA 3/14/2011 & then started working it's way across the United States on 3/15/2011. Here is the highlights of the data. The effects of the initial release was a fairly short term event. In Melbourne the Radiation was here for about 5 weeks with the worst happening over four days. Checked back in time with WunderNexrad, other than a few fleeting east coast sea breeze showers it was dry.More data can be found here.

Station Lat/Long collection date SAMPLE_CATEGORY I-131 CS-137 TE-132 CS-136 TE-129 TE-129M I-133 BA-140 NB-95 AG-110M MO-99 SN-113

USP72 Melbourne, FL, USA. 28.09 -80.64 3/19/2011 18:54 3/20/2011 18:54 4 5.97
USP72 Melbourne, FL, USA. 28.09 -80.64 3/20/2011 18:54 3/21/2011 18:54 5 10508.15 482.65 1012.17 63.97 279.18 509.49 20.82
USP72 Melbourne, FL, USA. 28.09 -80.64 3/21/2011 18:54 3/22/2011 18:54 5 30591.92 2297.67 3901.4 274.43 1372.08 2289.07 47.21
USP72 Melbourne, FL, USA. 28.09 -80.64 3/22/2011 18:54 3/23/2011 18:54 5 13335.58 1529.17 1966.05 179.51 828.55 1375.69 25.76
USP72 Melbourne, FL, USA. 28.09 -80.64 3/23/2011 18:54 3/24/2011 18:54 5 10803.72 926.72 1101.15 96.5 548.81 938.68 9.64

USP80 Upi, Guam, USA 13.56 144.92 3/21/2011 4:45 3/22/2011 4:45 5 8519.79 1108.23 1945.16 144.67 535.8 867.82

USP79 Oahu, Hawaii, USA. 21.52 -157.99 3/19/2011 22:25 3/20/2011 22:25 5 15254 2349.28 2318.19 321.42 489.86 850.1 34.48
USP79 Oahu, Hawaii, USA. 21.52 -157.99 3/20/2011 22:25 3/21/2011 22:25 5 21606.81 3088.5 2540.63 397.25 650.63 1197.89
USP79 Oahu, Hawaii, USA. 21.52 -157.99 3/24/2011 22:25 3/25/2011 22:25 5 10749.96 1822.53 1457.46 194.17 850.71 1475.29
USP79 Oahu, Hawaii, USA. 21.52 -157.99 3/25/2011 22:25 3/26/2011 22:25 5 4815.09 1234.07 726.2 124.9 494.33 941.92
USP79 Oahu, Hawaii, USA. 21.52 -157.99 3/26/2011 22:25 3/27/2011 22:25 5 5666.73 1890.71 858.12 182.53 755.47 1264.53

USP78 Midway Islands, United States of America 28.22 -177.37 3/27/2011 2:04 3/28/2011 2:04 5 5046.96 914.93 456.17 89.97 389.96 759.43

USP71 Sand Point, Alaska, USA. 55.33 -160.49 3/19/2011 20:34 3/20/2011 20:34 5 9316.32 722.74 3349.36 80.22 748.89 1282.04 23.5 7.15
USP71 Sand Point, Alaska, USA. 55.33 -160.49 3/20/2011 20:34 3/21/2011 20:34 5 4088.59 130.35 448.87 13.77 103.53 239.21
USP71 Sand Point, Alaska, USA. 55.33 -160.49 3/21/2011 20:34 3/22/2011 20:34 5 12332.99 9809.41 16989.44 1178.3 5526.81 9421.53 46.59 270.57

USP70 Sacramento, CA, USA 38.67 -121.36 3/15/2011 21:39 3/16/2011 21:39 5 197.79 2.66 37.16 6.33
USP70 Sacramento, CA, USA 38.67 -121.36 3/16/2011 21:39 3/17/2011 21:39 5 4475.56 152.77 1635.48 18.64 208.75 369.91 93.22
USP70 Sacramento, CA, USA 38.67 -121.36 3/17/2011 21:39 3/18/2011 21:39 5 13810.61 660.91 4223.13 74.84 637.56 1089.04 158.79 16.71

In the weeks following the disaster we did have some models run. Here was a daily one we followed produced by ZAMG for 2/24/2011.


So were they right? Was the models worth watching? No & Yes. The models weren't completely right. Some of the initial amounts thought to being released was much lower than actual. Sacramento, CA ended up getting atleast 1000xs more than expected. This was due in part to using Chernobyl's numbers, which were much too low. On the other hand it did show with some accuracy where the plume would travel which prompted people that wouldn't have thought to close windows & stay out of the rain to do so. Another area of the world that had more radiation than expected was Russia. The plume arrived there on 3/14/2014, peaked on day 2 with I-131 measured at 3852.34micro-Bq/m3 & dissipated over the next 6 weeks..


Another issue was getting a clear picture of what was released. What was measured was what they expected to find & what is easily measured. Until recently 90Sr & plutonium that are highly health relevant weren't considered. Then mystery Fukushima Plutonium was found..

Costs & Consequences...
An area roughly the size of Connecticut was lost in Japan for centuries to come.. The figure is $250-$500 billion US. Food being grown up to 200 miles away is contaminated. Radioactive water releases into the Pacific Ocean have been occurring. Fishing in that area has been closed. Building 4 is still very much unstable. If it collapse, it has more than 10 times the cesium as Chernobyl and Japan would be uninhabitable. An ongoing decontamination plan has been underway. Japan had started incinerating waste at times. There has been ongoing spikes in radiation here & there. Consequences to health seem unclear. Government & nuclear companies say no one got sick (usually as of MAY 2011). Inside reports & general comments from the public, especially in Japan have been heartbreaking. Something like 44% of kids have nodules on their thyroid, skin bleeds, heart attacks seemed to increase. In the US, the horse racing industry has ground to halt in CA due to a cluster of heart attacks while racing. At least one news source is throwing it out there that it could be due to radiation. With no new mortality statistics out for the United States since 2011 it's hard to say what the effects have been here. EPA says... air monitoring data have not shown any radioactive elements associated with the damaged Japanese reactors since late 2011, and even then, the levels found were very low—always well below any level of public health concern.

Continued Radiation Monitoring
The combined personal monitoring stations & EPA stations has decreased again recently. Below on the left is 12/12/2013 & on the right is 9/28/2014. Looks to be another spike along the coast of the Northeast today with 2 RADCON-5 alerts.. The EPA's has recently released their radnet data through a more user friendly site, it can be found here..





LOCALS STAY OUT OF TURKEY CREEK
4 million gallons of partially treated sewage was released into Turkey Creek in Palm Bay, FL due to the rains. People are being told to stay out of Turkey Creek. That is the only place around where you can find a little class 2 water during decent rain events. It's sort of a kayak hot spot in this weather. The latest news is still don't touch that water..


Atlantic
97L is new


WPC rainfall forecast, 24hr & 5 days total.


90E


18E RACHEL.


Central Pacific
West Pacific
18W PHANFONE


17W KAMMURI


Indian Ocean
East Pacific
Arabian Sea
Southern Hemisphere
91S

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

19th-23rd Barren days..cut, harvest, change & party.
24th-26th Good days for planting aboveground crops in southern Florida, Texas, and California. Excellent for sowing forage crops. Plant flowers.
27th-28thPlant aboveground crops that can be planted now. Start seedbeds.
29th-30th Clear fences, woods and fields, but do no planting.

Local Weather~
Possible damp week ahead.


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~



Visitor Map
Create your own visitor map ....Skywarn Activation ..

Fukushima

Turkey Creek is Closed..

By: Skyepony, 5:21 AM GMT on September 26, 2014


Atlantic
96L. Navy dropped it..


Florida & Southeast maybe in for continued rainy days ahead.
WPC rainfall forecast, 24hr & 5 days total.


LOCALS STAY OUT OF TURKEY CREEK
4 million gallons of partially treated sewage was released into Turkey Creek in Palm Bay, FL due to the rains. People are being told to stay out of Turkey Creek. That is the only place around where you can find a little class 2 water during decent rain events. It's sort of a kayak hot spot in this weather. They are awaiting test results.

Palm Coast in Flagler County is Flooding.. More news & video here.


FLORIDA GOT FUKUSHIMA...
Newly released data shows Florida, specifically Melbourne, was hit with the highest level of radioactive material from Fukushima measured anywhere in world outside of Japan. #1 out of more than 1,500 test results. Total radioactive iodine may have been up to 500% of amount reported due to the type of testing.

18E RACHEL.


Central Pacific
West Pacific
17W KAMMURI


99W is new.


Indian Ocean
East Pacific
Arabian Sea
Southern Hemisphere
91S is new.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

19th-23rd Barren days..cut, harvest, change & party.
24th-26th Good days for planting aboveground crops in southern Florida, Texas, and California. Excellent for sowing forage crops. Plant flowers.
27th-28thPlant aboveground crops that can be planted now. Start seedbeds.
29th-30th Clear fences, woods and fields, but do no planting.

Local Weather~
Possible damp week ahead.


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~



Visitor Map
Create your own visitor map ....Skywarn Activation ..

RACHEL KAMMURI 96L

Fall in the Arctic & More Rain

By: Skyepony, 4:58 AM GMT on September 24, 2014


With the arrival of Fall, the sea ice in the Arctic is likely just beyond minimum for the year. It does appear we had our Arctic Sea Ice minimum for the year on September 17th. If so, it was the sixth lowest amount of sea ice since satellite era & before, as well as the 4th latest maximum extent date, according to National Snow & Ice Data.. Here's an animation of the ice & it's thickness, in motion. Looks around 1 1/2 m deep at the north pole.


The map on the left is sea ice extent. The graph on the right shows Arctic sea ice extent September 17, 2014, along with daily ice extent data for four previous years. 2014 is shown in blue, 2013 in green, 2012 in orange, 2011 in brown, and 2010 in purple. The 1981 to 2010 average is in dark gray. The gray area around the average line shows the two standard deviation range of the data.

This year there was less ice over Kara & Barents, which makes sense with the heat in Russia & Asia. It was cooler on this side of the globe and was reflected up there as well. The Northwest Passage remained closed this year. This is unusual compared to the other recent years. The Northeast Passage was more than wide open & ice free.

Figure below on left compares the different arctic melt patterns. Light gray shading indicates the region where ice occurred in both 2014 and 2013, while white and dark gray areas show ice cover unique to 2014 and to 2013, respectively.

Figure above on right.. Greenland started the season with a quick pace in melt but then low pressure set up and saved it from some of the extensive melt days that it has seen in recent years.

A WUndercam view of Teshekpuk Lake, located very close to the Arctic Ocean on the northern shore of Alaska.



Atlantic
The wave ~45W has organized some as well as gained convection. It is now 96L. Current models are a spread that it moves from the NW to the NE. I'm favoring more NW, most likely out to sea. May close off a low at some point. I don't expect it to get really strong. GEOS-5 has consistently blown it apart this coming Monday.


WPC rainfall forecast, 24hr & 5 days total.


99E is now 18E RACHEL.


Central Pacific
West Pacific
98W is now 17W KAMMURI


16W Fung-Wong has dissipated.

Indian Ocean
East Pacific
Arabian Sea
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

19th-23rd Barren days..cut, harvest, change & party.
24th-26th Good days for planting aboveground crops in southern Florida, Texas, and California. Excellent for sowing forage crops. Plant flowers.
27th-28thPlant aboveground crops that can be planted now. Start seedbeds.
29th-30th Clear fences, woods and fields, but do no planting.

Local Weather~
Possible damp week ahead.


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~



Visitor Map
Create your own visitor map ....Skywarn Activation ..

Tropics & Landslides

By: Skyepony, 4:15 AM GMT on September 22, 2014

Atlantic

WPC rainfall forecast, 24hr & 5 days total.


99E
Early track models still mostly have this going out to sea. Chances are good this one gets named.


Central Pacific
West Pacific
98W This run the models are running over islands in five days. There is a spread, from a Tropical Storm to a category 2 storm between the models.


16W Fung-Wong


Indian Ocean
East Pacific
Arabian Sea


Recent mudslides...
Mt Shasta in Northern California has had a mudslide due to Glacier meltwater being dammed by the glacier & then released. This this is the largest slide there since 1997 when a tropical system dumped rain on it. Other notable debri flows & landslips there have all occurred during years of drought: 1976-1977, 1224, 1926 & 1931.

A mudslide occurred in NE India that killed 7. Many bridges have been rinsed away. People are being told to move to higher ground. Two more days of rain is expected.

Amazing story of survival from the recent flooding in Joshua Tree, CA..


Fun find.. Landsat, one of our longest lived satellite's data is now on time/google. Find your location & see how the land has changed since 1986.


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

19th-23rd Barren days..cut, harvest, change & party.
24th-26th Good days for planting aboveground crops in southern Florida, Texas, and California. Excellent for sowing forage crops. Plant flowers.
27th-28thPlant aboveground crops that can be planted now. Start seedbeds.
29th-30th Clear fences, woods and fields, but do no planting.

Local Weather~
Possible damp week ahead.


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~



Visitor Map
Create your own visitor map ....Skywarn Activation ..

Fung-Wong Landslides

Steady Rain

By: Skyepony, 4:54 AM GMT on September 19, 2014

Atlantic
Watching the Low that should develop off the Space Coast this morning. May have occasional showers, especially during the morning.





95L.



Edouard is pretty much gone..

Odie's Rains are still falling with 2-4 inches still expected through Sunday in mostly TX.

WPC rainfall forecast, 24hr & 5 days total.



POLO...is a 60mph Tropical storm ......
...POLO SLOWLY WEAKENING... ...FORECAST TO PASS SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SATURDAY...


Central Pacific
West Pacific
16W Fung-Wong Has dropped a devastating amount of rain on the Philippines. Really swamped the capital. So much moisture got pushed south. It's large size added to the injury.


Kaohsiung, Taiwan & Kinchen TownShip, Taiwan




Indian Ocean
98B


East Pacific
Arabian Sea
Southern Hemisphere Awakens with 90S


Fun find.. Landsat, one of our longest lived satellite's data is now on time/google. Find your location & see how the land has changed since 1986.


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

14th-16th Kill pests & pull weeds..
17th-18th Excellent planting & transplanting days.
19th-23rd Barren days..cut, harvest, change & party.
24th-26th Good days for planting aboveground crops in southern Florida, Texas, and California. Excellent for sowing forage crops. Plant flowers.
27th-28thPlant aboveground crops that can be planted now. Start seedbeds.
29th-30th Clear fences, woods and fields, but do no planting.

Local Weather~
Locally our hot waters & ripe conditions in the norhtern Gulf of MX plus that front may bring alot of rain to FL. Prepare to get troughed on...


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~



Visitor Map
Create your own visitor map ....Skywarn Activation ..

Odile 95L

Odile and Kalmaegi Brings Rain

By: Skyepony, 5:38 PM GMT on September 17, 2014

Atlantic
Edouard is located about 1350 MI...2175 KM W OF FAYAL ISLAND IN THE WESTERN AZORES...it's moving NE & has a central pressure of 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.

06L EDOUARD




Odie's Rain is Coming...
15E ODILE continued to move up the Gulf of California yesterday. 135 injuries were reported but so far no deaths.. Devastation is widespread from wind, flooding & surge. The government is sending army & commercial planes to La Paz and Los Cabos airports to get the 30,000 tourist in shelters there out. They got about half of the tourists out yesterday.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Tropical storm winds are still occurring over land & are expected to diminish tonight.

Storm surge is still possible in areas of on shore wind and also FROM NEAR SAN FELIPE AROUND THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST TO NEAR PUERTO PENASCO. Large surf is still accompanying that.

Rainfall~ 6-12 with isolated areas of 18 inches of rain can be expected in Mexican State of Sonora. Arizona through possibly parts of TX could see 3-6 with possible 9 inches in isolated areas. These rains could bring life threatening flash flooding.

Surf will be up along Southern California. Rip currents could be a beach hazard.

24hr expected rain & 5 day precipitation forecast..




I read about this yesterday, amazing to see what the winds from Odile did in Arizona.


POLO...is a 60mph Tropical storm ......TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NOW ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...


Central Pacific
West Pacific
15W KALMAGEI overland..Looks like two days of heavy rain..


96W is now 16W GEOS-5 barely brushes the Philippines with it but brings it to Japan..


Indian Ocean
98B


East Pacific
Arabian Sea
Southern Hemisphere


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

14th-16th Kill pests & pull weeds..
17th-18th Excellent planting & transplanting days.
19th-23rd Barren days..cut, harvest, change & party.
24th-26th Good days for planting aboveground crops in southern Florida, Texas, and California. Excellent for sowing forage crops. Plant flowers.
27th-28thPlant aboveground crops that can be planted now. Start seedbeds.
29th-30th Clear fences, woods and fields, but do no planting.

Local Weather~
Locally our hot waters & ripe conditions in the norhtern Gulf of MX plus that front may bring alot of rain to FL. Prepare to get troughed on...


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~



~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~

Visitor Map........
Create your own visitor map ....Skywarn Activation ..
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Odile Edouard

Odile, Polo, Edouard & Kalmagei

By: Skyepony, 4:30 PM GMT on September 16, 2014

Atlantic
Edouard located about 420 miles east of Bermuda, strengthened 10mph since yesterday to 115mph & the first major hurricane of the Atlantic season. Edouard is headed NNW & shouldn't be a threat to any land on the East side of the Atlantic this week.

06L EDOUARD




East Pacific is wrecking Baja.
15E ODILE moved up the Baja Peninsula yesterday. So far it looks like no one has died, though there has been injuries. Devastation is widespread from wind, flooding & surge. The government is sending army & commercial planes to La Paz and Los Cabos airports to get the 30,000 tourist in shelters there out. Locals were hit hard with concrete block homes not even withstanding the onslaught of Odile.

NHC is warning of tropical storm conditions with winds highest on the west sides of mountains, ocean surge , large waves & heavy flooding like 6-12inches ↑ to 18inches possible in some spots. Our surviving WunderPWS located in Ciudad Constituc, Mexico, is showing gusts to 43mph & near 3" of rain so far..

Odile, should come off Baja into the Gulf of California & into the Southwest US. Tues & Wednesday the rain should mostly be in AZ & NM. Most likely there will be flash flooding. Then the reminant moisture may interact with a weak broad low from the Pacific bringing much needed rain to CA & the rest of the west. SoCal might stay pretty dry through this though.





Webcams to watch Odile on..
Colonia Miramar, Mexico & Gonzaga Bay, Mexico


Looks like a mess there according to iCyclone's on Facebook, Shane McCoy on Twitter and matt.goldsberry on instagram.



97E has been declared 17E & has been named POLO...a 40mph Tropical storm ...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...


16E is gone

Central Pacific
West Pacific
15W KALMAGEI making landfall again soon. Here's it on MIMIC


96W


Indian Ocean
98B is new.


East Pacific
Arabian Sea
Southern Hemisphere


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MIT storm forecast & intensity models
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Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

14th-16th Kill pests & pull weeds..
17th-18th Excellent planting & transplanting days.
19th-23rd Barren days..cut, harvest, change & party.
24th-26th Good days for planting aboveground crops in southern Florida, Texas, and California. Excellent for sowing forage crops. Plant flowers.
27th-28thPlant aboveground crops that can be planted now. Start seedbeds.
29th-30th Clear fences, woods and fields, but do no planting.

Local Weather~
Locally our hot waters & ripe conditions in the norhtern Gulf of MX plus that front may bring alot of rain to FL. Prepare to get troughed on...


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




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Odile Polo Edouard

Odile Slams Baja, Edouard Peaks

By: Skyepony, 3:59 PM GMT on September 15, 2014

Atlantic
Edouard is located in the Central Atlantic. He's a category 2 storm currently maintaining a Min pressure of 966 mb with
Max sustained of 105 mph Edouard is headed NNW & shouldn't be a threat to any land on the East side of the Atlantic this week. He may have peaked.

06L EDOUARD




East Pacific is wrecking Baja.
15E ODILE really hit the southern tip of Baja hard lastnight. There isn't much left for WunderPWS in that area reporting. Here's the next on in the path, located in Ciudad Constituc, Mexico. Hurricane force winds & extreme rainfall are being reported. Strongly worded warnings from NHC are still in effect for Baja. Hurricane force winds are still a threat particularly on the west side of mountaintops. Ocean surge is still an issue. Extreme rainfall causing life threatening flooding & landslides are also concerns.. Odile, after a skirting the western southern edge is riding pretty much up the spine of Baja. I expect it to finish traversing it at some point into the Gulf of California. NHC is stressing not to follow the path. This is a large storm. Eventually Odile and some interactions with a weak broad low from the Pacific may bring much needed rain to the west.





Webcams to watch Odile on..
Cabo San Lucas, Mexico (live version here) & Colonia Miramar, Mexico


Looked like a long night there according to iCyclone's on Facebook, Shane McCoy on Twitter and matt.goldsberry on instagram.



97E has gained convection...


16E weakened by Odile is showing more convection now that Odile has begun to weaken.


Central Pacific
West Pacific
15W KALMAGEI is quickly racing toward China. Some of the worst winds aren't directly in the center of this one with it's huge concentric eyewalls. Southwest side of the storm looked the most intense as it went over the Philippines.


96W is new.


Indian Ocean
East Pacific
Arabian Sea
Southern Hemisphere


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

14th-16th Kill pests & pull weeds..
17th-18th Excellent planting & transplanting days.
19th-23rd Barren days..cut, harvest, change & party.
24th-26th Good days for planting aboveground crops in southern Florida, Texas, and California. Excellent for sowing forage crops. Plant flowers.
27th-28thPlant aboveground crops that can be planted now. Start seedbeds.
29th-30th Clear fences, woods and fields, but do no planting.

Local Weather~
Drier & in the 90s.


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




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Odile Edouard

Edouard & Odile

By: Skyepony, 4:32 PM GMT on September 14, 2014


Atlantic
Edouard, located in the Central Atlantic organized into a hurricane with 70kt winds, down to 987mb. Strengthening should continue as he is forecast to peak around 105kts in 48hrs or so.. Edouard is headed NW & should miss Bermuda.



06L EDOUARD


93L was deactivated with the other Atlantic invests. It's the only one that looks like it has any chance to reprise.

East Pacific is still on a rampage.
97E is new.


16E shouldn't get very strong with Odile tapping it like that.


15E ODILE may take a harsh path up the west side of Baja. Hurricane force winds & extreme rainfall is possible. Eventually Odile may bring much needed rain to the Southwest and much of California.




Webcams to watch Odile on..
Cabo San Lucas, Mexico (live version here) & Los Barriles, Mexico


Central Pacific
West Pacific
15W KALMAGEI is currently impacting the northern end of the Philippines with ~70 kt winds.


Indian Ocean
East Pacific
Arabian Sea
Southern Hemisphere

My Extreme Video pick from last week..

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

14th-16th Kill pests & pull weeds..
17th-18th Excellent planting & transplanting days.
19th-23rd Barren days..cut, harvest, change & party.
24th-26th Good days for planting aboveground crops in southern Florida, Texas, and California. Excellent for sowing forage crops. Plant flowers.
27th-28thPlant aboveground crops that can be planted now. Start seedbeds.
29th-30th Clear fences, woods and fields, but do no planting.

Local Weather~
Drier & in the 90s.


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




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Visitor Map........
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Odile Edouard

92L, 93L & Edouard

By: Skyepony, 1:48 PM GMT on September 13, 2014


Atlantic
92L


Invest 92L is struggling after crossing SFL yesterday. It was fed a bit of dry air as it was sheared pretty well. Overall this energy looks like it may bring at least rain to Texas Monday & Tuesday. Intensity is the biggest unknown here. Models are split between little development and a Tropical Storm. CMC shows a tropical storm. GEOS-5 just rain.



Best preforming models on 92L..
Error in nautical miles
Model Name 0hr 24hr 48hrs
GFDL 17.5 24.4 49.6
HWFI 0 25.7 49.8
HWRF 1.9 31.7 56.6
NVGI 0 44.9 6.0
TV15 0 36.8 62.5
TVCA 0 35.4 59.4
TVCC 0 42.2 66.2
TVCE 0 35.4 59.4
TVCN 0 35.4 59.4
CMC 32.1 40.7 78.6
AVNI 0 45.4 64.1
AVNO 31.8 73.1 69.6
BAMD - 42.4 63.2


Edouard, located in the Central Atlantic made it to slightly warmer waters and is organizing slowly. Currently he is 45kt winds & is forecast to peak at 80kts on Tuesday. Edouard looks to be going out to sea. The more reliable models & official forecast keep him well east of Bermuda.

06L EDOUARD


93L is showing some gamely convection. ASCAT missed it. Models are split between west or out to sea & slow development or fall apart.


94L is gone.

Here's rain totals over the last 12hrs. Odile is full of moisture. 94L has a lot of rain on tap for Mexico. The greatest area of landslide threat is south central Cuba.


East Pacific continues it's active year.
16E


15E ODILE


Central Pacific
West Pacific~ 95W is gone 96W is new.
96W


15W KALMAGEI


Indian Ocean
East Pacific
Arabian Sea
Southern Hemisphere

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

12th-13th Good for planting root crops. Good days for transplanting.
14th-16th Kill pests & pull weeds..
17th-18th Excellent planting & transplanting days.
19th-23rd Barren days..cut, harvest, change & party.
24th-26th Good days for planting aboveground crops in southern Florida, Texas, and California. Excellent for sowing forage crops. Plant flowers.
27th-28thPlant aboveground crops that can be planted now. Start seedbeds.
29th-30th Clear fences, woods and fields, but do no planting.

Local Weather~
Drier & in the 90s.


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~



~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~

Visitor Map........
Create your own visitor map ....Skywarn Activation ..
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92L Edouard Odile Kalmaegi

92L, Edouard & 93L

By: Skyepony, 9:19 AM GMT on September 12, 2014


Atlantic
92L


Invest 92L is crossing South FL this morning. Some areas south of West Palm have had 2-4 inches of rain. Winds are breezy at 15-20mph in the Everglades agricultural area south of Lake O. They've had over 3 inches of rain so far.

Wundercams
Cape Coral, FL


Naples, FL


92L is westward bound for now but may come back east under the influence of a trough.


There are some models to watch with with less average error on 92L. Absolute best re-curves the earliest. There is a bit of spread still among the better performers.
Error in nautical miles
Model Name 0hr 24hr
GFNI 0 6.0
HWFI 0 24.2
HWRF 3.8 28.3
LBAR 0.8 34.9
BAMM - 38.0
LGEM 0.8 38.0
TVCA 0 34.1



Edouard,located in the Central Atlantic was named. A major limiting factor for him is cooler sea surface temps. Models favor Edouard to head to sea. They haven't done very well on him so far. The few models that get this storm to watch are the ones that start with a T & AP05. He's got some of the highest SHIP error (in kts)) for intensity that I've seen in a while.
SHIP 0 13.2 31.5 44.4 48.2 61.0

06L EDOUARD


93L Is new today. It is fresh off Africa.


East Pacific continues it's active year.
16E


15E ODILE


Central Pacific
West Pacific~ KALMAGEI was named.
95W


15W KALMAGEI


Indian Ocean
East Pacific
Arabian Sea
Southern Hemisphere

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

12th-13th Good for planting root crops. Good days for transplanting.
14th-16th Kill pests & pull weeds..
17th-18th Excellent planting & transplanting days.
19th-23rd Barren days..cut, harvest, change & party.

Local Weather~
Fleeting rain showers all week.


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~



~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~

Visitor Map........
Create your own visitor map ....Skywarn Activation ..
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92L Edouard

92L & Peak of Season

By: Skyepony, 12:49 PM GMT on September 10, 2014

Today is the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. From here on through the end of the year it's only getting safer to visit Florida & the theme parks of your choice.



There is alot of complaints this year that the season is slow. There has been a lack of storms and now our peak is barren. Well yeah I guess, if you just look at the Atlantic and do not find wave watching entertaining.. From the landphoons of India & the frequent troughs across the USA, waves have been plentiful. We are up to pouch 33L on our wave count this year. That is the one currently east of FL.



Already bringing me coastal showers. Should bring rain across SFL today & tomorrow.



In 2013 there was a total of 53 pouches. 2012 had only 43 & 2011 just 41..With 33 already just half way through it has been a season for the swirl watchers.

It's been a volatile few days in the global tropics. Norbert rained out fast but still brought flooding across Mexico & the Southwest USA thanks to Dolly's remains.. Fengshen also pulsed down yesterday as a shift back to the East Pacific with the tropical energy occurred. 94E became 15E while 95E & 96E spun up.

Arizona locals enjoying the flood.. I in no way condone this.



2014 the year of the inland flooding & landslides continues. On Saturday evening the landslide dam on the Sunkoshi River in Nepal suddenly breached due to excessive rain, draining the lake and washing away their excavators. No injuries were reported. Click the picture for more at The Landslide Blog.



Atlantic
92L


06L


East Pacific
16E


15E ODILE


Central Pacific
West Pacific
95W


15W


Indian Ocean
East Pacific
Arabian Sea
Southern Hemisphere

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

10th-11th Do farm chores or vacation.
12th-13th Good for planting root crops. Good days for transplanting.
14th-16th Kill pests & pull weeds..

Local Weather~
Fleeting rain showers all week.


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~

Visitor Map........
Create your own visitor map ....Skywarn Activation ..
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

ECFL Weather Hurricane Season 2014

Fengshen & What Not

By: Skyepony, 12:19 AM GMT on September 04, 2014

Atlantic
91L


East Pacific
94E


14E NORBERT

Central Pacific
West Pacific
94W


13W FENGSHEN


Indian Ocean
East Pacific
Arabian Sea
97B


Southern Hemisphere

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

8th-9th These are good days for planting root & vine crops.. Good days for transplanting.
10th-11th Do farm chores or vacation.
12th-13th Good for planting root crops. Good days for transplanting.
14th-16th Kill pests & pull weeds..

Local Weather~
Still warm & humid. Tues is the best chance for no rain. Thursday - Sunday is the best chance for rain.


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger

Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







click maps to make bigger & animate
HAZARDS




~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~



~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~

Visitor Map........
Create your own visitor map ....Skywarn Activation ..
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Recent Flooding

By: Skyepony, 3:45 AM GMT on September 03, 2014

So far it has been a year of heavy rain & landslides across the world. This weekend didn't bring much relief from that..

China was hit hard again..

Video 1. China's SouthWest side is hit by mudslides, power loss & flooding. 6 are dead, 24 missing. The Chongqing municipality was among the worst affected.

Here's a beautifully done video with India's Monsoon swollen Vaitarna river at flooding point


This the areas of highest potential to flood at moment.. Midwest had alot of rain last week & is becoming a larger area of concern..




Be safe all.. Turn around don't drown, don't try crossing raging water like that girl in Montreal & be prepared!

Link back to Skyepony's September Almanac blog.

Dolly Headed to Mexico

By: Skyepony, 3:07 PM GMT on September 02, 2014

Link back to the September Almanac.


Tropical Storm Dolly 45 kt winds, dvorak still has it as a TD but improving.

Rainrates were incredible as she passed over the Yucatan. Here's the 12 hr totals.. Highest measured is over 11 inches.



05L Dolly



NAM, GFS & CMC have out handled the rest of the other models so far with Dolly..

The Official (OFCL) forecast appears to lay in about the middle of these..





One to watch is the new invest, 93E. This quickly has now become 14E NORBERT. Might become a hurricane that hopefully stays off of Baja.

September's Almanac

By: Skyepony, 1:50 PM GMT on September 01, 2014

Atlantic
05L Dolly


East Pacific
14E NORBERT


Central Pacific
West Pacific
90W


91W



Indian Ocean
East Pacific
Arabian Sea
Southern Hemisphere

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

September brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

Across the Southeast in general, winter may have an early blast of cold this year, so don't delay getting those fall gardens in..

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

1st Plant aboveground crops. Start seedbeds.
2nd-3rd Clear fencerows, woodlots, and fields.
4th-5th Plant aboveground crops..
6th-7th Do no planting.
8th-9th These are good days for planting root & vine crops.. Good days for transplanting.
10th-11th Do farm chores or vacation.
12th-13th Good for planting root crops. Good days for transplanting.
14th-16th Kill pests & pull weeds..

Local Weather~
Still warm & humid. Tues is the best chance for no rain. Thursday - Saturday is the best chance for rain.


NHC Tropical Discussion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

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Local Hazards
Wind & Sea..Rip Current..Flood..Lightning..Severe Hail..Severe Winds..Tornadoes...cold...Fire




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Watching for rain & minimum temps..
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HAZARDS




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