keithneese's Wunderblog

June 17 2012 Evening Update

By: keithneese, 12:58 AM GMT on June 18, 2012

Good evening everyone! Had a cookout with my father tonight, which was a lot of fun. It was warm, but we had a very nice breeze which helped keep things nice.

The 18z GFS has an interesting solution this evening. There is a wave in the Carribean shown in this image:

The 18Z GFS appears to develop this system and take it towards the Florida Keys:

Things may get interesting by mid week. I will monitor the situation.

Our weather today was warm and dry. Here in Tillman's Corner we received no rain. High temp hit 93. Here is the forecast for tonight, tomorrow, and tomorrow night:

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 71. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Southeast wind between 5 and 15 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 71. Southeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

There is not much of a chance of rain through mid week at this point, but I will monitor models and update if necessary.

I will have an update tomorrow.

June 17 2012

By: keithneese, 3:08 PM GMT on June 17, 2012

Happy Father's Day to everyone! It looks to be clear and warm today. As of right now, we are at 83 already with a heat index of 89.

I will be monitoring the Bay of Campeche during this upcoming week. The models are indicating that we may have tropical development, but it is too early to tell if it will affect our weather. My thinking right now is probably not, but time will tell.


Current advisory from NWS Mobile:
... High rip current risk remains in effect through this evening...

* timing... through early Sunday evening.

* Impacts... a high risk of rip currents means wind... wave... and
tidal conditions support the development of widespread
dangerous rip currents. Rip currents are life threatening to
anyone entering the surf.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

There is a high risk of rip currents.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore... which occur most often at low spots or breaks in The
Sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as groins...
jetties and piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards and the beach
patrol. Pay attention to flags and posted signs.

If you become caught in a rip current... do not panic. Remain calm
and begin to swim parallel to shore. Once you are away from the
force of the rip current... begin to swim back to the beach. Do
not attempt to swim directly against a rip current. Even a strong
swimmer can become exhausted quickly.

Please visit the following website to share your thoughts on the
new rip current hazard...

I will update later on tonight.

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

keithneese's Wunderblog

About keithneese

I'm a ham radio operator, and I love weather! I love to study hurricanes, and severe weather interests me. I'm located on Halls Mill Rd.