moonlightcowboy's WunderBlog

Market sinks-Nasdaq nears 7% loss.

By: moonlightcowboy, 10:43 PM GMT on September 20, 2008



Here's what Congress should do when they convene the new session: A Congressional 12-Step Plan!

1. Along with hat and coats, check the "R" and "D" affiliation at the door. Forget "party" business and let's get on with "government" business. The American citizens wants our house in order!

2. F O R G E T other issues for awhile, like gay marriage and steroids, etc. Get on with the "one" business and "one" business only that has to be done - balance the budget! Get fiscally responsible finally! Lately, all we've been hearing is that we need more "credit." That's exactly what we don't need. Congress should set a better example and it is how we've gotten in this mess.

3. There will be things from both points of view that need to be considered. The welfare of the common, poor people, the aged and needy. Some people genuinely need some help from us. However, I do believe that if government interfered less, that the church and charitable organizations could and would play a larger role in helping in that capacity. In addition and conversely, the folks that carry the tax-burden need to be considered for they are truly the ones that make the rest of the things happen. And, these folks have been loaded up with burden.

3. Stop interfering in the markets, but do consider our present trade agreements and determine the unfair slant we have with some countries; then, make corrective measures.

4. FREEZE spending and NO MORE pork projects until the budget is balanced. No perks for any state, any congressman until the books are in order. That's ZERO, none! If a bill can't stand up under its own weight and be passed, then the bill should'nt be passed.

5. Cut government jobs by 20 percent across the board, except for intelligence and military personnel. I read a story recently where many gov't employees are being paid that NEVER show up for work. That must stop! Hold supervisors accountable. Unemployment is increasing in every sector except government. If there are lay-offs in the private sector, why shouldn't gov't be cutting back, too? With today's technology and a stronger emphasis on "belt-tightening" a 20 percent cut is easily doable!

6. Limit lobbyists. Limit lobbying to only 1 day per week, or twice per month. Congress can't be doing the business of the people if they're constantly meeting with and doing the business of lobbyists. The only "special" interests must be the "interests" of the people. REAL campaign finance reform must be passed. No more campaigns financed by soft money.

7. Pass term limits. Our country was NOT founded on the prospects of having career politicians. 20 years should be the maximum term for any government elected official.
This will NOT be a popular bill to pass, but it must be passed. Government terms are already staggered to allow continuity. If someone has served 20 years already they can not run for re-election. If under 20 years and another term is due, that term could be finished if it does not greatly upset the balance of continuity in Congress.

8. Shorten the session of Congress. The more government meets the more government spends. However, I would support up to two full-year sessions to put complete measures in place to balance the budget. After that, three or four month session should be ample to conduct the business of the people. The rest of the year, return to your districts, your homes in your districts and meet, visit and listen to your constituents.

9. NO pay increases for Congress until the budget is balanced for at least four consecutive years.

10. Cut foreign aid by at least 30 percent minimum. Use good judgment and flexible discretion. If the world depends on the US; then, they also have to learn to be more self-sufficient, too. Use the foreign aid wisely. Expect and demand concessions for aid. And, the aid that we use should come with diplomacy that listens to and understands the needs of the people there. It shouldn't be given any other way. If foreign entities learn to appreciate our friendship instead of "expecting" money; then maybe, they will begin to understand and appreciate how and why "help" does come to them from America.

11. Get to work on the war. Make the Afghans and the Irag's responsible for their futures as well. The time has come for them to assume a more active role in their own government. The US should move as quickly as possible to leaving these areas, but with a strong military base, presence still there with authority to exercise necessary means. Implement a "warning plan" for future military incursions should the need arise. Explain the heavy consequences. If there is no cooperation, execute swiftly and heavily, relentlessly breaking the infrastructure of the enemy and barricade. Lay siege with a strict "no interventon" policy from surrounding or other countries. Be deliberate. Set a clear, strong example...and, use "might" - not troops.

12. And lastly, give understandable, clear communications to the American people. Let them know what the plans are. Listen to them. Be responsible and accountable to them. Put them and not lobbyists and big corporations back to being the reason you came to Washington to serve anyways!




Our Congress just approved a bill to give 700,000,000,000 of "your money" to Treasury Secretary Paulson who can and will spend your money as he chooses - and, it's likely to be for foreign banks, overseas mortgages, etc. It's a sad day imo and this will only be a temporary fix for a monstrous problem - this only helps a few of Paulson's buddies get out of the mess they've been in.

SEATBELTS ON - the collision is straight ahead! Get ready!

Quoting CosmicEvents:

Aqua, this isn't a solution. It's something meant to hopefully avoid a free-fall into a depression. To answer your question directly though:
1. If you own any stocks, expect them to go down further in value
2. INFLATION...expect it to erode the standard of living of your life, as a hidden tax
3. Expect that some of your friends will lose their job
4. Expect that some stores you like may close.
5. Expect that some foods you like may become scarce
6. If you need a student/auto loan or mortgage, expect that you'll be able to get it, especially with your good credit.
.
.
.
If it had not passed:
1. If you own any stocks, expect them to go down further in value.
2. INFLATION...expect it to erode the standard of living of your life, as a hidden tax....
.
./

and the possibility, even probability of:
3. Expect that most of your friends, and/or you, will lose their job
4. Most stores you like would close
5. Food of any sort would become scarcer, though still available
6. No loans available for students, cars, anywhere




Ron Paul "after" the bailout vote Friday.

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“These capitalists (today would be our politicians as well) generally act harmoniously and in concert, to fleece the people”

- Abraham Lincoln

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Other BLOGS and updates:

Quasigeostropic's blog on Hurricane Forecasting Tutorial is a great, comprehensive blog on eyeballing developing systems in the tropics, what to look for and how to forecast a storm and potential landfall. It's a must read!

Other good tropical blogs on WU here at "TROPICAL LAGNIAPPE". These are from some of WU's most respected, adept weather bloggers. Please check them out! Good info from them, and I always learn something when I visit their blogs and sites.



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Happy B I R T H D A Y, Emmy!

By: moonlightcowboy, 9:58 PM GMT on September 19, 2008

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...stay out of the crossfire, SPQ! And, enjoy your birthday! Ike can't whip our SPQ!

Post-IKE "SAFETY" BUMP!

By: moonlightcowboy, 1:22 AM GMT on September 14, 2008

U.S. death toll from Hurricane Ike rises to 28
There still seems to be a lag in getting info from Bolivar Peninsula and wGI.

D A N G E R is still around. Please share this with your loved ones, friends and anyone. Ike can still cause severe injury and death!



I've been away from the computer today and only getting bits and pieces of information, but it sounds as if Ike was very serious and did billions of dollars in damage to property. I've heard of a couple of lives lost and several emergencies, but hopefully further loss of life will not happen.

I WANT THIS TO BE READ AND SHARED WITH OTHERS, PLEASE: D A N G E R still lurks in the wake of Ike. Please be very careful as you get out and about behind the storm (even days later) because things are still not very stable. Limbs can and will still fall. They may be broken or twisted and maybe not even visible to the eye. Watch what you walk under and where you step. There will be loose tacks and nails, and other sharp objects. Power lines are down, some hot, that you think might not be. Leaking gas lines. Carbon monoxide poisoning from generators, (and a reminder from a friend - snakes, and other creepy crawly dangers ie, scorpions, red ants, etc, etc, etc.

There is P L E N T Y of danger that still lurks. So, please, be V E R Y careful as you survey the damage around your home and elsewhere.

Many people were injured and killed after Katrina came through. I personally knew a few of them. Three years later, trees and limbs are still falling here!

I'm glad things weren't as bad as it could've been with Ike, but another loss of life or injury due to some strange, weird accident is still not something I want to hear.

BE S A F E!




God bless and stay safe, all!

Tropical Weather Outlook
North Atlantic Discussion

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Other BLOGS and updates:

Visit Patrap's blog on "Hurricane Preparedness!" - excellent blog for getting prepared! It's amazing the things we can forget about when getting ready for hurricane season. Patrap does a great job with this and strongly promotes getting "prepared" and he's right - preparedness save lives and property!

Other good tropical blogs on WU here at "TROPICAL LAGNIAPPE". These are from some of WU's most respected, adept weather bloggers. Please check them out! Good info from them, and I always learn something when I visit their blogs and sites.

Photobucket
Click on the RED CROSS link here.



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Galveston tragedy begins to unfold.....

By: moonlightcowboy, 3:15 AM GMT on September 12, 2008

Ike is about to become part of history. Unfortunately, it will be recorded as one of tragedy and senseless loss!




In summary Ike is a formidable, dangerous storm that has surpassed even Katrina in size, windfield and the amount of water it is expected to push ashore. It's also very likely that Ike will become a CAT 3 storm, especially following the reformed, cleared 57-mile wide eye.

Ike's expansive winds will drive a surge driven storm that its impact will be far greater than even the CAT 2 or CAT 3 storm that it could be labeled as it comes ashore. The SS scale will NOT do this storm justice as far as its raw power and overall damaging effects and I blame that scale in part for any tragic loss of life that occurs. It needs to be changed!

If you are in the near path of Ike, I hope and pray that you've taken the necessary precautions, evacuated if required and/or used good judgement in that respect. Additionally, Ike will come inland and there will be strong winds for several miles and deadly tornadoes dropping out of the sky - all of this will greatly add to the risk of Ike and the total damage to life and property. TX will not be the only one to feel these deadly conditions as the front sweeps Ike up and catapults it across the CONUS to the east coast.

Stay cognizant of the storm and its path. Be prepared. Ike will be deadly. There will be billions of dollars in damage to property and many will not have homes to come home to. Many (thousands) will not have power for days/weeks. Many will not have running, safe water to drink or none at all. The recovery from Ike will take more than a couple of days - it will take weeks, months and years to overcome this powerful, deadly storm.



God bless and stay safe, all!

Tropical Weather Outlook
North Atlantic Discussion

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Other BLOGS and updates:

Visit Patrap's blog on "Hurricane Preparedness!" - excellent blog for getting prepared! It's amazing the things we can forget about when getting ready for hurricane season. Patrap does a great job with this and strongly promotes getting "prepared" and he's right - preparedness save lives and property!

Other good tropical blogs on WU here at "TROPICAL LAGNIAPPE". These are from some of WU's most respected, adept weather bloggers. Please check them out! Good info from them, and I always learn something when I visit their blogs and sites.

Photobucket
Click on the RED CROSS link here.



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Remembering 9-11

By: moonlightcowboy, 5:40 AM GMT on September 11, 2008

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YIKES! IKE! TXN's grab your hat!

By: moonlightcowboy, 6:47 AM GMT on September 06, 2008

Ike is in and almost traversing the loop current. It will continue to intensify, finally exploding into MAJOR hurricane status. Ike is/will be a large storm with a large windfield with dangerous winds far from the coc. The models and the NHC's cone have continued to gradually shift further north. That means Ike is feeling the effects of the first trough more than previously thought and is already moving north of the forecast points today.

Ike's path is still far from certain. So, my thinking is that they still don't have a mighty grip on a landfall location just yet or the strength and timing of not only this trough, but the second one. The first trough (influenced by the diving jet) has helped to erode the western periphery of the ridge from the east.



The models will continue to flip flop back and forth until Ike gets well into the GOM and then they will begin to zero in on Ike's final destination for landfall.


There is still a fairly wide range in the cone of error with the models (GFDL) showing the Galveston Bay area and the cones is now showing wLA as a possible landfall. I think we are still seeing the models try to react to the shortwave trough which seems to be having more influence on Ike than previously considered. If Ike continues to move north of west and continues to miss the forecast points to the north, expect the models to shift even a bit more eastwards.

The models and the NHC will continue to adjust the track as time goes forward and variables become more clear that will influence Ike's final destination. I think it's safe to say that Ike is being influenced by the current shortwave trough, causing its move more northwest as evidenced throughout its continued northwest motion today.



Will Ike's direction change? Will the models shift again? I think the immediate answer to those questions are still yes. Tomorrow the models will have a better handle on Ike, but conditions may still change somewhat depending on just how far north or northwest Ike gets before making a turn west. Ike is pushing hard up against the 1012 mb isobar in the ridge to its north. 1012 mb is not that strong, but Ike will still not be able to penetrate it; but, it could make a big difference in its eventual track. We'll see how much more influence the shortwave trough may have. As the trough exits the seast CONUS, Ike will meander or move more west around the periphery of the ridge or be influenced/pushed further westwards with the forecasted high pressure building back in over Ike. The peak of Ike's most northern motion will be critical when it makes its turn more westwards or northwards and eventually to a landfall direction. Then, if Ike has slowed and the timing of the next trough and whether it's strong or deep enough to additionally influence any northern component of Ike's motion.

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Here's what Ike is currently traversing this evening - the dreaded loop current. These waters are like fuel for a fire and right now the area of the current is covering a significantly wide area from about 21n to 27n and from 84w to about 88w - several hundred miles of hot, deep water. Ike will rapidly ramp back up to MAJOR hurricane status over the next few days!


There is still considerable difference in distance and direction between Day 4 and Day 7 according to the HPC's forecast. A wide margin of error still exists and Ike could still make landfall or feel the effects of Ike, really anyhwere from sTX to the FL panhandle. Expect the models to react to Ike's continued northwest movement and shift a bit more northwards. Ike is getting closer to landfall and evac plans are getting critical. A L L interests from sTX to MS/AL should still watch this storm very closely. We wait. We watch. We see.



TWOPIC-wide 850mb VORTICITY



72-HR surface forecast map from the TPC.

Tropical Weather Outlook
North Atlantic Discussion

BlankBlank

BlankBlank

850mb Vorticity
WIND SHEAR
Shear Tendency
Current Steering


---------------------------------------------------------

Other BLOGS and updates:

Visit Patrap's blog on "Hurricane Preparedness!" - excellent blog for getting prepared! It's amazing the things we can forget about when getting ready for hurricane season. Patrap does a great job with this and strongly promotes getting "prepared" and he's right - preparedness save lives and property!

Other good tropical blogs on WU here at "TROPICAL LAGNIAPPE". These are from some of WU's most respected, adept weather bloggers. Please check them out! Good info from them, and I always learn something when I visit their blogs and sites.

My other 2008 pre-season blogs:

The LOOP CURRENT and EDDYS


What will the 2008 season be like?

Is the MJO working?

Got an ITCZ? Scratch it!

Photobucket
Click on the RED CROSS link here.



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Hanna weaker but IKE to be a player.

By: moonlightcowboy, 12:13 AM GMT on September 02, 2008

So, now, here we go, again!!! The tropics are lining up, shooting at us for sure as we approach the peak of season on September 10. For sure, November 30th will not come fast enough it seems. From Gustav to Hanna, Ike and Josephine the tracks are all over the place and folks are in the paths just about everywhere at this point. Of course, immediately, Hanna is the main concern as it is the closest and most dangerous now. All along the northern Caribbean, the Bahamas, Florida and the east coast should be watching this very closely.

Hanna is looking more unimpressive right now, but shear is relaxing somewhat and the Gulf Stream possibly lies ahead in front of this system. The models seemed to have shifted more east this morning and Hanna has the potential to go out to sea. However, all interests along FL and the east coast should still watch this storm closely.

It would be ideal if Hanna would linger long enough before it moves northwards to drag Ike out to sea behind her, but the TAFB 72-hr surface forecast map seems to show the high building back in over Ike and getting stronger, keeping it on a westerly path. In the present Ike looks really good, great outflow and building moisture. An eyewall seems to be developing and the storm is likely strengthening and will likely become a hurricane later today. Ike has the potential to grow and be a very dangerous storm and should be watched very closely as it could be arriving near the Bahamas on Saturday.



AVN sat of Hanna shows some heavy convection around the coc with very cold cloud tops.



HANNA's forecast track.



SST's of the Gulfstream.




AVN sat of IKE shows good convection and rotation.



Ike's forecast track.



(Josephine's?) forecast track.



TWOPIC-wide 850mb VORTICITY



72-HR surface forecast map from the TPC.

Tropical Weather Outlook
North Atlantic Discussion

BlankBlank

BlankBlank

850mb Vorticity
WIND SHEAR
Shear Tendency
Current Steering


---------------------------------------------------------

Other BLOGS and updates:

Visit Patrap's blog on "Hurricane Preparedness!" - excellent blog for getting prepared! It's amazing the things we can forget about when getting ready for hurricane season. Patrap does a great job with this and strongly promotes getting "prepared" and he's right - preparedness save lives and property!

Other good tropical blogs on WU here at "TROPICAL LAGNIAPPE". These are from some of WU's most respected, adept weather bloggers. Please check them out! Good info from them, and I always learn something when I visit their blogs and sites.

My other 2008 pre-season blogs:

The LOOP CURRENT and EDDYS


What will the 2008 season be like?

Is the MJO working?

Got an ITCZ? Scratch it!

Photobucket
Click on the RED CROSS link here.



visitor stats


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

moonlightcowboy's WunderBlog

About moonlightcowboy

"There is no heavier burden than a great potential." - Charles Schultz, in the Peanut's character of Linus.