Tropicfreak's Central Virginia Weather Blog

Hurricane isabel Videos

By: tropicfreak, 7:40 PM GMT on February 24, 2007










Turning to storm mode

By: tropicfreak, 11:05 PM GMT on February 22, 2007

I'm starting to change to storm mode as watchingnva told me,to forget about snow.This winter wasn't so hot this year but hey,at least we did get some snow and a little ice storm,enough to build a snow man lOL!The sleds are still in the garage,haven't moved an inch since January 19,2006.there are no servere storms in the forecast,but soon will be.

Another day in the 60's!

By: tropicfreak, 11:08 PM GMT on February 21, 2007

As of 4pm today the temps were 64 degrees;same as yesterday.
Showers will be around sunday and tuesday.No snow or winter weather in the forecast.But as shennendoahcurrent told me,sometimes in late march we see surprise snows or snowstorms or any winter weather.Plus cold weather will re-emerge into the area


forecast

radar


national radar

There is a batch of rain in central to northeastern florida.Servere thunderstorms may accompany the system.There is some rain in wisconsin with snow and a mix in the great lakes.Out in the west there is a storm coming in ashore in california.With snow,ice,and rain.In idaho and oregon could see 12"+ of mountain snow.


snow freak

Reached up to 60 degrees for the first time in 20 days!

By: tropicfreak, 1:11 AM GMT on February 21, 2007

It was realatively warm today with highs up into the lower 60's.

almanac


Tomorrow will be in the upper 50's.First time walking out the door with out a coat.We could get a few showers with the bulk of the system to the north of here

doppler radar


Great news!Don't give out winter yet,as cold air may re-emerge into early march.



Happy mardi Gras!

Vasnowfreak

Big warmup,no snow.

By: tropicfreak, 9:27 PM GMT on February 17, 2007

Unfortunately,the south will see no more winter weather or snow.Maybe brief periods of cold and maybe a winter storm within a shot of cold air.Nothing in sight.Maybe some rain Wed but thats it.

radar

Blog Party Tonight.Now-10pm

By: tropicfreak, 11:03 PM GMT on February 16, 2007

Oh yes . We are havin a party.I want lots of this.

steak


Assigned people that took jobs on the last blog party will stay the same

Any more snow??????

By: tropicfreak, 2:21 AM GMT on February 14, 2007

The results were of course rain.Still no reports on the ice storm west of here but I can tell you that the midwest saw a great snowstorm. Computer model data is showing a rather weak system approaching the Mid-Atlantic on Saturday, giving way to a new system developing off the coast. While this could potentially produce some precipitation here later Saturday into early Sunday, it doesn't look like anything significant at this time. I'll continue to watch the latest developments...
And hopefully when the updates come out there will be a snowstorm.I just want at LEAST ONE BIG SNOW! I never get anything good.It's either just rain,a small mix,or snow changing over to rain.I don't understand.Texas saw a whole lot of snow and they're wayyyy SW of here.I just don't get it.I'll try not to get my hopes up until the forecast gets accurate.

VAsnowfreak


RESULTS***

The results of the storm today was some freezing rain overnight and a little snow.However the cold patern will break by thurs.But by the end of Feb,models are showing that we could get that cold pattern back and maybe even a big snow!But I'm not getting my hopes up.It's 15 days away.Happy Valentines Day!


VAsnowfreak

Significant Winter Storm Possible Near or on Valentines Day

By: tropicfreak, 12:01 AM GMT on February 10, 2007

Get ready southerners! This could be the big one! Sunday it'll hit the California coast then monday will head down SE into MI,LA,AL,and GA to pick up lots of moisture then Tues will get VA,NC,WV,and possibly early morning snow for SC.Sunday there's a slight chance of flurries.Even if it did snow it wouldn't stick.Monday will be a teaser(meaning people think that the big storm came early)with snow not much out of this and it'll stop Monday night.But the big stuff will come tuesday.With snow and ice , then changing over to HEAVY SNOW!!!!!People out in western VA and WV will get mainly significant amounts of snow.I think my best bet for snow accumulations will be 3-6" with 6-8" out west.I'll keep you posted.




UPDATE***

The chances are getting better!The forecast for Monday miday mix mainly mixing with rain/snow.Nothing will stick because it'll be in the 40's.But then it'll change over to snow Monday evening and will continue snowing on Tuesday poteintally mixing in with sleet at times.Wed will continue with snow showers Wednesday.It's still too early to predict on how much snow will accumulate.But I do know it's over an inch.this will be the biggest storm in 2 years.The models are keeping snow in the forecast for Tuesday.

VAsnowfreak


UPDATE***


The forecast has changed,gotten a litte worse we're not getting heavy snow but we'll still see some moderate snowfall.The latest video forecast for richmond on accuweather is a mix.The track of this storm is a little uncertain but will get the most accurate tomorrow.If the storm heads north of us then we'll get a mix.If it heads south of us,then we'll get some significant snowfall with a little mix.I'm hoping it'll stay south of us because I feel real bad for some parts of the carolinas especially C'lady,who hasn't seen any snow or ice in a long time.C'lady if it heads south of me,then you'll get ice.The latest from TWC,which I don't trust that much, says that we'll get rain/freezing rain with highs in the 40's.I'll keep you posted.All hope isn't lost.LOL!



have a great sunday


FINAL UPDATE***


Unfortunatly just rain for us.Areas west of richmond could see a significant ice storm.I learned a lesson."DON'T GET EXCITED FROM WHATS FAR AWAY,THINGS COULD CHANGE"There is no snow in the forecast.Here's a special weather statement.


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
408 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

VAZ068-070-071-130500-
AMELIA-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLONIAL HEIGHTS...RICHMOND
408 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007

...LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...WILL MOVE INTO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY ON TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...A SECONDARY LOW WILL
DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT ALONG THE COASTAL CAROLINAS AND MOVE
NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY.

A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE RICHMOND METRO AREA TUESDAY MORNING...MAINLY BETWEEN 5 AND 10
AM. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME ALL RAIN BY THE LATE
MORNING HOURS...AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. AT THIS TIME
...LITTLE OR NO SLEET OR ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE
CHANGEOVER TO ALL RAIN. HOWEVER...THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS...SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR FORECASTS FOR UPDATES.

$$

CULLEN

URGENT UPDATE***


ACCUWEATHERWinter


There will be ice changing over to snow.

Biggest snow possible near Valentines day

By: tropicfreak, 2:16 AM GMT on February 02, 2007

Please excuse me for my absence monday,tuesday,and wednesday.I know there was a storm heading our way I've been tracking it on tV.This morning we got a snow shower and the strange thing was the snow accumulated to the pavement and concrete before the ground.By the time it had started to accumulate to the ground it stopped but by around 1pm it started snowing hard and crazy!Have you ever heard the saying"If the snowflakes start out small the accumulations will be bigger " and it did start out small and it was sticking to the concrete real well.Reported a half an inch of snow on the ground.Tonight will be just barely above freezing with a drizzle although the temps could jump up and down a little bit so some of the drizzle will be freezing drizzle.I could do many things in so little snow I had a snowball fight even made a snowman!LOL!It was pretty fun while it lasted but some of the snow is still on the ground no problems on the roads.heres a special weather statement issued for the area


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
546 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007

VAZ048-049-060>071-079-080-020500-
FLUVANNA-LOUISA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-
CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-
CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISA...FARMVILLE...GOOCHLAND...
ASHLAND...SOUTH HILL...CREWE...COLONIAL HEIGHTS...RICHMOND...
LAWRENCEVILLE
546 PM EST THU FEB 1 2007

...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY DEVELOP ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE VIRGINIA PIEDMONT OVERNIGHT...

AREAS OF DRIZZLE WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
REGION. WITH TEMPERATURES HOVERING NEAR THE FREEZING
MARK...POCKETS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY
OCCUR AFTER MIDNIGHT...RESULTING IN LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ON
BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES AND ELEVATED SURFACES.

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SLICK SPOTS TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT
ON UNTREATED ROADS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

GINGRICH


We also have alot of very cold air coming my way.The coldest will be on mon with a high of 29 and a low of 10!We're also supposed to have flurries mon and mon night so I'm expecting about an inch of snow.But tuesday won't melt much with a high of 30.So it will stay here for a long time.The cold should stick around for much of the rest of the month.






Have a great rest of the week.
VAsnowfreak




UPDATE***

Some of the models are showing that sometime between Valentines day and Feb 7 central VA could see a big snow.I don't expect a blizzard out of this one;too early to tell.But we could see 6-12" of snow.Like I said,it's too early too tell,but I'll bring you the latest updates.This could be yet the biggest storm for the south since the Presidents day snowstorm.We could also see a little wintry precip out of that.I gathered the info from one of my local news station.


Have a great weekend!


VAsnowfreak



UPDATE***

There is a new update on the system.The forecast for friday is an overnight mix into sat.I don't know if the big storm that I was talking about is the one on friday or another storm.But maybe the closer it gets and the more accurate it is,then the temps would get below freezing and the storm will be more significant.Could it be...the big snow???

So it looks like we could have something cooking for later next week. This could involve an all-snow or certainly significant winter event. I would keep my eyes peeled to the period February 7-10 for something to happen. There are some signs in the long range data that the extreme chill may ease the week of February 11th and as I have stated previously, significant storms often occur when such a cold pattern is ready to break down. Another reason to keep an eye on any developments next week. I'll certainly keep you posted.

I'll send along an update in the next few days.




Vasnowfreak










UPDATE***



A strong Alberta clipper system Tues night into wednesday morning should bring us snow.Accumulations are expected to be 1-3".But unfortunately,Wednesday will be 40 degrees which of course is above freezing.For Fridays storm was moved to tomorrow night.However,there are some some signs of a big snowstorm next week.I'll keep you posted.



VAsnowfreak


UPDATE***

Now the forecast tonight only calls for some flurries overnight;a light dusting is possible in the richmond area.
The intense cold is here...

As promised, the cold has intensified over the last week and we are now experiencing the coldest air mass in two years. This air mass will modify a bit over the course of several days, but readings are expected to remain below average through the work week.

Some snow to fall...

While everyone wonders when the "big one" will happen, we'll have another period of mainly light snow that will affect the Wednesday morning commute. This is an Alberta Clipper, named because it originates in Alberta, Canada. These systems typically race southeast across the Northern U.S. with little moisture. Since they don't have a lot of moisture, we're not likely to see a lot of snow. However, it will be the fluffy type snow, so we could easily see an inch accumulate in the metro area, with 2-3 inches north of town.

What about the weekend?

It now appears that our potential weekend storm won't happen, but there are early signs that we could be dealing with some storminess early next week, specifically Tuesday into Wednesday (February 13-14). It's too early to tell the threat for snow, but the general set-up on our long range computer models suggests the potential for at least some winter weather. Stay tuned for more on this...

Will the cold stay through February?

The latest climate model data suggests our very cold pattern will ease significantly in the middle of the month. This could mean a return to at least average, if not above average temperatures by the week of February 19th.

Tuesday will have a great chance for a significant winter weather event all changing to snow.

The forecast for the next ten days are

Currently at 9:3 PM
28 °F RealFeelŪ:24 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Humidity: 26% Dew Point: -3 °F
Pressure: 30.17 in Visibility: 10 Miles
Winds: Tuesday Night, Feb 6
Low: 23 °F RealFeelŪ: 19 °F
A little snow at times this evening followed by snow, accumulating a coating to an inch late

Wednesday, Feb 7
High: 40 °F RealFeelŪ: 31 °F
Brisk and quite cold with clouds giving way to some sunWednesday Night, Feb 7
Low: 21 °F RealFeelŪ: 21 °F
Mainly clear and very cold

Thursday, Feb 8
High: 40 °F RealFeelŪ: 35 °F
Partly sunny and very coldThursday Night, Feb 8
Low: 19 °F RealFeelŪ: 9 °F
Mainly clear and very cold

Friday, Feb 9
High: 39 °F RealFeelŪ: 39 °F
Very cold with intervals of clouds and sunFriday Night, Feb 9
Low: 24 °F RealFeelŪ: 11 °F
Rather cloudy with snow, sleet, and freezing rain possible

Sunday, Feb 11
High: 38 °F RealFeelŪ: 31 °F
Cold with plenty of sunshineSunday Night, Feb 11
Low: 25 °F RealFeelŪ: 15 °F
Partly cloudy

Monday, Feb 12
High: 45 °F RealFeelŪ: 41 °F
Clouds and limited sunMonday Night, Feb 12
Low: 30 °F RealFeelŪ: 24 °F
Cloudy; a shower possible in the evening followed by a chance for snow late

Tuesday, Feb 13
High: 43 °F RealFeelŪ: 31 °F
Cloudy with chance for rain and snow becoming all rainTuesday Night, Feb 13
Low: 28 °F RealFeelŪ: 14 °F

Wednesday, Feb 14
High: 37 °F RealFeelŪ: 27 °F
Overcast and cold with flurries possibleWednesday Night, Feb 14
Low: 26 °F RealFeelŪ: 12 °F
Snowy

Thursday, Feb 15
High: 39 °F RealFeelŪ: 25 °F
Very cold with snow mixing with rainThursday Night, Feb 15
Low: 30 °F RealFeelŪ: 21 °F
An evening shower possible, then snow, sleet, and freezing rain possible late

Cold with snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain becoming all snow







UPDATE***

Unfortunatly there was no dusting of snow on the ground because the air was very dry.The storm tuesday could be the big one...

Link


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Tropicfreak's Central Virginia Weather Blog

About tropicfreak

Live in Richmond VA. I'm a recent high school graduate who is looking to pursue a career in meteorology. Winter storms and the tropics fascinate me.