Tropicfreak's Central Virginia Weather Blog

2010-2011 Winter Weather Outlook for Richmond VA

By: tropicfreak, 3:47 PM GMT on October 23, 2010

Good morning! I know I haven't been blogging in a while, but now that I am a freshman in high school, work really begins to ramp up so I'll try to blog as often as I can.

Within the past week or two, many folks have been wondering what this winter will be like. I can tell you this though, it will definitely won't be like last winter when we had 3-4 snow storms that dumped 4-12" each. As most could probably tell by the way this hurricane season has been going, we are in a La Nina year, which means a busy hurricane season and a not-as-snowy winter. But don't lose hope, we have had storms in La Nina years that have dumped over a foot of snow at one time. Take 1996 for example which was a la Nina year. In January of that year, every square mile of the state saw measurable snow, and Richmond saw 16" of snow. It won't be like the 06-07 and the 07-08 winter when we didn't even get a snow total of 1" for the year. That year we had a strong La Nina. This year we will have a weak to moderate one, which will be an average winter for us. Expect one good snowstorm that may dump anywhere between 6"-12" and maybe even higher, with other minor snowfalls and winter weather events, while points to the north may see more snowfalls with greater amounts, while the SE portion of the US will see warmer than normal temps and not as much winter weather. We will have greater swings in temperatures than last year. We may have one week when we have a very cold snap and the next week we may have a rather warm spell.

First Snowfall contest

Everyone is also wondering when our first snowfall will happen. Typically our first snowfalls occur anywhere between mid-late November and early December. Whoever can guess the correct date of when our first snowfall will happen, will win bragging rights. Bonus: If you can guess the correct the snowfall accumulations and get the correct date, you will win even more bragging rights. But let's say you don't have the correct date but you get the correct amount of snowfall, there will be room for those bragging rights as well. If you aren't correct, well, good luck next year!

We saw our first freeze this morning, with morning lows dropping to the mid to upper 30s, though it will warm up today, with highs in the low 70s. For the rest of the week, expect some nice weather, until Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday. Expect some rain showers and thunderstorms, with the best chance being on Wednesday. We do need the rainfall though, so we will take whatever we will get. After that, it will be a very pleasant end to your week. It will warm up though in the middle of the week with highs in the low 80s and lows in the mid 50s to low 60s, so continue to wear these shorts!

Have a great weekend!

TF



The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Tropicfreak's Central Virginia Weather Blog

About tropicfreak

Live in Richmond VA. I'm a recent high school graduate who is looking to pursue a career in meteorology. Winter storms and the tropics fascinate me.